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Gold Seeker Closing Report – Gold & Silver Fall Over 2%; Miners Gain 1%

By: Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker


-- Posted 4 October, 2006 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$561.50

-$14.90

Silver

$10.66

-$0.24

XAU

122.06

+1.20%

HUI

285.53

+1.01%

GDM

915.20

+0.93%

JSE Gold

2798.38

+0.44%

USD

85.82

+0.09

Euro

126.99

-0.27

Yen

84.75

-0.05

Oil

$59.55

+$0.87

10-Year

4.565%

-0.051

T-Bond

113.00

+0.4375

Dow

11850.61

+1.05%

Nasdaq

2290.95

+2.11%

S&P

1350.22

+1.21%

 

The Metals:

 

Gold remained near unchanged in Asia and rose a bit in London to come into New York a few dollars higher, but it then fell off throughout morning New York trade and remained near its lows in afternoon trade to close with a loss of 2.59%.  Silver also found slight gains in early New York trade before it fell to as low as $10.53 and then rebounded slightly into the close, but it sill ended with a loss of 2.20%.

 

Euro gold fell under €445, platinum lost $41 to $1,072, palladium lost $7 to $292, and copper fell a few cents to about $3.27.

 

Gold and silver equities fell in late morning trade to find nearly 3% losses by early afternoon, but they then rallied into the close and ended about 1% higher.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Factory Orders

Aug

0.0%

-0.2%

-1.0%

ISM Services

Sep

52.9

56.0

57.0

 

Bernanke spoke to the Economics Club of Washington today about “a substantial correction going on in the housing market,” and noted that the fed is “concerned about inflation.”  He also urged policy makers to put Social Security and Medicare on a “sound fiscal footing.”  Fed Vice Chairman Donald Kohn speaks on the economy tonight to the New York University Money Marketeers Club.  Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST are Initial jobless Claims for 9/30 expected at 315,000.

 

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The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell after inventories came in better than expected and showed crude inventories built 3.3 million barrels, gasoline inventories built 1.2 million barrels, and distillates built 200,000 barrels, but energy prices rose in later trade as news of a fire fight in Nigeria increased geopolitical worries and U.S. refiners trimmed their output.

 

The U.S. dollar index rose on remarks last night from Hoenig about inflation being “too high,” but it then pared its gains following Bernanke’s comments late in the trading session today.

 

Treasuries rose after a private report suggested poor employment figures in the government’s report this Friday.  Bonds extended their gains following a poor ISM Services report and ended with decent gains as the yield on the 10-year fell back near 7 month lows.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P rose throughout trade and ended over 1% higher as poor economic data reignited speculation that the fed may not only not raise interest rates, but may even cut interest rates.  The Dow set new record intraday and closing highs.  The Nasdaq closed at a 4 and ½ month high and the S&P closed at a 5 and ½ year high.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were XM, Sirius, GM, Renault, Nissan, Airbus, EADS, ImClone, and Wal-Mart.

 

The Commentary:

 

“What to say after this massacre?

 

Simple … the worst nightmare scenario going into the US elections next month has now fully played out. Unfortunately, it blatantly reveals just how manipulated the gold market is and how desperate the Bush Administration is to do what they can not to lose control of Congress. This is literally a life and death time epic struggle for the President. As a result of Woodward’s book and the Foley scandal, the latest polls show the Republicans can possibly lose control of both the House and Senate. Should that ever occur, the inevitable investigations into the Iraq quagmire could possibly lead to the impeachment and resignation of President Bush … and the Administration knows it.

 

 

What is so important to keep in mind is what we are witnessing here is ALL ABOUT the coming elections. They will be over in a month. So will the gold/silver debacle we are enduring.” - From yesterday’s Midas report by Bill Murphy of LemetropoleCafe.com

 

“December Gold finished down 14.8 at 566.7, 19 off the high and 3.2 up from the low.

 

December Silver closed down 0.25 at 10.795. This was 0.145 up from the low and 0.265 off the high.

 

While the gold market tried to reject the brunt of the selling pressure on Wednesday the psychology in the marketplace was at times dominatingly bearish. In addition to the US numbers giving off more signs of slowing and the US Fed Chairman rekindling concerns of a US housing sector led contraction there was certainly a bit of commodity fund selling and perhaps deflationary selling. In fact, with oil prices showing significant weakness early in the session the market was certainly presented with an early case of fresh deflationary psychology. According to the Press the market also was hit with concentrated stop loss selling interest, which seemed to coincide with the sharp decline in copper and oil prices. In other words, the longs were attacked from both the technical and fundamental perspective. While few people follow the 300 day moving average, the December gold contract did manage to fall below that extremely long term indicator.

 

As in the gold market the December silver contract fell below the 300 day moving average and that is typically a sign of some major negative psychology. Certainly more evidence of slowing in the US stats, lower oil prices and a higher Dollar contributed to the slide, but one has to think that technical stop loss selling exaggerated the action Wednesday. However, some might see the US Fed dialogue as a sign that deflationary conditions are a possible outcome for silver, if the US housing sector manages to totally up end the economy. It is a little surprising that macro economic sentiment in some markets is so conclusively negative on a day in which the Dow managed to definitively carve out another new high.” - The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

$XAU Technical Condition.

 

10/03/2006
SilverStrategies.com

3 Year Chart:
What we know is that the Gold & Silver Index is still above its major support level despite the recent HEAVY SELL-OFF; It still has room to go as low as 120 and 110. If it does so then we should accumulate Gold & Silver shares more aggressively then we could do NOW...



2 Year Chart:
Closer look at $XAU helps to spot the NON-CONFIRMATION between two technical indicators and the Index: The Positive Divergence of RSI conflicts with the "Dead Cross" of 200/50 Moving Averages which is probably more bearish rather then bullish for $XAU; But more discounts in Gold & Silver Sector is a GOOD NEWS!

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Turk interviewed on strange selloff; new Grandich Letter

Michael Nystrom: The Dow's phony new high

Despite blue-chip gains, hedge funds are faltering and closing

More notice for U.S. government's political intervention in markets

Ted Butler: Extreme liquidation

Jim Sinclair: Politically inspired market intervention may break the bank

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 10/03/2006

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,889,388

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

105,220,490

-

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

Streettracks Gold Shares

386.38

12,422,498

US$ 7,230m

LSE (London Stock Exchange) AND Euronext Paris

Gold Bullion Securities

78.15

2,512,713

US$ 1,425m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

9.94

319,486

US$ 181m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

9.89

317,906

US$ 185m

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 10/03/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$798,522,821

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,386,124.118

Shares Outstanding

13,950,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

43.11

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 10/03/2006

 

Total Net Assets

$1,182,485,787

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

104,323,655

Shares Outstanding

10,450,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

3,244.8

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Barrick’s (ABX) priced $1 billion copper-linked notes, Newmont’s (NEM) cleanup costs, Freeport-McMoRan’s (FCX) dividends, and Sterling Mining’s (SRLM.OB) purchase of Essential Metals Corporation interest in the Big Creek tailings facility were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Harmony

HM+6.01% $13.58

2.  Cambior

CBJ +4.69% $3.57

3.  NovaGold

NG +4.30% $15.75

 

LOSERS

1.  DRDGOLD

DROOY-6.15% $1.22

2.  New Gold

NGD -5.97% $6.62

3.  Crystallex

KRY -4.98% $2.67

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Barrick Prices $1 Billion of Copper-Linked Notes - "Barrick Gold Corporation announced today the pricing of $1 billion of copper-linked notes (the "Barrick Notes") comprised of $400 million of 5.75% notes due 2016 and $600 million of 6.35% notes due 2036. The offering of these notes is expected to close on or about October 12, 2006." More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Baltic Resources Inc. Corporate Update - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Stellar Pacific Ventures Inc.: First Resources Estimate at Vassan - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Nortec (NVT) subsidiary commences diamond drilling on Ganarin Epithermal Gold-Silver Project, Southern Ecuador - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Benton (BTC) Receives Further Encouraging Results of Platinum, Palladium and Gold From Area 41 Zone - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Normabec's Shares Listed in Frankfurt and Retains ARGENTUMINVEST to Provide Investor Relations Services - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


IRC Reports On Voisey's Bay Strike Resolution - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Water Exploration in Progress at Sierra Mojada - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Anglo-Canadian Announces: Drill Program Initiated, Drill Permits Filed - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


China Gold Corp. Announces New Information Website - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Landmark Announces Newfoundland Exploration Results - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Astron Begins Comprehensive Assay Program and Prepares for Drilling - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Douglas Lake Minerals Initiates 2,500 Metre Drill Program and Identifies Three New Gold Mineralization Areas At Morogoro - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


La Mancha Acquires 100% of White Foil Mine - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


TMJG Orders NOBO List to Determine Actual Shares Outstanding - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Fortune Minerals provides Mount Klappan update - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Goldstake: Home of Bullion Drilling - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Governor of Qinghai, PRC, Opens the TSX Market Today on Behalf of Inter-Citic - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Crew Gold Corp. Announces Lefa Exploration Update - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Western Warrior completes HRAM survey at Caribou Lake, Manitoba - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


MetalCORP; Geophysics Complete; Drilling Commencing on Big Lake Cu-Zn-Ag-Au Discovery near Hemlo, Ontario - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


YGC Resources reports further results from the northern Lab Zone at its Ketza River property - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Orbite: study results of the National Optics Institute regarding specialty alumina applications - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


SearchGold Signs Drill Contract for Mandiana Gold Property, Guinea - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Intrepid Drilling Strengthens Growth Potential at Casposo - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


New Chief Financial Officer and Vice President Exploration Appointments - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Zaruma Resources: Luz del Cobre Copper Project Technical Report Demonstrates Robust Economics - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Midlands Minerals Commences Drilling for Gold on Several Large Anomalous Zones on the Itilima Project in Tanzania - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Franklin Mining, Inc. Releases Audited Financial Statements - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


HE-5 Resources, Corp. Signs MoU to Acquire a Nevada Mining Corporation - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Second Drill at Candente's Canariaco Norte Copper Project in Northern Peru - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


De Beira Goldfields Inc.: Capital Raising and Activity Update - More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Sterling Mining Acquires Exclusive Rights to Big Creek Tailings Facility - "Under the terms of the agreement, Sterling shall pay EMC a total of US $4.5 million cash and convey a nearby 16 acre land parcel to EMC as follows; US $100,000 upon agreeing to the terms (paid), US $500,000 on or before October 20, 2006 at the first closing when the purchase and sale agreement is signed and US $3.9 million on or before January 22, 2007 at the second closing when the tailing facility is conveyed to Sterling Mining Company and the land parcel is conveyed to EMC." More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


EPA Picks Plan for Uranium Mine Cleanup - "The EPA estimates the cleanup work and annual maintenance will cost about $152 million. The federal regulatory agency has sued owner Dawn Mining Co. and its parent company, Newmont Mining Corp., for cleanup costs." More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividends on Common and Preferred Stocks - "$0.3125 per share of FCX's Common Stock. $13.75 per share of FCX's 5 1/2% Convertible Perpetual Preferred Stock." More
- October 04, 2006 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2006

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted 4 October, 2006 | |


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