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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Fall Over 3% and 2% on the Week

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 2 May, 2008 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$856.35

+$7.15

-3.45%

Silver

$16.375

+$0.265

-2.67%

XAU

169.05

+1.66%

-3.98%

HUI

399.54

+1.31%

-2.75%

GDM

1190.58

+1.05%

-3.88%

JSE Gold

2248.57

-31.73

-5.56%

USD

73.53

+0.26

+1.00%

Euro

154.25

-0.41

-1.13%

Yen

94.91

-0.79

-0.88%

Oil

$116.32

+$3.80

-1.93%

10-Year

3.845%

+0.096

-0.54%

Bond

116.234375

-0.90625

+0.55%

Dow

13058.20

+0.37%

+1.29%

Nasdaq

2476.99

-0.15%

+2.23%

S&P

1413.90

+0.32%

+1.15%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold briefly spiked down to $845.70 after the jobs report gave the dollar a lift, but the yellow metal quickly recovered to trade modestly higher for the rest of trade and ended near its high of $859.20 with a gain of 0.84%.  Silver momentarily dropped to $16.04 before it made a high of $16.502 and closed with a gain of 1.6%.

 

Euro gold rose to about €556, platinum gained $30 to $1893, and copper gained over 13 cents to about $3.86.

 

Gold and silver equities rose over 2% by late morning before they cut into their gains in afternoon trade, but they still ended with over 1% gains.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Nonfarm Payrolls

Apr

-20K

-75K

-81K

Unemployment Rate

Apr

5.0%

5.2%

5.1%

Average Workweek

Apr

33.7

33.7

33.8

Hourly Earnings

Apr

0.1%

0.3%

0.3%

Factory Orders

Mar

1.4%

0.2%

-0.9%

 

The BLS net birth/death adjustment added 267,000 payrolls to April’s data.

 

Also making economic news today was a huge increase in the fed’s Term Auction Facility in an effort to make banks lend at lower rates and try to solve the credit crisis or perhaps prepare for more turmoil to come.  More details here.

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Factory Orders - March

1.4% v. -0.9%

 

Nonfarm Payrolls - April

-20K v. -81K

 

Unemployment Rate - April

5.0% v. 5.1%

 

Average Workweek - April

33.7 v. 33.8

 

Hourly Earnings - April

0.1% v. 0.3%

 

ISM Index - April

48.6 v. 48.6

 

Construction Spending - March

-1.1% v. 0.4%

 

Personal Income - March

0.3% v. 0.5%

 

Personal Spending - March

0.4% v. 0.1%

 

PCE Core Inflation - March

0.2% v. 0.1%

 

Initial Claims - 4/26

380K v. 345K

 

Fed Funds Rate - 4/30

2.0% v. 2.25%

 

Chicago PMI - April

48.3 v. 48.2

 

GDP - Q1

0.6% v. 0.6%

 

Chain Deflator - Q1

2.6% v. 2.4%

 

Employment Cost Index - Q1

0.7% v. 0.8%

 

ADP Employment - April

10K v. 3K

 

Consumer Confidence - April

62.3 v. 65.9

 

Next week’s economic highlights include ISM Services on Monday, Productivity, Pending Home Sales, and Consumer Credit on Wednesday, Initial Jobless Claims and Wholesale Inventories on Thursday, and the Trade Balance on Friday.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil gained nearly $4 despite a higher dollar as supply concerns reignited on news that Turkey bombed Kurdish bases in Iraq.

 

The U.S. dollar index rose and treasuries fell as jobs data was not as horrible as expected and made it more likely the fed will not cut interest rates any further.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P started off nicely higher on the jobs report, but all three indices fell off to end mixed on increasing skepticism over the validity of the jobs report.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Lexus, Mercedes, Viacom, Linens ‘n Things, Bank of America, and Chevron.

 

The Commentary:

 

“The so-called bull market in the US dollar is pitiful. It is hard to see how the media now accepts a strong dollar when in fact it does not exist.

 

The US dollar cannot be viewed on minute or daily charts, but rather on weekly as trends in currencies, once in place, rarely change on a dime.

 

Gold is simply a mirror image of the dollar. Breaking the mirror does not alter the form of what was being reflected. The dollar is still out there and is a long term bear.

 

Talking heads point to a head and shoulders on the gold price, failing to recognize that the gold price always looks terminally UGLY when it turns up. Gold has to be traded incorrectly in order to be correct. That is the nature of this beast along with volatility.”- Jim Sinclair, JSMineset.com

 

“For sure the effectiveness of The Gold Cartel and PPT has been dazzling, and has Planet Wall Street cheering, even if on the QT. The problem is all they have done is increase the Moral Hazard issue even further. Yes, they will get applause now. But, what happens down the road when this blatant market intervention leads another Bear Stearns fiasco out of nowhere … not one, but 25 of them, due to the reckless disregard of the free market system in the US, one in which excess and mistaken investment is allowed to be purged from the system?”- From yesterday’s Midas report by Bill Murphy of LemetropoleCafe.com

 

“June Gold finished up 7.1 at 858, 2.5 off the high and 11.5 up from the low.

 

May Silver closed up 0.26 at 16.381. This was equal to the low and equal to the high.

 

While it might take a little longer to transition the bull camp in the gold market back to a classic inflation posture, from the recent flight to quality argument, it is difficult to suggest that a recovery in the US economy will be a long term bearish development for the gold market. Certainly a host of buyers over the last year have banked on a persistent decline in the Dollar and in turn piled into gold. Certainly seeing fears of a historic financial debacle in the US added to the bull camp and therefore seeing the threat of a debacle in the US decline is naturally cause for a wave of long liquidation in gold. However, as was seen in the early action Friday morning, gold can rise in the face of residual Dollar strength and gold can also re-embrace the ongoing potentially historic inflationary threat that could unfold in the event that the US economy gets back on track. In short, the gold market appears to be facing a tug of war between an exodus of flight to quality longs and a possible influx of fresh buyers off a rekindling of classical inflation prospects.

 

The silver market was cheered by the initial attempt to rally in gold, but the market was also lifted by the sharp recovery bounce in the copper market. It goes without saying that strength in the energy complex contributed to the recovery bounce in silver. However, a number of silver traders expressed concern that upcoming strength in the US Dollar might make it difficult for physical or industrially demand driven commodities to recover in the near term.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

James Turk: A four-month review

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 5/01/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,760,410

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

133,609,840

+97,492

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

StreetTRACKS Gold Shares

580.45

18,662,044

US$ 15,911m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

114.02

3,665,840

US$ 3,141m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

20.92

671,947

US$ 576m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

27.00

868,123

US$ 763m

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 5/1/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,713,575,740

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

2,019,331.600

Shares Outstanding

20,450,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

62.81

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 5/1/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$3,146,652,048

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

189,184,261.300

Shares Outstanding

19,100,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

5,884.29

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 107.78 tonnes were added to the trust.

 

The Stocks:

 

Apollo Gold’s (AGT) mill shutdown update, Barrick’s (ABX) 25th anniversary, Gold Fields’ (GFI) safety checks, and Northgate’s (NXG) financial results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Cardero

CDY+5.21% $2.22

2.  Endeavour

EXK+4.48% $2.80

3.  Richmont

RIC +4.46% $3.51

 

LOSERS

1.  Orezone

OZN -4.58% $1.25

2.  Minco

MGH -4.24% $1.13

3.  Gold Reserve

GRZ -3.78% $2.29

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Yukon-Nevada Gold Corp. closes private placement - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Minterra Resource Corp.: Closing of Private Placement of 5,500,000 Units - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Soltoro Releases Year Ended December 31, 2007 Results - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


SGS SA-Noront Resources Ltd.: Double Eagle Project Assay Data Reporting Update - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Gold Star Announces Private Placement - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Montana Tunnels Update - "Apollo Gold Corporation (“Apollo”) (TSX: APG - News) (AMEX: AGT - News) announced today that following the shutdown of the mill at Montana Tunnels last Sunday, April 27, 2008, which was announced in the press release dated April 28, 2008, the repair to the ball mill will take an extra week in addition to the two weeks previously announced and therefore, the mill is scheduled to commence operations in the week commencing May 19, 2008." More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Lounor drills 1.72 m of 5.8 g/t au at Harker - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Katanga orders miners to cut power use to 40 pct - "Mining and mineral processing companies in Congo's Katanga province, which produces copper and cobalt, have been ordered to sharply cut their use of electric power by reducing operations, a senior official said on Friday." More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Lydian Intersects Greater Than 10m at 10% Zinc in Three Drill Holes on New Sulphide Target at Drazhnje Project in Kosovo - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Uranium Hunter Appoints Mr. Akolisa Ufodike to Board of Directors - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Barrick Gold Marks 25th Anniversary - "Twenty-five years ago today Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:ABX - News)(Toronto:ABX.TO - News) made its debut as a publicly traded company on the Toronto Stock Exchange. To mark the occasion a delegation of Barrick's senior leadership opened the market this morning at the TSX." More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Constellation notified of TSX continued listing review - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Recent Drill Holes Return Encouraging Chromium, Nickel and PGE Mineralization on the Spider, KWG and Freewest Joint-Venture Property - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Bannerman Resources Provides Market Update - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Golden Harp Resources acquires outstanding NSRs on the Decker and Cook mineral leases - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Millstream's Board of Directors Appoints Officers - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Royal Roads and Buchans River proceed with the business combination - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Firstgold Corp. Announces Completion of Financing - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


TTM Resources Inc. Announces CHE-08-12 intercepts 21.34 metres of 0.131% Mo, 50.64 metres of 0.101% Mo and 15.24 metres of 0.102% Mo - More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Safety Checks Carried Out on Winding Ropes Following South Deep Accident - "Gold Fields Limited ("Gold Fields") (NYSE, JSE, DIFX: GFI) reports today that engineering and technical teams have been working during the night and will continue this morning to carry out safety checks on all winding ropes at all its mining operations in South Africa following the tragic shaft accident at South Deep gold mine yesterday in which nine people lost their lives." More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Northgate Reports First Quarter Financial Results; Adjusted Net Earnings of $0.12 per Share - "Northgate Minerals Corporation (TSX: NGX - News; AMEX: NXG - News) today reported adjusted net earnings of $29,393,000 or $0.12 per diluted common share and cash flow from operations of $15,450,000 or $0.06 per diluted common share for the first quarter of 2008." More
- May 02, 2008 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2008

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Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.

 


-- Posted 2 May, 2008 | |


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