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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Fall As Credit Concerns Roil Markets Again

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 9 August, 2007 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$660.80

-$14.00

Silver

$12.67

-$0.44

XAU

142.64

-2.91%

HUI

339.38

-2.27%

GDM

1066.01

-1.99%

JSE Gold

2307.85

UNCH

USD

80.77

+0.46

Euro

136.391

-1.12

Yen

84.56

+1.07

Oil

$71.59

-$0.56

10-Year

4.790%

-0.070

T-Bond

109.125

+0.1875

Dow

13270.68

-2.83%

Nasdaq

2556.49

-2.16%

S&P

1453.09

-2.96%

 

Summary:

 

BNP Parabis suspended three funds(froze withdrawals) due to problems in the U.S. subprime mortgage market that impacted the value of the funds and this event sent a new wave of credit worries throughout the rest of the world’s markets.  Stocks, oil, gold, and the euro all fell as a result on increased worries over slowing economic growth stemming from subprime contagion and the spread of credit risks.  This also encouraged another round of unwinding in the yen carry trade which furthered losses in most markets as traders sold their investments to buy back the yen they had borrowed in order to take positions in those investments in the first place, thus resulting in a drop in nearly all investments. 

 

The panic was so bad that the “European Central Bank tried to calm markets by pumping a record 94.8 billion euros ($130.6 billion) in overnight funds into the money market” and “the Federal Reserve carried out a $12 billion one-day repurchase agreement, on top of an earlier $12 billion 14-day repo… as an attempt to boost liquidity after overnight interest rates spiked.”

 

Shortly after 11:30AM EST was a segment on CNBC including Peter Schiff, a weekly contributor to articles at GoldSeek.  The roundtable discussion sums up the situation quite well and is expected to be found soon here.

 

The Metals:

 

Gold fell along with the majority of assets as traders were forced to sell any and everything in their portfolios to raise cash and buy back borrowed yen among other things.  It seems counterintuitive that traders would sell the ultimate safe haven asset to do so, but many are motivated to sell assets that show gains in order to offset losses in other investments that they are forced to cover due to margin calls and other necessary obligations.  Bottom-line, this looks like a short-term and erroneous reaction in gold and such events have proven to be short-lived opportunities in the past.

 

Gold began its fall in London and dropped to as low as $659.50 in early New York trade before it bounced around at slightly higher levels in the low $660s for the rest of trade, but it still ended near its low with a loss of 2.07%.  Silver dropped to as low as $12.66 before it rebounded about 1% off its low by late morning, but it then fell back off in afternoon trade and ended with a loss of 3.36%.

 

Euro gold fell to about €483, platinum lost $15 to $1,269, palladium lost $2 to $359, and copper fell roughly 4 cents to about $3.58.

 

Gold and silver equities fell over 3% in the first 20 minutes of trade before they rebounded and saw less than 2% losses by late morning, but they then fell back off in afternoon trade and remained roughly 2.5% lower into the close.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Initial Claims

8/04

316K

310K

309K

 

Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings Import and Export Prices for July and at 2PM is the Treasury Budget for July expected at -$33.0 billion.

 

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The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell on worries over slowing economic growth and on a NOAA forecast that predicted fewer tropical storms, but losses pared in all energy prices after it was announced that natural gas inventories built a smaller than expected 42 billion cubic feet.

 

The dollar rose strongly versus the euro as subprime mortgage worries spread to European banks and encouraged euro selling, but it fell verses the yen on further unwinding of the carry trade as traders sold their riskier investments to buy back their previously borrow yen.  Overall, the U.S. dollar index rose along with treasuries as investors sold nearly all other assets in a flight to quality move and dumped their money into the supposed safety of what so far remains the world’s reserve currency.  For an in depth look at why looking towards US dollar related assets for safety may be the wrong move, I suggest reading today’s post at GoldSeek by Jim Willie titled MBS Monetization and USDollar.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P fell markedly throughout the day and closed AT their lows of the session with over 2% losses on renewed credit worries and preliminary retail sales reports that have so far not come out as good as expected.  Early reports also show that this massive down day came on record high volume as well.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were various retailers, BNP Parabis, NIBC, Campbell and Godiva, BAE, and Fortis.

 

The Commentary:

 

“December Gold finished down 13.5 at 672.8, 5.2 off the high and 3 up from the low.

 

September Silver closed down 0.465 at 12.705. This was 0.005 up from the low and 0.195 off the high.

 

Apparently the gold market wasn't able to get out from under the weight of a broad based macro economic washout. It is also clear that the gold market on Thursday was under the ongoing influence of a broad based physical commodity market liquidation. Seeing the Dollar rise sharply as a flight to quality instrument has several negative consequences for gold, as many gold bulls are really disappointed that gold was put out of favor in a situation that historically benefited gold prices and also the Dollar action clearly prompted some fresh currency related selling interest. With the stock market under significant duress and the Press fanning concerns of severe slowing ahead, it is logical for the gold market to fear a reduction in investment and physical demand.

 

The silver market seemed to suffer more than the gold market at the hands of the broad market washout on Thursday. With the equity market remaining under significant pressure, it is likely that the sharp declines in silver were directly the result of sagging macro economic expectations. With copper and platinum prices under significant pressure, one could also say that silver prices were pressured by both physical commodity market developments and financial market concerns.” - The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

ECB gushes cash as credit market turmoil spreads

Another shot in the currency fight: Chinese threaten divestment

Bush, Paulson tell Chinese they'd be stupid to dump dollar

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 8/8/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,151,958

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

133,346,423

-

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

509.29

16,374,170

US$ 11,060m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

94.64

3,042,619

US$ 2,014m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

12.48

400,751

US$ 266m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

14.28

459,246

US$ 306m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The NYSE/SGX subtracted 0.31 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 8/8/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,008,255,433

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,494,949.081

Shares Outstanding

15,100,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

46.50

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 8/8/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,845,005,095

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

141,612,134.500

Shares Outstanding

14,250,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

4,404.63

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Second quarter results from Apex Silver (SIL) and Goldcorp (GG), Tanzanian Royalty’s (TRE) contract negotiations for 13 Prospecting licenses in Tanzania, Seabridge’s (SA) buy rating from Dutton Associates, Paramount’s (PZG) Amex opening bell ringing, Royal Gold’s (RGLD) merger with Battle Mountain, SNS Silver’s (SNS.V) drilling, Abcourt’s (ABI.V) feasibility study, and Sabina’s (SBB.V) President and CEO appointment were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  US Energy

USEG +5.65% $5.05

2.  Gammon Gold

GRS+4.23% $10.84

3.  Apex Silver

SIL +2.67% $17.30

 

LOSERS

1.  Hecla

HL -11.96% $6.70

2.  Taseko

TGB-10.94% $4.72

3.  Paramount

PZG -8.39% $2.73

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Antares intercepts 385 m grading 0.74% Cu and 0.043% Mo in second deep hole at Haquira East porphyry discovery - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Drilling Continues to Expand the Gold Oxide Skarn Zone at Acero-Martin's Pinaya Project, Southeastern Peru - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


SNS Silver Completes 10 Drill Holes at Crescent Mine - "SNS Silver Corporation (TSX-V: SNS - News; "SNS") reports continued progress at the Crescent Mine. SNS has completed the drilling of 10 holes in the upper country of the Crescent Mine approximating 12,000 feet of core. SNS is currently waiting on assay results." More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Saturn Minerals Inc. to Be Available Through Standard & Poor's Market Access Program - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Dynacor Gold Mines Inc., wholly-owned subsidiary of Malaga Inc., raises CA$4 million - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Prospecting results from McFarlane property - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Gold Reserve Announces Conference Call to Discuss 2007 Second Quarter Results - "Gold Reserve Inc. (TSX:GRZ - News; AMEX:GRZ - News) will hold a conference call to discuss 2007 second quarter results on Monday, August 20, 2007 at 4:30 p.m. Eastern daylight time (1:30 p.m. Pacific daylight time)." More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


ABV Gold, Inc. Updates Shareholders - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Conference Call Notification - Q2-2007 Financial Results - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Beartooth Platinum Corporation Announces 2007 Drill Program for Stillwater Project - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Erdene Intersects 112 metres of 0.08% Molybdenum and Commences Phase II Drilling Program at Zuun Mod - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Northland Appoints Stuart Pettifor to the Board of Directors - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Geodex reports acquisition of two new prospects near Sisson Brook, New Brunswick, and update on the property drilling program - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Utah Uranium Acquires the Hoopie Uranium Mine - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


GLR Announces New Addition to Board of Directors - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Robex exercises its option on Sanoula - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Optimized Feasibility Study and Equipment Purchase for the Abcourt-Barvue Project - "Mr. Renaud Hinse, president and COO of Abcourt Mines Inc (CDNX:ABI.V - News) is pleased to announce that Genivar Limited Partnership of Quebec City has recently completed an optimization of their 43-101 feasibility study on the Abcourt-Barvue project as reported on February 15, 2007. In addition, Mr Renaud Hinse is also pleased to announce that the buying of used mill equipment has started." More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Tanzanian Royalty Enters Into Contract Negotiations For Mineral Licenses with company from People's Republic of China - "Tanzanian Royalty Exploration Corporation (AMEX: TRE / TSX: TNX) is pleased to announce that it has entered into contract negotiations with a company from the People's Republic of China (the "PRC Company") for 13 Prospecting licenses in Tanzania." More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Mediterranean confirms significant expansion of polymetallic potential at Corak - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Royal Gold Files S-4 Registration Statement to Advance Merger With Battle Mountain Gold Exploration - "As announced in the Company's July 31, 2007 press release, Royal Gold has agreed to acquire 100% of the fully diluted shares of Battle Mountain. Battle Mountain shareholders may elect to receive either cash consideration of $0.55 per Battle Mountain share or from 0.0172 to 0.0179 shares of Royal Gold common stock per Battle Mountain share, in each case assuming there are 91,563,506 Battle Mountain shares outstanding at closing." More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Dutton Associates Announces Investment Opinion: Seabridge Gold Increased Price Target And Buy Rating Maintained By Dutton Associates - "Dutton Associates updates its coverage of Seabridge Gold (AMEX:SA - News) with a Buy rating and increasing its target price to US$35.00. The 21-page report by Dutton senior analyst Mike Niehuser is available at www.jmdutton.com as well as from First Call, Bloomberg, Zacks, Reuters, Knobias, and other leading financial portals." More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Matamec Explorations Inc.: Drilling to Begin on Lesperance Property - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Luna Gold awards drill contract for the Aurizona Gold Project, Maranhao State, Brazil - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Moto Goldmines Limited: Issue of June 30, 2007 Interim Quarter Financial Statements and Management Discussion and Analysis - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Fortune Minerals completes purchase of minority interest in NICO project - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Tribute Intersects 4.27% Zinc, 1.2% Copper and 63.4 g/t Indium Over 6.1 Metres True Width - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Galantas Recognises Expansion of Kearney Vein System - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Franklin Hosting GDR Privée in Santa Cruz, Bolivia - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Timmins Gold Corp. Retains Grandich Publications - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Crew Gold Corporation Quarter Ended June 30, 2007 Results Conference Call - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Newstrike Resources Advises on Warrant and Option Exercises - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Unico, Inc. Announces Recording of Quitclaim Deed and Water Rights Deed to Complete Deer Trail Mine Purchase - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Azimut and Everton discover new mineralized zone at Opinaca, James Bay region, Quebec - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Constellation Copper Reports Second Quarter 2007 Financial Results - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Uranium Hunter Identifies Uranium Targets From Uganda Radiometric Data on the Kibaale Project - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Conway Resources Completes Over 7,000 Metres of Drilling on its Conway Paquin and Lavallee Properties - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


WSR Gold Inc.: Mario Miranda Appointed CFO of WSR - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Midlands Minerals Expands Gold Zone Southwest of Esaase Pit on Sian-Ghana - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Cream Minerals Announces Financing by MineralFields - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


International Barytex Resources Ltd.: Further Drill Results at the Shituru Copper-Cobalt Property, Including 28 Metres at 8.8% Copper - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Amerix Precious Metals Completes Private Placement - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Everton and Azimut Discover a New Mineralized Zone on Opinaca "A", James Bay Region, Quebec - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


GLR Resources: Final Feasibility Study Available on www.sedar.com - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


PolyMet Reports a 51% Increase in Mineral Resources at NorthMet - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Anvil Mining Reports Record Net Income of $35.4 Million ($0.58 per share) for the Second Quarter 2007 and an Operating Profit of $43.1 Million - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Mustang Provides Update Drills New Exploration Holes - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Third Drill Turning at Crosshair's Central Mineral Belt Uranium Project in Labrador - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Pitchstone Exploration Ltd.: $3,000,000 Private Placement Closes - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Liberty Star Uranium & Metals Corp. to Host Investor Dinner Meeting in Deerfield Beach, FL - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Sabina Silver Corporation: Appointment of New Chief Executive Officer and President - "Sabina Silver Corporation (CDNX:SBB.V - News) is pleased to announce the appointment of Albert Brantley to the position of the President and Chief Executive Officer and a Director of the Company, effective August 8, 2007. Mr. Brantley will be responsible for leading the development of Sabina's silver-zinc Hackett River project through feasibility to production as well as exploration projects in the Red Lake District and the Eskay Creek Area." More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Uranium Resources, Inc. Reports $8.0 Million in Revenue and $1.2 Million in Net Income for Second Quarter 2007 Results - More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Apex Silver Reports on Second Quarter 2007 Results - "Apex Silver Mines Limited (AMEX:SIL - News) today reported a net loss of $143.8 million or $2.45 per share for the second quarter 2007 compared to a net loss of $80.5 million or $1.40 per share for the same 2006 period." More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Goldcorp Reports Second Quarter Earnings - "Goldcorp Inc. (Toronto:G.TO - News)(NYSE:GG - News) today reported adjusted net earnings of $95.3 million(1), or $0.14 per share, for the quarter ended June 30, 2007. This compares to adjusted net earnings of $136.9 million, or $0.36 per share, in the second quarter of 2006. Second quarter 2007 adjusted earnings exclude the effect of a $104.4 million non-cash loss on the revaluation of future income tax liabilities due to the strengthening Canadian dollar. Excluding all adjustments, the Company reported net earnings of $2.9 million compared to $190.4 million." More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Paramount Gold Rings the Bell on the American Stock Exchange - "Our listing on the Amex is an important milestone in the development of Paramount Gold. We are honored to be among the small selected group of metals and mining companies listed on the Amex and believe this will provide our shareholders with greater liquidity, allowing better access for US and Canadian investors to participate in our extensive exploration program at our San Miguel silver and gold project in Mexico." More
- August 09, 2007 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2007

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted 9 August, 2007 | |


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