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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver End Mixed on the Week

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 11 April, 2008 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$923.85

-$4.15

+1.60%

Silver

$17.67

-$0.31

-0.23%

XAU

181.69

-2.49%

-1.62%

HUI

443.31

-2.44%

-1.61%

GDM

1333.48

-2.04%

-1.51%

JSE Gold

2523.78

+43.51

+3.90%

USD

71.78

-0.32

-0.26%

Euro

158.28

+0.85

+0.59%

Yen

99.14

+1.06

+0.74%

Oil

$110.14

+$0.03

+3.68%

10-Year

3.471%

-0.061

-0.29%

Bond

119.671875

+0.640625

+0.47%

Dow

12325.42

-2.04%

-2.25%

Nasdaq

2290.24

-2.61%

-3.41%

S&P

1332.83

-2.04%

-2.74%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold rose to $932.20 in London before it fell to $917.17 by late morning in New York, but it then rallied back higher into the close and ended with a loss of just 0.45%.  Silver rose to $18.14 in London before it fell to $17.44 by late morning in New York, but it then rallied back higher into the close and ended with a loss of just 1.7%.

 

Euro gold fell to about €585, platinum lost $17 to $1999.50, and copper gained a couple of cents to about $3.97.

 

Gold and silver equities steadily fell for most of trade and ended with a little over 2% losses.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Import Prices

March

2.8%

2.1%

0.2%

Import Prices ex-oil

March

1.1%

-

0.7%

Export Prices

March

1.5%

-

1.1%

Export Prices ex-ag.

March

1.2%

-

0.7%

Michigan Sentiment

April

63.2

69.0

69.5

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - April

63.2 v. 69.5

 

Import Prices - March

2.8% v. 0.2%

 

Import Prices ex-oil - March

1.1% v. 0.7%

 

Export Prices - March

1.5% v. 1.1%

 

Export Prices ex-ag. - March

1.2% v. 0.7%

 

Treasury Budget - March

-$48.1B v. -$96.3B

 

Trade Balance - February

-$62.3B v. -$59.0B

 

Initial Claims - 4/05

357K v. 410K

 

Wholesale Inventories - February

1.1% v. 1.3%

 

Pending Home Sales - February

-1.9% v. 0.3%

 

Consumer Credit - February

$5.2B v. $10.3B

 

Next week’s economic highlights include Retail Sales and Business Inventories on Monday, PPI, the NY Empire State Index, and Net Foreign Purchases on Tuesday, CPI, Housing Starts, Building Permits, Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization, and the fed’s Beige Book on Wednesday, and Initial Jobless Claims, Leading Indicators, and the Philadelphia Fed survey on Thursday.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell in early trade after the IEA cuts its forecast for world oil demand growth, but energy prices moved back higher by the close as traders established positions for the weekend.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell and treasuries rose after Michigan Sentiment came in much lower than expected at a 26 year low, but losses in the dollar were somewhat limited as most waited for headlines from this weekend’s G7 meeting.  Traders are now pricing in a 54% chance that the fed will cut by 50 basis points at their meeting at the end of the month.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P fell throughout trade and ended over 2% lower after GE missed estimates and brought down expectations even further for other earnings reports still due out for the quarter.  Next week includes reports from several of the big financial firms.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were GE, Yahoo and Microsoft, AMD, Frontier, and Lehman Brothers.

 

The Commentary:

 

Just a short update on market views:


Gold- Appears to be building a base after a massive rally this past Winter. While seasonal factors come into play in a couple of months, worldwide economic and political concerns should keep us from seeing any sharp corrections.


U.S. Stock Market - The massive influx of money created out of thin air has bought the bulls some time but I don't think the worse is over. I do think the downside target remains DJIA 10,800-11,000 until further notice.


U.S. Dollar - So long as economic weakness persists, rallies should be just bear market corrections. Somewhere down the road, when it becomes the inflation genie is out of the bottle to all, then we could see a significant dollar rally as interest rates rise sharply. But that is more likely at the minimum, 12-24 months from now, if not longer.

Oil- we may finally see a significant correction of 10%- 20%. But $90-$100 oil is still quite high.”- Peter Grandich, Grandich Letter

 

“June Gold finished down 4.8 at 927, 8 off the high and 6.5 up from the low.

 

May Silver closed down 0.353 at 17.69. This was 0.15 up from the low and 0.45 off the high.

 

The gold market started out with an early probe above the $935 level in the June contract before falling sharply off that high to a mid session low of $920.6. However, into the early afternoon action the market managed a bounce perhaps because it appeared that the US Dollar was going to stay in negative ground for the day. Certainly the combination of slack US economic readings and uncertainty off the GE earnings news rekindled flight to quality concerns but apparently the fear of too much slowing was also a dominating force in the trade. Clearly the G7 meeting served to keep some would be buyers on the sidelines Friday because of fears of a surprise move from the Group of Seven to support the Greenback. In looking back on the week, the gold market seemed to establish a much tighter link with the energy complex than to the US Dollar.

 

Like the gold market, silver prices started out with a fleeting rally attempt but then failed rather aggressively into the scheduled US numbers and the slide in US equity prices. Surprisingly the silver market didn't seem to garner that much support from residual strength in copper prices and from residual strength in unleaded gasoline prices. With grain prices sharply lower and a long list of physical commodity prices also under pressure some silver bulls might be have fearful of a resurgent wave of broad based selling interest.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 4/10/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,626,126

-6,492

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

135,628,576

+1,421,350

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

StreetTRACKS Gold Shares

641.82

20,635,087

US$ 19,146m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

114.06

3,667,027

US$ 3,393m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

20.62

662,591

US$ 613m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

27.99

899,866

US$ 835m

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 4/10/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,910,995,645

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

2,058,818.136

Shares Outstanding

20,850,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

64.04

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 4/10/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$3,383,792,874

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

184,728,713.100

Shares Outstanding

18,650,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

5,745.71

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Paramount’s (PZG) new technical advisor, South American Silver’ (SAC.TO) test results, and Fresnillo’s upcoming IPO on the LSE were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Harmony

HMY+1.42% $11.41

2.  Banro

BAA +1.23% $8.20

3.  Rubicon

RBY +0.77% $1.31

 

LOSERS

1.  Metalline

MMG -5.61% $2.02

2.  DRDGOLD

DROOY-5.48% $9.15

3.  Entree

EGI -4.89% $1.75

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Metco Shareholders' Approve Business Combination With Breakwater - More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Typhoon Issuing Stock Options - More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Mirasol announces high grade gold results from the Curva Project - More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Stingray Copper Inc.: Starter Pit Drilling Complete and Metallurgical Program Underway at El Pilar, Mexico - More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Titan Uranium Options Athabasca Properties to Vale Exploration Canada - More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Greencastle Reports Year End Results and Provides Update - More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Paramount Gold and Silver Corp. Adds Senior Technical Advisor to Team - "Paramount Gold and Silver Corp (Toronto:PZG.TO - News)(AMEX:PZG - News)(Frankfurt:P6G.F - News)(WKN: A0HGKQ) is pleased to announce the addition of Danny Sims as Senior Technical Advisor. Dr. Sims has a bachelor's degree from the University of Cincinnati, M.S. and Ph.D. degrees in economic geology from the University of Arizona, and a J.D. degree from the University of Arizona. Dr. Sims is a fellow member of the Society of Economic Geologists, a California licensed Professional Geologist, and a member of the Arizona Bar. He has over 20 years of experience in the industry with a wide array of skills." More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Coniagas Resources Limited - Press Release - More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Alberta Star Intersects 3.0 Meters of 25.3 g/ton Silver at the Camelback IOCG & Uranium Target - More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Golden Phoenix Minerals Issues President's Letter to Shareholders - More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail


South American Silver Reports Updated Positive Metallurgy at Malku Khota - "South American Silver Corp. ("SASC" or the "Company"), (Toronto:SAC.TO - News), is pleased to announce that it has completed the next series of laboratory tests on two samples from the Malku Khota silver-indium-gold project in Bolivia." More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Mexican precious metals group Fresnillo eyes UK IPO - "Mexican precious metals group Fresnillo Ltd plans to float on the London Stock Exchange next month and raise around $900 million from selling new shares to fund growth and pay down debt, it said on Friday." More
- April 11, 2008 | Item | E-mail

 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2008

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.

 


-- Posted 11 April, 2008 | |


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