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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Fall Slightly on the Week

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 5 October, 2007 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

Note:  Monday is Canada's Thanksgiving Day and the Canadian markets will be closed.  Monday is also Columbus Day in the US and banks and government offices are closed, mail isn't delivered, and the bond market is closed, but the US stock markets are open as usual.

 

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$741.30

+$4.20

-0.24%

Silver

$13.38

+$0.02

-2.48%

XAU

171.27

+1.70%

+1.49%

HUI

393.99

+1.79%

+0.26%

GDM

1231.57

+2.31%

+0.54%

JSE Gold

2567.68

+0.52%

-4.54%

USD

78.31

-0.10

+0.69%

Euro

141.35

+0.17

-0.97%

Yen

85.49

-0.35

-1.92%

Oil

$81.22

-$0.22

-0.54%

10-Year

4.640%

+0.117

+1.33%

Bond

110.78125

-1.3125

-0.51%

Dow

14066.01

+0.66%

+1.23%

Nasdaq

2780.32

+1.71%

+2.92%

S&P

1557.59

+0.96%

+2.02%

 

The Metals:

 

Gold traded mostly slightly lower in Asia and London and then dropped nearly $10 in New York to as low as $727.50 after better than expected jobs data initially pushed the dollar higher, but the dollar soon fell back off and gold roared back up to as high as $743.60 before it eased about $2 into the close and ended with a gain of 0.57%.  Silver followed a similar pattern and fell to as low as $13.227 before it shot up to $13.483 and then also moderated a bit into the close, but it still ended with a gain of 0.15%.

 

Euro gold rose to over €525, platinum gained $5 to $1370, palladium gained $5 to $367, and copper fell slightly to about $3.73.

 

Gold and silver equities steadily rose throughout most of trade and ended with about 2% gains.

 

CoT Reports: Gold | Silver

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Nonfarm Payrolls

Sep

110K

100K

89K

Unemployment Rate

Sep

4.7%

4.7%

4.6%

Hourly Earnings

Sep

0.4%

0.3%

0.3%

Average Workweek

Sep

33.8

33.8

33.8

Consumer Credit

Aug

$12.2B

$8.6B

$9.6B

 

The BLS adjustment added 17,000 payrolls to September’s data and August jobs were revised up to a gain of 89,000 from a previous report showing a loss of 4,000 Nonfarm Payrolls.

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Consumer Credit - August

$12.2B v. $9.6B

 

Nonfarm Payrolls - September

110K v. 89K

 

Unemployment Rate - September

4.7% v. 4.6%

 

Hourly Earnings - September

0.4% v. 0.3%

 

Average Workweek - September

33.8 v. 33.8

 

Factory Orders - August

-3.3% v. 3.4%

 

Initial Claims - 9/29

317K v. 301K

 

ISM Services - September

54.8 v. 55.8

 

Pending Home Sales - August

-6.5% v. -10.7%

 

ISM Index - September

52.0 v. 52.9

 

Next week’s economic highlights include FOMC minutes on Tuesday, Wholesale Inventories on Wednesday, Export and Import Prices, Initial Jobless Claims, and the Trade Balance and Treasury Budget on Thursday, and Retail Sales, PPI, Business Inventories, and Michigan Sentiment on Friday.

 

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell on profit taking and concerns over waning demand, but it did end well off its lows and still above $81.

 

The U.S. dollar index initially rose following the stronger than expected jobs report, but it soon fell back off and ended the day lower in an apparent resumption of its long term downtrend after the fed’s Kohn commented that we should expect further near-term weakness.

 

Treasuries fell markedly after the jobs report came in better than expected and pushed interest rates higher as it made it less likely the fed will continue to cut interest rates.

 

The Dow rose back above 14,000, the S&P rose to a new record high, and the Nasdaq rose to a new 6 and ¾ year high on hopes that jobs data indicates that the economy is recovering nicely from credit problems and recession fears that began in August.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Research in Motion, Barclays and ABN, Goldman, Aetos, Simplex, and Washington Mutual.

 

The Commentary:

 

“The gold price behaved impressively yesterday after being knocked down to $723, then running up to over $737, then back down only to finish at close to the days high.   This made it clear to funds and dealers who were probably the culprits on the down side that investment buying is still strong as is shown by the tonne a day investment buying at the moment.

 

With HSBC warning of massive capital outflows in the U.K. and U.K. investors pouring into the gold E.T.F. fund there [GBS – Gold Bullion Securities], could matters go back to the Exchange Controls seen there in 1971, to prevent such an outflow?   This will certainly benefit the gold price.

 

There has been a massive degree of support for the $ as it has rallied back to what was support but is now resistance, but we suspect that this is just a rally.   The uncertainty appears likely to persist in many quarters of the financial world with confidence being the victim.   There is little sign of the actions needed to structurally improve prospects for the $, so we see no reason why gold and silver should not continue to rise.”- Julian D.W. Phillips, www.goldforecaster.com

 

“December Gold finished up 3.4 at 747.2, 3.5 off the high and 14.2 up from the low.

 

December Silver closed down 0.01 at 13.49. This was 0.16 up from the low and 0.11 off the high.

 

The gold market really forged an impressive reaction to the Monthly Non farm payroll readings, as it deflected an initial rally in the Dollar and managed to finish firm. Some traders suggested that seeing decent economic activity and seeing a weaker Dollar was the best of both worlds. In fact, seeing a slide in the Dollar in the face of a soaring equity market would almost seem to put the gold market back into the fundamental posture that was in place in January and February. In the January and February time the gold market seemed to have a very tight and positive correlation with the US equity market. About the only thing disappointing to the bear camp in gold was the weakness in oil and copper prices.

 

The silver market certainly underperformed the gold market and that might be the result of the gold market being closely tied to the ebb and flow of the US Dollar. However, the silver market as a quasi industrial demand led commodity market should have been boosted by the favorable Non Farm payroll readings and the optimism brought on by the rise in the equity markets. It is possible that silver prices were periodically held back as a result of weaker oil and copper prices, but with lead market managing a new all time high early in the session, there just wasn't much weight given to any macro economic themes on Friday.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Rise of giant funds sparks fear of global shockwave

No inflation? Rare gold coin doubles in value in two years

Central bank gold sales fall below quota for second year

Credit squeeze induces ECB to avoid rate increase

Bank of England leaves interest rates on hold

Former Goldman Sachs exec is new governor of Bank of Canada

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 10/4/2007

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,183,636

-487

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

132,822,912

-310,461

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

Streettracks Gold Shares

577.85

18,578,347

US$ 13,478m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

97.90

3,147,544

US$ 2,337m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

15.06

483,998

US$ 360m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

18.21

585,463

US$ 424m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The JSE added 0.25 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 10/4/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,186,159,901

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,607,768.854

Shares Outstanding

16,250,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

50.01

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 10/4/2007

 

Total Net Assets

$1,896,718,460

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

143,481,444.700

Shares Outstanding

14,450,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

4,462.77

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Peter Hambro Mining’s (POG.L) $159 million offering, Lundin Mining’s (LMC) plans to increase production, and Aquiline’s (AQI.TO) filed court response were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Ivanhoe

IVN +8.13% $13.70

2.  Vista Gold

VGZ +7.87% $4.66

3.  Minco Gold

MGH +6.86% $1.09

 

LOSERS

1.  US Gold

UXG-5.83% $5.65

2.  Paramount

PZG -5.06% $2.44

3.  Endeavour

EXK -1.98% $3.47

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Grandview Gold Grants Incentive Options - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Nirek Resources Inc. Re-Opens Kirana Mine - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Melkior Announces Private Placements of up to $1,200,000 - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Freewest Resources Canada Inc. Retains AGORACOM to Provide Online IR Marketing and Social Network for Shareholders - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Hawk Initiates Airborne Survey on Cortez Township Uranium Project in the Elliot Lake Area - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Andean Starts 30,000 Metre Phase 4 Drill Program at Cerro Negro - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Great West Gold, Inc. - Confirmation of Immediate Name and Trading Symbol Change - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Mintz Levin Advises International Consolidated Minerals Inc. in Acquisition of Peruvian Mining Company - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Update on Ashdown operations - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Brownstone Announces Name Change and Consolidation - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Thistle announces acceptance of a revised offer for its interests in the President Steyn Gold Mine - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Uravan Announces Extension - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Quadra Mining mulls options after water ruling - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Canadian Royalties Appoints Vice-President Operations and General Mine Manager for the Nunavik Nickel Project - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Peter Hambro to raise $150 mln for gold projects - "Peter Hambro Mining (POG.L: Quote, Profile , Research) on Friday launched an offering of up to $150 million of gold equivalent exchangeable bonds to raise finance for development and exploration of gold assets in Russia." More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Bayfield Ventures Corp:. Trading Halted at Company's Request Pending News - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Benton Discovers New High Grade Nickel and Copper Along With Platinum and Palladium at Bark Lake - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Lundin Mining Plans to Quadruple Its Zinc Production at Neves-Corvo and Commence Copper Production at Zinkgruvan - "Lundin Mining Corporation ("Lundin Mining" or the "Company") (Toronto:LUN.TO - News)(NYSE:LMC - News)(OMX: LUMI) is pleased to announce that the Company's Board of Directors has approved major expansion programmes at the Neves-Corvo copper-zinc mine in southern Portugal and at the Zinkgruvan mine, in central Sweden." More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Announcement to the Australian Securities Exchange and Toronto Stock Exchange - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Zaruma Resources: Establishes Financing of Luz del Cobre Copper Project and Exploration Financing at San Antonio (Sonora, Mexico) - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Grenville Appoints Deloitte & Touche as Auditors and Provides Company Update - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Crew Gold Corporation: Group Update - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Telephone access available for Inmet Mining third quarter conference call - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Denison Mines Announces Results on Huard-Kirsch Lakes Uranium Project, Athabasca, Saskatchewan - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Consolidated Abaddon Resources Inc. and Denison Mines Announce Results On Huard-Kirsch Lakes Uranium Project, Athabasca, Saskatchewan - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Canasia Industries Corporation Enters Negotiations on Mineral Properties - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Idaho General Mines Announces Results of Annual Meeting; Shareholders Approve Delaware Reincorporation and Name Change to General Moly - More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail


Aquiline Files Response to IMA Application for Leave to Appeal - "Aquiline Resources Inc. ("Aquiline" or the "Company") (TSX:AQI - News) has today filed with the Supreme Court of Canada the response of its 100% wholly owned subsidiary, Minera Aquiline Argentina SA, to the IMA Exploration Inc. ("IMA") Application for Leave to Appeal the decision of the Court of Appeal for British Columbia concerning ownership of the Navidad deposit in Argentina." More
- October 05, 2007 | Item | E-mail

 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2007

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.

 


-- Posted 5 October, 2007 | |


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