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Gold Seeker Closing Report – Gold Falls & Silver Gains

By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted 29 August, 2006 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$610.60

-$4.30

Silver

$12.11

+$0.13

XAU

143.99

+0.33%

HUI

338.23

+0.64%

GDM

1066.99

+0.45%

JSE Gold

2869.78

-3.45%

USD

84.97

-0.26

Euro

128.16

+0.23

Yen

85.67

+0.30

Oil

$69.71

-$0.90

10-Year

4.783%

-0.014

T-Bond

110.1875

+0.09375

Dow

11369.94

+0.16%

Nasdaq

2172.30

+0.54%

S&P

1304.28

+0.19%

 

The Metals:

 

Gold rose a couple of dollars in Asia and held slightly higher in London, but it then again fell in morning New York trade to as low as $606.70 before a rebound into the close brought it off its lows to end with a loss of 0.70%.  Silver also dropped in morning New York trade after it traded higher in Asia and London, but it rebounded sharply in the last 3 hours of trade and ended near its highs of the session with a gain of 1.09%.

 

Euro gold fell under €480, platinum gained $3 to $1,212, palladium lost $6 to $332, and copper lost nearly 3 cents to about $3.40.

 

Gold and silver equities fell nearly 2% in morning trade, but they then rebounded following the release of the fed’s minutes and ended slightly higher on the day.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Consumer Confidence

Aug

99.6

102.5

107.0

 

FOMC minutes from the fed’s August 8th meeting showed the decision to pause was a “close call” and that it by no means marked the end to their recent tightening cycle.  The fed remains data dependent for future interest rate decisions.  Lacker was the only fed member that wanted to raise interest rates, and Wall Street saw that as encouraging for a continued pause in interest rate hikes in the future.  Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings the preliminary reading for second quarter GDP expected at 3.0%.  The Chain Deflator is expected at 3.3%.

 

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The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil traded about $1 lower throughout most of trade on continued relief that tropical storm Ernesto does not appear to be headed towards oil assets in the Gulf of Mexico.

 

The U.S. dollar index traded slightly higher for most of trade, but it then fell off remarkably following the release of the fed’s minutes and ended noticeably lower.

 

Treasuries fell in early trade, but they then rebounded to end slightly higher in reaction to the fed’s minutes.  The yield on the 10-year fell to a new 5 month low.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P fell in early trade on worries over interest rates, but they then rose to find slight gains by the end of trade as the fed’s minutes showed support for a pause in interest rate hikes at their last meeting.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were Inco, CVRD, Phelps Dodge, Schering-Plough, GM, Foster’s, Bayer, SpiralFrog and Universal, Coca-Cola, BP, Citigroup, Bank of America, JPMorgan, and Barnes & Noble.

 

The Commentary:

 

“Over the last week and more the gold price has come under pressure from Comex and not from other global gold markets, giving rise to the belief that this is a fund driven assault on the gold price, tying in their selling to the declining oil price.   The oil price has not declined significantly and the fundamentals remain unchanged in that market, so with the rising demand from the physical sector appearing at these and higher levels, the funds are very much in danger of drawing back a bow string on the gold price.   The further back it goes the tighter the bow.” - Julian D.W. Phillips, www.goldforecaster.com

 

“December Gold closed down 4.8 at 619.1. This was 3.6 up from the low and 6.9 off the high.

 

December Silver finished up 0.125 at 12.322, 0.058 off the high and 0.302 up from the low.

 

With the gold market showing significant weakness early in the session and finally managing to regain strength into the afternoon trade at least a portion of the patently negative sentiment toward gold was mitigated. However, seeing the Dollar slide and finish weaker in the wake of a somewhat dovish Fed "news flow" was apparently supportive to gold. In fact, it almost seemed like the trade was somewhat relieved that the Fed wasn't poised to clamp down with a rogue rate hike. We also suspect that a sharp late recovery rally in crude oil sparked some flight to quality buying interest and we also suspect that some early shorts in gold, that were in ahead of the Fed simply decided to cover shorts into the close for other unrelated reasons.

 

The silver market showed much more consistently positive price action than gold in the action Wednesday but in the end the market only managed to return to the mid point of the last months trading range. We suspect that the weakness in copper and the much softer than expected US economic readings initially undermine the silver but in the end seeing the Fed as a less hawkish entity probably caused some buyers to come back into the market. Seeing oil prices recover into the close and seeing the equity market bounce off its lows of the day probably gave the bulls another added incentive.” - The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

More 'experts' are mystified

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 08/28/2006

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

8,124,046

-392

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

103,873,114

+4,870

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

Streettracks Gold Shares

390.52

12,555,726

US$ 7,798m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

78.18

2,513,714

US$ 1,544m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

9.78

314,013

US$ 193m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

9.89

318,032

US$ 197m

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 08/28/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$852,905,888

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,386,595.482

Shares Outstanding

13,950,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

43.13

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 08/28/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$1,213,177,445

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

97,872,860

Shares Outstanding

9,800,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

3,044.2

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

A production shutdown at Newmont’s (NEM) mine in Peru, Golden Star’s (GSS) power shortages in Ghana, and Harmony’s (HMY) reserves were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Fronteer

FRG +4.80% $5.90

2.  Eldorado Gold

EGO +4.62% $4.76

3.  Cambior

CBJ +4.14% $3.27

 

LOSERS

1.  Banro

BAA -3.16% $8.90

2.  Nevsun Resources

NSU -2.86% $3.06

3.  Rio Narcea

RNO -2.38% $2.46

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Colombia Goldfields Options More Than Half of Marmato "Golden Mountain" - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Matamec Extends New Gold Zone and Hits Wide Mineralization at Montclerg - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Update for Axis Lake Ni-Cu Project, Saskatchewan - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Goldrea Resources Corp. and Molycor Gold Corp.: Permits Received for Diamond Drilling Program at Platinum/Palladium/Copper Property - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Taranis announces Closing of Private Placement - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Starfire closes $1,500,000 private placement - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Keegan Discovers 20 Meters of 4.26 g/t Gold in Trench at Esaase Property - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Laurion Gold and Geoinformatics Announce Strategic Alliance On the Superior Nickel Anglo Geoinformatics Project - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Tornado Gold Acquires Illipah Gold Prospect in White Pine County, Nevada From Golden Cycle Gold Corporation - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Continuing strong zinc-lead results from Doublestar's Ruddock Creek property - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Golden Star Advises of Power Shortages in Ghana and Potential Short-Term Impact on Operations - "Golden Star Resources Ltd. today advised that the wholesale power utility in Ghana, namely the Volta River Authority, has advised of potential power shortages in Ghana and the need for bulk users (which would include Golden Star) to curtail their power consumption by as much as 25 to 50%." More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


U.S. Gold TSX Listing Approved Trading To Begin Wednesday August 30, 2006 - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Tribute Intersects More High Grade Zinc-3.2 Metres of 9.1% Zn within 6 Metres of 5.19% Zn. Encounters More Than 30% Over Limit Zinc - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Silver Eagle Reports Further Vein Development and Initial Metallurgical Test Results at its Miguel Auza Property - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Sabina's New Discovery Grades Up to 114 Oz/Ton Silver, O.57 Oz/Ton Gold -- Drilling Commences at Del Norte Project, Stewart-Eskay Creek Area - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Protests shut down production at gold mine in Peru - "Production at Latin America's largest gold mine was at a standstill Tuesday because roadblocks by protesting farmers had made operations in northern Peru impossible, a top executive said. "The paralyzation of operations is total," said Carlos Santa Cruz, vice president of South America operations for Newmont Mining, the Denver-based company that owns a majority stake in the Yanacocha gold mine." More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Stratabound Closes Financing - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Sierra Minerals Inc.: Shareholders Approve the Acquisition of the Cerro Colorado Gold Mine - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Franconia Engages MTB Project Management for Birch Lake Advancement - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


426 g/t silver adds value to Cane Gold - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Waseco Shareholders Ratify UraMin Transaction - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Douglas Mackenzie Retires From Excellon - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Typhoon Exploration Inc.: Options Granted to a Director - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Temex engages Knight Piesold for environmental and permitting activities on Gowganda Silver Project - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


sxr Uranium One Announces Honeymoon Feasibility Study and Approves Honeymoon Project - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Magnus International Resources, Inc.: Huidong Drilling Progress Update-Dingjiaping Target Area Ahead of Schedule - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Intrepid Reports Further Positive Gold and Silver Drilling Results in El Salvador - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Continental Minerals Corporation and Great China Mining Inc.: Xietongmen Project Update - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Madison Minerals Inc.: Drill Results from Mt. Kare in PNG; Drilling Update for the Phoenix JV Property in Nevada - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Magnus International Resources, Inc. Regretfully Announces the Passing of Dr. Paul Taufen - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Glass Earth Announces NZ$10 Million Financing and Intention for Secondary Listing on New Zealand Stock Exchange - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Southwestern Receives Regulatory Acceptance of Previously Announced Share Buy-Back Program - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Arabian American Development Co. Announces Board Approval of Partnership Agreement - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


La Quinta Options Major Land Position in Democratic Republic of Congo - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Buffalo Gold Continues to Hit Significant Mineralization at Mt. Kare - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Terrace Ventures Inc. Public Offering - More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Harmony: can thank Western Areas stake for reserves boost - "The latest mineral resources and reserves statement from Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd, the world’s fifth largest gold miner, demonstrates exactly why gold miners around the world have been so actively involved in mergers and acquisitions, despite the high price of doing cash or share deals." More
- August 29, 2006 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2006

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Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted 29 August, 2006 | |


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