The best witty observation this week came from Bill Murphy with www.gata.org. Bill noted the irony of how media pundits who bash gold will argue that gold is in a bubble (gold's expensive) in one breath, and then bash it again by saying it's a bad investment because gold has underperformed (gold's cheap) inflation rates since 1980's peak. Murphy's main point is, "how can an asset be in a bubble if it's underperforming inflation?" Or, as I'll put it, how can gold be cheap and expensive at the same time? Full Story
The new realities of the precious metal markets are inescapably obvious. In the classic - three legs up, two legs down - bull market pattern, we are undoubtedly in the second "institutional" or "big money" stage. For Elliott Wave fans this would be the 'C' wave, characterized as the longest with a potential break mid-way. Full Story
Inflation is an easily understood phenomenon. Although it takes a myriad of think tanks to find the root of the problem, the issue is quite simple, and investors can easily prepare their portfolios against the ravages of inflation. Full Story
In the last several days I received many letters in which Readers commented on my analysis of the seasonality on the silver market (thank you), so I decided to provide you with more detailed analysis of silver in the following essay. Full Story
Most Gold bulls are silver bulls. The 1970s is the reason why and because inflation that occurs when a secular commodity bull cycle is in effect tends to flow into both precious metals. I have been less than wildly bullish on silver lately. Full Story
Silver may yet outshine gold in 2010 as spot prices for the white metal respond to the prospect of a surge in industrial demand. With a little additional help from investment demand, silver may even rally into the $25 an ounce range. Full Story
The performance of silver this year relative to gold has been paradoxical - on the one hand it has outperformed gold, while on the other it has yet to make new highs. The explanation for this behaviour is of course the fact that silver got trashed last year during the general market meltdown, when it dropped in percentage terms much more than gold, and thus this year it has had much more ground to make up. Full Story
As investors begin their shift away from currencies and into hard assets, gold has waltzed well past $1000 per ounce and has since pushed through $1100. Because precious metals have been long seen as an effective hedge against inflation, investors have been the biggest driver of demand. Full Story
The recent huge purchase of gold by the Indian central bank triggered a substantial rally that took gold to new (nominal - !) highs gathered a lot of attention and generated a substantial rally. I’ve touched this subject in my previous essay, but since this topic is so popular, I would like to put additional comments this time, but from a different point of view. Full Story
Whereas gold has forged ahead to new highs in recent weeks, silver has got bogged down working off overhanging supply, which is the price it is paying for having dropped like a rock last year, so that even though it has risen proportionally more than gold this year, it had so much ground to make up that it still hasn't broken out to new highs. Full Story
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