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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Gain Over 1% on the Week as Dollar Plummets

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 28 September, 2007 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$743.10

+$10.60

+1.66%

Silver

$13.72

+$0.24

+1.70%

XAU

168.75

+0.86%

-1.63%

HUI

392.97

+1.76%

-1.69%

GDM

1224.92

+1.42%

-0.59%

JSE Gold

2689.91

-0.11%

-2.22%

USD

77.77

-0.64

-1.04%

Euro

142.74

+1.19

+1.32%

Yen

87.16

+0.69

+0.52%

Oil

$81.66

-$1.22

+0.05%

10-Year

4.579%

+0.006

-1.14%

Bond

111.34375

UNCH

+0.54%

Dow

13895.63

-0.12%

+0.55%

Nasdaq

2701.50

-0.30%

+1.13%

S&P

1526.75

-0.30%

+0.07%

 

The Metals:

 

CoT Reports: Gold | Silver

 

Gold shot to a new 27 year high despite a drop in the price of oil as the dollar broke decidedly under 78.0 to a new all-time low.  After trading nearly 1% higher in Asia and London, gold jumped even higher in early New York trade to over $742 by 9AM EST, remained near its highs for the rest of trade, and closed with a gain of 1.45%.  Silver climbed to over $13.80 by late morning in New York before it moderated a bit into the close, but it still ended with a respectable gain of 1.78%.

 

Euro gold rose to over €521, platinum gained $28 to $1385 to a new all time high, palladium gained $2 to $343, and copper rose slightly to about $3.68.

 

Gold and silver equities traded over 2% higher for most of trade before they fell back off a bit in the last hour of trade, but they still ended with about 1% gains.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Personal Income

Aug

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

Personal Spending

Aug

0.6%

0.4%

0.4%

Core PCE Inflation

Aug

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

Chicago PMI

Sep

54.2

53.0

53.8

Construction Spending

Aug

0.2%

-0.2%

-0.5%

Michigan Sentiment

Sep

83.4

84.0

83.8

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - September

83.4 v. 83.8

 

Construction Spending - August

0.2% v. -0.5%

 

Chicago PMI - September

54.2 v. 53.8

 

Core PCE Inflation - August

0.1% v. 0.1%

 

Personal Income - August

0.3% v. 0.5%

 

Personal Spending - August

0.6% v. 0.4%

 

New Home Sales - August

795K v. 867K

 

Help-Wanted Index - August

23 v. 25

 

Initial Claims - 9/22

298K v. 313K

 

GDP - Q2

3.8% v. 4.0%

 

Chain Deflator - Q2

2.6% v. 2.7%

 

Durable Orders - August

-4.9% v. 6.1%

 

Existing Home Sales - August

5.50M v. 5.75M

 

Consumer Confidence - September

99.8 v. 105.6

 

Next week’s economic highlights include the ISM Index on Monday, Pending Home Sales on Tuesday, ISM Services on Wednesday, Initial Jobless Claims and Factory Orders on Thursday, and Consumer Credit and September’s jobs data on Friday.

 

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil rose in early trade on short covering and came within 14 cents of a new all-time high at $83.76, but it then fell on profit taking in late trade and ended back under $82 in volatile end of the quarter action as traders watched weather in the Gulf of Mexico and kept their eye on any news about geopolitical developments over Iran and Nigeria.

 

The U.S. dollar index plummeted to new all-time lows below 78.0 for the first time in its over 40 year existence as tame Core PCE inflation data furthered speculation that the fed will continue to cut interest rates and lessen demand for the currency as other countries are holding interest rates at current levels or even raising rates.

 

Treasuries rose in early trade on tame inflation data that pushed interest rates lower, but they fell back off in late trade and ended near unchanged after the dollar accelerated its losses following comments from the fed’s Poole who defended the fed’s recent 50 basis point cut in rates.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P traded mostly slightly lower on worries over upcoming earnings reports in surprisingly light volume for the last day of trading of the third quarter.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Avaya, UAW and GM, 3com, and Freddie Mac.

 

The Commentary:

 

“After briefly consolidating around $730, some $10 to $15 higher than expected, gold is climbing to new heights.   Why?   Because the U.S. $ is breaking massive support and falling to new lows.  

 

Alongside oil prices climbing when many expected a fall we have entered a new era for gold.   One where the gold price is driven by macro-economics and currencies.  Investment demand is the gold game now as many new funds find their way into gold, probably for the first time.   The quarter end brings book squaring not only in gold but also on mortgage related investments, for the first time since the crisis began.   The market is telling us something is going wrong, horribly wrong in the monetary world.”- Julian D.W. Phillips, www.goldforecaster.com

 

“Gold returns to the center stage Friday reaching fresh record levels. Gold is returning to its historical attribute as a monetary instrument. With the US Dollar falling to new lows, capital is looking for a preservation of wealth asset. As foreign currencies become more expensive and suspect themselves, gold is quickly becoming an asset choice. A lack of faith in the US Dollar’s ability to preserve purchasing power will continue to flood the gold market with investment demand. This is the key driver. I would expect in the coming months the process will continue, in waves, with gold surpassing the $800 level as investors begin to focus on the $1,000 level.”- Peter Spina, www.goldforecaster.com

 

“December Gold finished up 10.1 at 750, 2.5 off the high and 4 up from the low.

 

December Silver closed up 0.275 at 13.92. This was 0.19 up from the low and 0.06 off the high.

 

With another big range up extension this week coming in the wake of a fairly significant spec and fund long positioning in gold from the prior week, it isn't surprising that the Press and trade began to toss around the idea that gold was becoming over extended. However, the bull camp could suggest that the presence of corrective talk means that the market isn't totally bullish. On the other hand, the market did see suggestions from Gold Fields Mineral Services that gold miners could eventually resume hedging. However, the dialogue from GFMS at a gold conference seemed to suggest that the hedging interest might be several years away! With the US Dollar falling aggressively on Friday, the gold market certainly saw an escalation of financial flight to quality anxiety and that might have been accentuated by the weakness in the US equity markets.

 

With gold exploding higher on the charts it wasn't surprising to see December silver rise to the next even number zone of $14.00. However, the silver market had to discount a reversal in the copper market and weakness in the equity market in its track higher. Fortunately for the bull camp the positioning reports in silver will not fully reflect the fact that December silver managed to rise more than 30 cents an ounce above the level where the COT reports were measured at the beginning of the week.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

How Barrick's hedging gold in a rising market could be a bonanza

Northern Rock gets another L5 billion from Bank of England, pays dividend

Citigroup acknowledges central bank scheme to suppress gold

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 9/27/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,021,705

+34,819

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

134,055,112

+125,096

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

578.03

18,584,096

US$ 13,595m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

95.46

3,069,041

US$ 2,278m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

14.30

459,159

US$ 341m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

17.72

569,693

US$ 416m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The LSE added 4.21 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 9/27/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,178,044,278

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,608,254.908

Shares Outstanding

16,250,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

50.02

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 9/27/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,938,527,261

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

143,536,762.300

Shares Outstanding

14,450,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

4,464.49

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 30.88 tonnes were added to the trust.

 

The Stocks:

 

A small fire at Newmont’s (NEM) Yanacocha mine, Barrick’s (ABX) plans to not hedge more gold production, Sterling’s (SRLM.OB) listing on the TSX and commenced processing at Sunshine, ECU’s (ECU.TO) new vein discovery, and Coeur’s (CDE) drill results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Banro

BAA +17.81% $12.20

2.  Cardero

CDY +11.66% $1.82

3.  International Tower Hill

THM +10.42% $2.65

 

LOSERS

1.  Buenaventura

BVN-4.90% $47.78

2.  Metalline

MMG -2.38% $2.87

3.  US Energy

USEG-2.00% $4.42

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Logan Resources announces grant of stock options - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


GWR Closes $3,250,000 Brokered Private Placement - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Vannessa Grants Stock Options - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Sterling Common Shares to Commence Trading on the TSX - "Sterling Mining Company (OTC BB:SRLM.OB - News)(Frankfurt:SMX.F - News) announces that further to the conditional approval of the Toronto Stock Exchange ("TSX") to list its common shares (see press release dated August 2, 2007), the Company has now satisfied all conditions of the TSX, such that the common shares of Sterling will commence trading on October 2, 2007 under the symbol "SMQ"." More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Explor Engages Buick Group Investor Relations - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Alturas Minerals Appoints CFO, Controller and Establishes Toronto Office - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Anaconda Mining Receives Initial Payment From Penoles - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Comprehensive Memorandum of Understanding Signed between Sego Resources Inc. and Upper Similkameen Indian Band for Sego Resources Inc.'s Miner Mountain Project - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Rare Element to Announce Sundance Gold-Assay Results - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Noront Resources Ltd.: Windfall Lake Underground Ramp to Start - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Vior Inc.: Exploration Up-Date on Bourgeoys and Lac-Edouard Nickel Projects - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


UNOR Announces Financing - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Newmont Yanacocha gold mine fine after small fire - "Newmont Mining Corp's (NEM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) Yanacocha gold mine was operating normally on Friday after a fire apparently set by arsonists damaged a plastic water duct near the mine, a company official said." More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Randsburg International announces launch of new website - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Metanor Resources Inc.: Adoption of a Shareholder Rights Plan, modification of the Stock Option Plan and granted of options - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Conway Resources to Drill 3,000 Metres on its Lavallee and Brisebois Properties - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Unico, Inc. Adds New Photo Gallery Showing Work to Complete Secondary Substation at the Deer Trail Mine - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Houston Lake Ships 114 Drill Core Samples for Gold Analysis - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Enterayon Forms New Subsidiary - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Update on the Corporate Action Related to the Reverse Split of the Preferred Shares (Old Symbol: PAIMP) and the Mandatory Recall & Conversion - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Firesteel Announces Further Strong Copper and Gold Mineralization at its Copper Creek Property - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


FNX Exercises Right to Purchase Dynatec's Mining Services Business - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Millstream Starts Up Gold Mill at Tamarack - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Announcement to the Australian Securities Exchange and Toronto Stock Exchange - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


AmMex Gold Commences Phase 2 of Drilling at Bailey Hill, Nevada - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Grenville Gold Launches Market Awareness Campaign With Conference Appearances in Calgary, Munich and Frankfurt, Zurich, Geneva and London - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Liberty Provides McWatters Drill Results and Groves Update - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Wits Basin Announces New Director, Dr. Joe Mancuso - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Adanac Molybdenum Corporation: Major Mining Equipment Selected and Ordered For Ruby Creek Project - More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Sterling Mining Begins Processing Ore Through Sunshine Mill - "Sterling Mining Company (OTC BB:SRLM.OB - News) (Frankfurt:SMX.F - News) today reported that its Sunshine Mine milling and concentrating facility is operational and has commenced processing Sunshine vein ore from the Mine's Upper Country development." More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Barrick CEO plans no return to gold hedges: report - "Barrick Gold (ABX.TO: Quote, Profile, Research) has no plans to return to the futures markets to hedge its gold production, but does hedge its copper output, Chief Executive Greg Wilkins told television broadcaster CNBC on Friday." More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


ECU Silver Announces New Vein Discovery and Exploration Update - "Recent drill holes have been aimed at testing the various major east - west trending veins in the Velardena Property. These main veins, namely Roca Negra, Terneras, San Juanes and San Mateo have been encountered along with several smaller veins that are associated with the main veins. Several of these smaller veins are of considerable interest to us and we are awaiting assays and interpretation." More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Coeur Announces Additional High-Grade Drill Results at Cerro Bayo Mine - "Coeur d'Alene Mines Corporation (NYSE:CDE - News; TSX:CDM - News) today announced updated exploration results at its Cerro Bayo Mine in Chile, where the accelerated drilling program on the company's large land holdings has continued to return consistently high-grade silver and gold intercepts close to the mine's processing facilities." More
- September 28, 2007 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2007

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.

 


-- Posted 28 September, 2007 | |


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