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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold Falls Slightly and Silver Gains Over 2% on the Week

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 1 February, 2008 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$907.90

-$15.30

-0.29%

Silver

$16.79

-$0.08

+2.32%

XAU

184.61

-0.91%

-0.50%

HUI

451.56

-1.62%

-2.17%

GDM

1361.86

-1.59%

-2.29%

JSE Gold

2498.37

-95.31

+1.56%

USD

75.48

+0.31

-0.67%

Euro

148.16

-0.47

+1.02%

Yen

93.98

+0.05

+0.59%

Oil

$89.01

-$2.74

-1.87%

10-Year

3.600%

-0.039

+0.45%

Bond

119.78125

+0.46875

-0.08%

Dow

12743.19

+0.73%

+4.39%

Nasdaq

2413.36

+0.98%

+3.75%

S&P

1395.42

+.122%

+4.87%

 

The Metals:

 

Gold rose to a new record intraday high of $936.65 in London, but it then plummeted at about 10AM EST in New York and fell all the way to $904.40 by early afternoon before it closed slightly off that low with a loss of 1.66%.

 

Silver made a new 27 year intraday high of $17.288 before it fell to $16.70 at about noon EST, but it then rallied almost 10 cents from that low and ended with a loss of just 0.47%.

 

Euro gold fell to about €613, platinum gained $25 to $1756 to a new record high, palladium gained $32 or 8.44% to $411, and copper fell a few cents to about $3.26.

 

Gold and silver equities rose nearly 2% in the first half hour of trade, but they then dropped with the metals around 10AM EST and traded roughly 1% lower for the rest of the day.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Nonfarm Payrolls

Jan

-17K

70K

82K

Unemployment Rate

Jan

4.9%

5.0%

5.0%

Hourly Earnings

Jan

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

Average Workweek

Jan

33.7

33.8

33.8

Construction Spending

Dec

-1.1%

-0.5%

0.1%

ISM Index

Jan

50.7

48.4

48.4

Michigan Sentiment

Jan

78.4

79.0

80.5

 

The BLS Net Birth/Death adjustment was -378,000 and helped payrolls show a drop for the first time in four and a half years.

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Construction Spending - December

-1.1% v. 0.1%

 

Michigan Sentiment - January

78.4 v. 80.5

 

ISM Index - January

50.7 v. 48.4

 

Nonfarm Payrolls - January

-17K v. 82K

 

Unemployment Rate - January

4.9% v. 5.0%

 

Hourly Earnings - January

0.2% v. 0.4%

 

Average Workweek - January

33.7 v. 33.8

 

Chicago PMI - January

51.5 v. 56.4

 

Initial Claims - 1/26

375K v. 306K

 

Core PCE Inflation - December

0.2% v. 0.2%.

 

Personal Spending - December

0.2% v. 1.0%

 

Personal Income - December

0.5% v. 0.4%

 

Employment Cost Index - Q4

0.8% v. 0.8%

 

FOMC - 1/30

3.0% v. 3.5%

 

GDP - Q4

0.6% v. 4.9%

 

Chain Deflator - Q4

2.6% v. 1.0%

 

ADP Employment - January

130K v. 37K

 

Consumer Confidence - January

87.9 v. 90.6

 

Durable Orders - December

5.2% v. 0.5%

 

New Home Sales - December

604K v. 634K

 

Next week’s economic highlights include Factory Orders on Monday, ISM Services on Tuesday, Productivity on Wednesday, Initial Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales, and Consumer Credit on Thursday, and Wholesale Inventories on Friday.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell to about $89 as the weak jobs report raised worries about the economy and slowing demand.  OPEC kept output levels unchanged as expected.

 

The U.S. dollar index initially dropped under 75 near a new record low after the poor jobs report, but it then rebounded to find a gain after manufacturing data came in better than expected.

 

Treasuries rose as the bond pit focused on the poor jobs report that makes it more likely the fed will continue to cut interest rates

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P eventually rose after a mixed morning as rate cut hopes encouraged buying.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Moody’s, Alcoa, Chalco, Rio Tinto, the bond insurers, Microsoft, Exxon Mobil, Motorola, Bristol-Myers, Gannett, and Google.

 

The Commentary:

 

“February Gold finished down 14 at 908.7, 22.3 off the high and equal to the low.

 

March Silver closed down 0.125 at 16.87. This was 0.1 up from the low and 0.44 off the high.

 

Apparently different markets viewed the US non Farm payroll report in different perspectives. For instance the Dollar seemed to view the numbers as soft but potentially indicative of an economy that could still avoid a recession and perhaps a series of additional interest rate cuts. With the Dollar firming and macro economic sentiment somewhat moderating in the face of the US number flow, there seemed to be a profit taking mentality surface in gold. Perhaps the stock markets surprisingly up beat reaction to the US monthly payroll reading cushioned sentiment or perhaps the markets saw the Microsoft buyout of Yahoo as another indication that some sectors of the economy are capable of holding together. Certainly the gold market was at least partially overdone from the initial rally but with the slide in gold prices through mid session, the April contract took out the week's lows and reached down to the lowest level since January 24th.

 

The silver market did initially manage another new high move early in the session but in the wake of a sharp US Dollar bounce and aggressive profit taking in gold, silver prices reversed and forged a rather expansive trading range. At least initially the silver market held up better than the gold market which is surprising considering the disappointing US report flow. However, with the silver market in the prior session seeing a sharp decline in Mexican silver production stats, it wasn't surprising to see silver and copper avoiding the type of selling pressure that was seen in the gold market on Friday afternoon. Surprisingly the favorable action in the equity market didn't seem to lend much support to the silver market.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 1/31/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,555,811

+4,711

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

135,486,662

-423,439

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

StreetTRACKS Gold Shares

631.98

20,318,642

US$ 18,753m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

105.20

3,382,247

US$ 3,071m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

17.64

566,923

US$ 515m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

27.15

872,920

US$ 805m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: StreetTRACKS added 1.23 tonnes and the JSE added 0.86 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 1/31/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,750,511,827

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,897,762.380

Shares Outstanding

19,200,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

59.03

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 1/31/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$2,721,526,048

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

162,640,045.700

Shares Outstanding

16,400,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

5,058.67

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Golden Star’s (GSS) completed Ghana offering, Gold Fields’ (GFI) increase in power, a possible strike at Penoles' giant silver refinery in Mexico, and Abcourt’s (ABI.V) mill equipment purchase were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  ITH

THM+13.74% $2.40

2.  Ivanhoe

IVN +9.01% $10.53

3.  Entree

EGI +6.02% $2.29

 

LOSERS

1.  Gold Fields

GFI -6.13% $14.08

2.  DRDGOLD

DROOY-4.29% $11.59

3.  US GOLD

UXG -3.93% $3.67

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Rockgate Drilling Extends Central Zone to East, Begins Testing West Flank at Falea Uranium Project, Mali, West Africa - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Ur-Energy's 2007 Drill Program Prepares Lost Creek for Production Development - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Miranda Gold Corp. Stock Options - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Mexican miners postpone strike at Penoles, AHMSA - "Mexican miners postponed a strike planned for Friday at Penoles' giant silver refinery and steel producer AHMSA to continue talks with the companies, the union said." More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Abcourt Moves Closer to Production With the Purchase of Mill Equipment for the Abcourt-Barvue Project - "Mr. Renaud Hinse, president and C.O.O. of Abcourt Mines Inc. (CDNX:ABI.V - News), is pleased to announce that Abcourt's offer to buy the "East Malartic" flotation and grinding mill equipment plus all accessories including bins, conveyors, cyclones, pumps, tanks, overhead cranes, lime and reagents circuits, electrical circuits, a gravity circuit with two 30" Knelson separators, spare parts, etc, has been accepted. The whole for an amount of $1,375,000." More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Continuum Announces Letter of Intent for Sale of Natividad Project - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


NWT Delivers Response To Azimut "Notice of Default": Allegations Are Without Merit - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Vena Resources Begins Uranium Drilling Program in the Macusani District, Peru - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Kansai Continues Incorporation into British Columbia - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


LJ Eikov Appointed to Reno Gold Board of Directors - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Castillian Announces Stock Options - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Iberian Minerals Corp.: Press Release - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Substantial increase in Etruscan's diamond resource at the Blue Gum Project in South Africa - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Grandview Gold Inc Extends Warrant Expiry Date - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Northland Appoints Scoping Study Manager - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Intrepid Mines Limited: Special Meeting of Shareholders March 3, 2008 - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Southampton Announces Initial Share Issuance under Option Agreement with Noront Resources Ltd. - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Goldmember Minerals Inc. announces appointment of Vice President and investor relations consultant - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


El Nino Ventures intersects 10 meters of 3.50% Cu and 5 meters of 1.90% Cu, in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


U.S. Precious Metals Starts Drilling Campaign - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


90% of total power consumption restored to First Uranium's operations - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Galway Resources provides a corporate update - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Allegiance Says Zinifex Offer Does Not Stack Up Against Other Transactions - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Dynamite Resources Adds Tungsten Results to the Skarn Ridge Discovery at the Mike Lake Project - More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Golden Star Announces Completion of Ghanaian Offering - "Golden Star Resources Ltd. (AMEX: GSS - News) (TSX: GSC - News) today announced that it has completed the sale of 1,869,020 common shares, with gross proceeds to Golden Star of 5,607,060 Ghanaian Cedis or approximately $5.8 million. The offering was carried out in support of Golden Star’s recent application to list its common shares on the Ghana Stock Exchange. The shares were registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933." More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Eskom Reinstates Authority for Mines to Increase Power Load From 80% to 90% - "Gold Fields Limited ("Gold Fields") (NYSE, JSE, DIFX: GFI) reports that Eskom last night reinstated the authorisation for mines to increase their power load from 80% to 90%. This follows after authorisation was withdrawn late yesterday morning." More
- February 01, 2008 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2008

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Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.

 


-- Posted 1 February, 2008 | |


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