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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Gain About 1% and 2% as Oil Soars Over 3%

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 21 May, 2008 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$927.80

+$8.25

Silver

$17.97

+$0.35

XAU

191.26

-1.24%

HUI

448.47

-0.14%

GDM

1346.45

-0.34%

JSE Gold

2560.35

+25.70

USD

71.94

-0.47

Euro

157.89

+1.35

Yen

97.05

+0.63

Oil

$133.17

+$4.19

10-Year

3.822%

+0.046

T-Bond

116.96875

-0.328125

Dow

12601.19

-1.77%

Nasdaq

2448.27

-1.77%

S&P

1390.71

-1.61%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold rose to over $927 by midday in London before it fell back to $916.30 by about 9:30AM EST in New York, but it then rallied back higher for most of the rest of trade and ended near its high of $930.70 with a gain of 0.9%.  Silver rose to over $17.80 and fell to $17.56 before it also rallied back higher and ended near its high of $18.01 with a gain of 2%.

 

Euro gold rose to over €588, platinum gained $52.50 to $2186.50, and copper fell almost four cents to about $3.75.

 

Gold and silver equities rose over 1% by early afternoon before they fell back off a bit as the general indices fell almost 2% in late trade, but the miners still ended with only minor losses.

 

The Economy:

 

FOMC minutes from the fed’s April 30th meeting showed a lower growth forecast, higher inflation and unemployment expectations, and an unwillingness to cut rates any further even if problems persist.  The fed still sees inflation pressures moderating in the longer term despite a short term outlook of inflation risks increasing.

 

Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings Initial Jobless Claims for 5/17 expected at 372,000.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil rose to another new record high of $133.72 a barrel after crude inventories unexpectedly dropped a large 5.4 million barrels.  Gasoline prices rose to a new record over $3.80 a gallon as gasoline inventories fell 800,000 barrels.  Distillates built 700,000 barrels and refinery utilization rose 1.3% to 87.9%.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell after German business sentiment came in better than expected and bettered the case for the ECB to start raising interest rates.  One might think that the fed’s assertion of no more rate cuts would help the dollar, but that seemed to be more than offset by the fed’s call for rising unemployment as well.

 

Treasuries ended lower on inflation fears while the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P fell markedly on the fed’s claim of no more interest rate cuts even if the economy deteriorates further.  The fed is out of bullets and people are justifiably worried.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were AMR, Time Warner, Talbots, and BJ’s.

 

The Commentary:

 

Clearly the gold market is riding on the waves of momentum generated from the ailing US Dollar and from extremely strong oil markets, among other driving forces.  There remains very good potential for gold to revive the powerful bull market momentum from earlier this year which could carry it significantly higher in the coming weeks. Current market expectations are rather subdued and from a contrarian standpoint that is a rather bullish sign.  Gold continues to have inter-market relationships which demonstrate the present gold price is highly undervalued. The possibility is quickly growing for gold to revisit the four figures area.

 

The other side of the short-term risk/reward equation is a sizeable pullback in the oil price as short-term gains appear overextended.  The US Dollar’s prospects on the whole remain bleak and any short-term rebounds will be met with heavy selling.  How will reversals in those short-term trends translate into the gold price going forward?  They could inflict some damage into its renewed and growing momentum.  Until the reversal in these pro-gold trends, I would be quite afraid to stand in front of this golden bull!- Peter Spina, www.goldforecaster.com

 

“Dear Comrades in Golden Arms (CIGAs),

 

In years to come, market students reviewing gold's price action moving from $600 to $1200 will appear as much of a straight line as any market can produce.

 

Don't miss the historical move you are in. Look at the big picture.

 

Don't allow the daily arranged noise to dull your market senses. Nothing gold will fail to perform.

 

The larger the legal and illegal short, the more dynamic the upcoming move of the juniors will be.

 

Cancel all open sell orders in gold anything.

 

The sun is setting on the gold and gold share bearish bullies who wished only to destroy, contributing nothing to anyone but themselves. The world is made up of builders and destroyers, givers and takers. When the book is written, the hedge funds will be seen as destroyers of the financial world and having taken all the wealth of their investors in the process.” - Jim Sinclair, JSMineset.com

 

“June Gold finished up 8.4 at 928.6, 2.4 off the high and 11.6 up from the low.

 

July Silver closed up 0.325 at 18.05. This was 0.415 up from the low and 0.01 off the high.

 

The gold market managed another new high for the move but it took a combination of new lows for the move in the Dollar and a new high for the move in the crude oil market to definitively power up gold prices. Clearly the fear of classic inflation pressure was providing buying interest to gold, but it is also possible that currency related buying was playing a key role. At least in the near term some traders have suggested that the gold market might begin to take most of its direction from oil prices and less from the Dollar. The FOMC meeting minutes showed that the Fed was just barely able to reduce rates in their last meeting and that might suggest that the Fed is closer than expected to hiking interest rates in an inflation battling move. With a less dovish Fed than expected that could be supportive of the Dollar, which in turn could undermine gold prices.

 

The silver market also managed another new high for the move on Wednesday and it goes without saying that the market was led higher by the action in gold. However, silver certainly showed a compacted but aggressive upward thrust in the lead up to and aftermath of the US weekly oil inventory data and like the gold market that could suggest that the silver market will being to take even more guidance from the energy complex. With increasing fears of energy price derived slowing, it is possible that some silver buyers were discouraged, especially considering the new low for the move in the copper market. In looking at the FOMC meeting minutes some silver traders might also have seen too much concern of slowing ahead and that could weaken the bulls resolve.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

James Turk: Gold is the ultimate inflation and catastrophe hedge

Nadler sees intervention again, just not in his own markets

CFR official: Gold is the world currency of the future

Yeah, right! Moody's blames computer error for A ratings on junk

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 5/20/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,582,039

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

133,705,269

-

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

SPDR® Gold Shares

583.93

18,773,965

US$ 17,164m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

111.85

3,596,017

US$ 3,342m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

20.91

671,805

US$ 625m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

27.61

887,640

US$ 811m

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 5/20/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,810,347,197

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,969,252.636

Shares Outstanding

19,950,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

61.25

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 5/20/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$3,278,579,840

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

192,569,101.300

Shares Outstanding

19,450,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

5,989.57

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Paramount’s (PZ) assay results, Silvercorp’s (SVM.TO) earthquake relief donation, Excellon’s (EXN.TO) suspended mine work, Fortuna’s (FVI.V) drill results, Silvermex’s (SMR.V) assay results, and SilverCrest’s (SVL.V) project progress were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  US Gold

UXG +6.41% $2.49

2.  NovaGold

NG +5.43% $8.74

3.  Eldorado Gold

EGO+5.32% $8.32

 

LOSERS

1.  Kimber

KBX -5.32% $1.64

2.  Cardero

CDY -4.72% $3.15

3.  Freeport

FCX-4.20% $120.58

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Moneta Drills 2.21 Grams/Tonne Gold Over 47.3 Metres on Windjammer Gold Property - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Richview Resources Inc. Completes $660,000 Private Placement With the MineralFields Group - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Cameco poisons may be seeping into Lake Ontario - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Golden Peaks Resources Ltd. - G Zone Extends 450 Meters - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Paragon Minerals Updates Drilling at South Tally Pond VMS Project - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Silvercorp Metals Inc., New Pacific Metals Corp. and Dr. Rui Feng Donate $700,000 to Sichuan Earthquake Relief - "Silvercorp Metals Inc., (Toronto:SVM.TO - News) ("Silvercorp") and its affiliate New Pacific Metals Corp. (CDNX:NUX.V - News) ("New Pacific") today announced that the Companies and their employees have committed to donations of over US$700,000 to provide relief support for the victims of China's May 12, 2008 earthquake in Sichuan province." More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Excellon Temporarily Suspends Work at Platosa Test-Mine - "Excellon Resources Inc. (Toronto:EXN.TO - News) announces that it has temporarily suspended work at the Platosa Test-mine while it investigates an unexpected underground water inflow. No employees were hurt and all mobile equipment was brought to surface." More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Pediment Exploration Ltd.: Drilling Returns 54.9 Metres of 1.6 g/t Gold and 53.3 Metres at 1.47 g/t Gold at San Antonio - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Paramount Announces First Assay Results Under the New Strategic Alliance With Mexoro From the Cieneguita Mine Including 74 Meters of 1.72g/t Gold - "These results are from 6 additional drill holes from the Cieneguita project (CI-13 to CI-18) and partial results from three other holes: CI-19, CI-20 and CI-21 (only Au and Ag for the upper part of the drill holes). These assays continue to intersect significant gold and silver mineralization at the Cieneguita project in the Urique District, 375 km to the southwest of Chihuahua City, Mexico." More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Bonaventure Resumes Drilling at New Pass Project, Nevada - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Fortuna Discovers Extention to Animas Vein at Caylloma Mine, Peru - "Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (CDNX:FVI.V - News) is pleased to announce the discovery of Ag-Pb-Zn mineralization, with local high grade gold values, in the Nancy area in the east-central portion of the Caylloma District, Arequipa, Peru. Nancy is an extension of the Animas Vein and is approximately 2 kilometers on-strike to the northeast from the Animas Central area where the bulk of mine production is currently sourced." More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Drill Program to Begin at Kafunjo, Uganda - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Coronado Receives $209,253 Payment for Third Shipment of Gold - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Pelangio Files a New NI 43-101 Report on Exploration Results and Mineral Exploration Program for the Obuasi Property, Ghana - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Oroco Resource Corp.: Initial Drill Holes Intersect Mineralized Structure at Cerro Prieto Mine - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


60.50g/t (1.760oz/ton) over 0.4 metre - Roxmark intersects high-grade gold mineralization at Northern Empire Gold Mine - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Imperial Reports Further Expansion of 144 Zone at Sterling - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Queenston Mining Inc.-2008 First Quarter Results and Update - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Firstgold Corp. Reports High Grade Intercept in Latest Relief Canyon Drill Results - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Canadian Royalties: Environmental Certificate of Authorization Awarded for Nunavik Nickel Project - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Maestro Announces Formation of Technical Advisory Board - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Great Western Minerals Group Ltd.: Drilling Underway at Deep Sands Utah - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Avion Resources Completes Acquisition of Tabakoto and Segala Gold Projects in Mali - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Campbell Resources identifies the vertical continuity of a high-grade mineralized zone at Copper Rand - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Uranium Star Corp. Provides Update on TSX Venture Exchange Listing Status - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Vulcan Minerals Inc. / Labrador Nickel-Copper Airborne Geophysical Surveys Completed - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Rockcliff Commences Second Phase VTEM Airborne Survey on its Snow Lake VMS Project, Manitoba - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Duluth Metals Announces Early Warrant Exercise - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Vannessa Announces Plans to Terminate its US Registration and SEC Reporting Obligations - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Luna Gold nominates Dr. Thomas O'Neil for the board of directors - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Gravity West Identifies Potential Kimberlite, Uranium and IOCG Exploration Targets on Holland and Hogarth Properties in Northwest Territories and Nunavut - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Red Lake Exploration, Inc. Updates Its Diamond Drill Program on the Camila Copper-Gold Property in Chile - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Lithic Intersects 10.50 Metres of 18.47% Zinc and 1.82% Copper at Crypto - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Romarco's Exploration Extends Mineralization at Haile - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Premier to acquire strategic claim within Santa Teresa - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Colibri completes drilling on Leon and Colibri Projects - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Rockgate Intersects 0.31% U308, 1,502.1 g/tonne Silver Over 3.2 Metres in North Zone, Falea Uranium Project, Mali - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Richfield Releases Morris Mine Property Technical Details - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


SRA Enters Into Agreement to Sell Germanium and Gallium in Leachate - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Surface Drilling Intersects 85 g/tonne Gold Over 6.3 Meters at Hinge #4 - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Victory Nickel Continues with Impressive Drill Results Beneath Proposed Minago Pit - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Serengeti Makes New Copper-Moly Discovery at Kwanika & Expands Central Copper-Gold Zone - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Skygold Drilling Intersects 47.5 Metres of 2.04 g/t Gold 275 Metres West of the Main Zone Resource - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Latest Drill Core Assays Improve Continuity And Extend GWR Resources' "Aurizon" Copper-Gold Zone - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Garrison International Ltd. Announces Creation of New Control Persons, Resignation of Directors and Election of New Directors - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Yorbeau Completes IP-Resistivity Ground Geophysical Survey at its 12-km Rouyn Gold Property: Begins 20,000 m Drill Program - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


First Uranium provides production and project development update for quarter ended March 31, 2008 - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Western Uranium Corporation Begins Drilling Bull Basin and Old Man Springs Targets at Kings Valley Project, Nevada - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Vena Intersects 14.6 Metres of 0.211% U3O8 Near Surface - More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Silvermex Resources: High Grade Silver-Lead-Zinc Results Returned From Sampling Along 2,400 Meters of Surface Strike - "Silvermex Resources Ltd. (TSX VENTURE:SMR - News) announces that a first phase surface and underground sampling program at its 100% owned La Frazada project have returned silver assays as high as 2,495 g/tonne Ag (80.22 oz/tonne Ag) across 1.5 meters on surface at the Jabalina vein, 251.01 g/t Ag (8.07 oz/t Ag) across 1.5 meters from underground at the La Frazada workings and 539.8 g/t Ag (17.35 oz/t Ag) across 15 meters from a breccia zone underground at the Tiro Real shaft." More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


SilverCrest Submits Environmental Impact Assessment; Receives Land Use Change Approval for Santa Elena Project, Mexico - "SilverCrest Mines Inc. (the "Company") (TSX VENTURE:SVL - News) reports that it has reached several important milestones in advancing the Santa Elena project to production." More
- May 21, 2008 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2008

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted 21 May, 2008 | |


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