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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Fall Before Fed and Gain After

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 25 June, 2008 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$880.00

-$9.00

Silver

$16.53

-$0.13

XAU

180.19

+0.32%

HUI

413.52

+0.02%

GDM

1211.24

-0.14%

JSE Gold

2146.17

+21.71

USD

72.85

-0.40

Euro

156.73

+1.06

Yen

92.77

+0.02

Oil

$134.55

-$2.45

10-Year

4.115%

+0.010

T-Bond

119.96875

-0.15625

Dow

11811.83

+0.04%

Nasdaq

2401.26

+1.39%

S&P

1321.97

+0.58%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold rose to $890.60 in Asia and fell to $873.50 by late morning in New York, but it then rallied back higher in the last couple of hours of trade and ended $6.50 off its low with a loss of just 1.01%.  Silver fell to $16.52 in Asia and rose to $16.82 in early New York trade, but it then fell back off for most of the rest of trade and ended near its low of $16.477 with a loss of 0.78%.  At the time of writing (4PM EST), gold is trading over $5 higher and silver is trading over 20 cents higher in after hours trade in reaction to the fed’s statement.

 

Euro gold fell to about €565, platinum lost $10 to $2008.50, and copper fell slightly to about $3.78.

 

Gold and silver equities fell over 2% by a couple of hours into trade, but they then rallied back higher for most of the rest of trade and ended near unchanged.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Durable Orders

May

0.0%

0.0%

-1.0%

New Home Sales

May

512K

510K

525K

 

The fed kept the fed funds rates unchanged at 2% and the discount rate unchanged at 2.25% as most expected, but Richard Fisher did dissent with the rest of the committee and wanted an increase in rates.  They expect inflation to moderate later this year and next year, but state uncertainty remains high.  The overall message from the fed was that downside risks to economic growth have diminished while upside risks to inflation have increased.  The fed appears to at least to be talking a hawkish tone, but many still doubt whether any real action comes from them anytime soon as the fed also noted that financial markets are still under considerable stress and they remain data dependent.

 

Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings Initial Jobless Claims for 6/21 expected at 375,000, first quarter GDP expected at 1.0%, and the Chain Deflator expected at 2.6%.  At 10AM is the Existing Home Sales report for May expected at 4,950,000.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell sharply after crude inventories built 800,000 barrels rather than an expected draw of nearly 1 million barrels, but it did cut its nearly $5 loss roughly in half by the close as the dollar started to fall after the fed’s statement.  Gasoline inventories fell 100,000 barrels, distillates built 2.8 million barrels, and refinery utilization fell 0.7% to 88.6%.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell and treasuries erased most of their early losses after the fed’s statement made most believe that the fed is not in any real hurry to actually raise interest rates regardless of any concerns they may voice.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P traded modestly higher for most of the day on lower oil prices and a fed statement that did not deliver any big surprises, but gains in the Dow and S&P were cut to minimal by the close while the Nasdaq ended with an over 1% gain.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were Boeing, Barclays, Monsanto, General Mills, XM-Sirius, Merck, and MasterCard and American Express.

 

The Commentary:

 

Dear Friends,

 

This is the Jim Puplava's webcast presentation titled “The Crime of the Century.” Please click the link below to download the presentation in MP3 format.

 

http://netcastdaily.com/broadcast/fsn2008-0621-3b.mp3 (Approximately 17.7mb)

 

You know that I do not read other blog sites so if I go off the mark you will have only one person to blame - me. Here is an exception, thanks to the CIGAs that demanded I listen. It was good advice.

 

I suggest you make the time to do the same.

 

Chart painting is a major tool being used now against you. I am not suggesting TA be ignored. I am, as always, suggesting that if you know the plot, you will know when you have to weigh in on the fundamentals to balance your thinking.

 

Many juniors are worth more dead than alive. That means you could market the pieces for more than the cap value.

 

The shorts seem to now be driven more by ego and power trips than brains. Brains would give them the ability to know when enough is enough, if only from a functional profit standpoint.

 

If a junior is shorted in a situation where it would take 3 months to cover at 50% of the legal short on an average daily volume and that company could be sold in pieces for more than the quoted value, TA might be rendered less important in the equation with fundamentals becoming more significant.”- Jim Sinclair, JSMineset.com

 

“August Gold finished down 9.3 at 882.3, 7.2 off the high and 6.3 up from the low.

 

July Silver closed down 0.13 at 16.503. This was 0.023 up from the low and 0.237 off the high.

 

After a morning follow through washout the gold market managed to recover just ahead of mid session and surprisingly the market extended the recovery into and through the FOMC meeting results. However, the Dollar was weaker in the wake of the FOMC statement and that seemed to give the gold market the lift many traders were expecting early in the trading session in the wake of the scheduled US economic data. With the Dollar weakening and oil prices recovering slightly the outside environment for gold was gradually improved from the morning trade. However, with the US stock market remaining strong it is possible that some potential gold buyers decided to move toward the equity market instead.

 

Like the gold market, silver managed a mid morning bounce and then managed to hold the morning gains through the early afternoon FOMC meeting results. However, some silver bulls might have been disappointed with the silver markets failure to actually gain some additional ground in the afternoon action in the wake of weakening in the US Dollar that was supposedly brought on by the FOMC statement. On the other hand, for silver to have forged a partially supportive afternoon trade in the face of ongoing weakness in gold, platinum and copper had to please the bull camp.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Ted Butler: Silver is a tiger by the tail

Inflation explodes in manufacturers' prices -- but not gold and silver

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 6/24/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,612,071

+6,840

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

135,971,781

-

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

SPDR® Gold Shares

628.21

20,197,679

US$ 17,959m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

114.60

3,684,598

US$ 3,226m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

10.81

346,717

US$ 304m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

28.09

903,067

US$ 803m

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The LSE added 1.08 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 6/24/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,750,006,124

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

1,968,583.772

Shares Outstanding

19,950,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

61.23

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 6/24/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$3,233,997,829

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

191,992,497.800

Shares Outstanding

19,400,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

5,971.63

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Gold Fields’ (GFI) production and one million fatality-free shifts at Kloof, Allied Nevada’s (ANV) drill results, Rubicon’s (RBY) decision to dewater underground workings, Paramount’s (PZG) resource increase, Anglo American’s (AAUK) social project in Peru, Northgate’s (NXG) Preliminary Assessment Report, Excellon’s (EXN.TO) resumed delivery of ore, Fortuna’s (FVI.V) warrant extension, and Silver Eagle’s (SEG.TO) pre-feasibility results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Crystallex

KRY +15.95% $1.24

2.  Gold Reserve

GRZ +11.18% $1.89

3.  Hecla

HL +7.31% $8.07

 

LOSERS

1.  Orezone

OZN -8.18% $1.01

2.  Mines MGMT

MGN-7.04% $2.64

3.  Eldorado

EGO -6.69% $7.25

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

 



Allied Nevada Drills 640 Feet of 0.026 Ounce per Ton Gold Equivalent at Hycroft - "Allied Nevada Gold Corp. ("Allied Nevada" or the "Company") (Toronto:ANV.TO - News)(AMEX:ANV - News) is pleased to announce complete gold and silver assay results for twenty-one exploration holes and eight condemnation holes drilled at the Company's Hycroft Heap Leach Mine ("Hycroft") located near Winnemucca, Nevada. All sixteen drill holes listed in the table below were drilled in the Fire and Brimstone Zones(1)." More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Iberian Amends Credit Agreement with Trafigura - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Richview Resources Inc. Announces Results From Their Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Avalon Ventures Ltd.: Further Encouraging Rare Earth Element Assays From Lake Zone Phase 2 Drilling Program, Thor Lake, NWT-Summer Drilling Program Underway - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Tombstone Exploration Reports Encouraging Initial Findings From Drill Program - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Amera Options Cercana Porphyry Copper Property, Peru - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Excellon Resumes Delivery of Ore - "Excellon Resources Inc. (Toronto:EXN.TO - News) is pleased to announce that it has resumed delivery of ore to the Penoles' Naica mill. The Company had to temporarily suspend operations at its Platosa Test-mine located in Durango State, Mexico after an unexpected water inflow on May 20th. Shipments to Naica were continued into the first week of June from stockpile inventories and normal operations at the Platosa mine were resumed June 19th, following the dewatering of the mine below the active mining areas." More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Gold Resource Corporation Continues High-Grade Gold Intercepts at El Rey - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Simberi Mining Corporation: Updated Kakanda Project Technical Report - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Benton Hits Wide Zones of Platinum Group Metals and Copper at Area 41 - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Macusani Yellowcake Inc.: Best Hole to Date-31.34 Metres of 0.2356% (4.71 Lb/T) U3o8-From Surface - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Baja Mining Provides Financing Update - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Guyana Goldfields: Exploration Update - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Coronation Announces the Grant of Stock Options - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Tribute Minerals and Goldeye Explorations Form McFaulds Resources Inc. for Exploration in the 'Ring and Fire' - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Fortuna Provides Corporate Update - "Fortuna Silver Mines Inc. (CDNX:FVI.V - News) announces that it proposes to amend its private placement warrants previously issued on January 11, 2007 to extend the expiry date by one year to July 11, 2009. The amendment is subject to TSX Venture Exchange approval." More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


First Narrows Provides Latest Analytical Data From Falls Creek Project; Significant Bismuth Accompanies Molybdenum and Tungsten - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Strait Gold Starts IP Survey at Pallcamachay Copper Project in Peru - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Typhoon Confirms New Discovery at More Than 450 Meters of the Fayolle Deposit - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Uranium Bay 2008 Annual General Meeting Overview - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Geovic Mining Corp.: Progress Update on Mada Drilling Program in Cameroon - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


First Metals Completes Magusi Drilling, Initiates Exploration Programs - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Black Pearl Minerals Acquires Nevada Lithium Brine Prospect - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Intrepid Mines Limited: Laurence Curtis Steps Down as President - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


U3O8 Corp. Reports Significant Uranium Mineralization from a Further 16 Of 56 Bore Holes Completed at Aricheng South - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Mansfield Minerals Inc.: Gold Resource at Lindero Increases - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Alberta Star Appoints Michael Bersch B.Sc., M.Sc., Ph.D., as Chief Geologist - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


CanAlaska Uranium mobilizes summer 2008 exploration - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


General Metals 2008 Drill Program Continues to Find High Grade and Wide Mineralized Intercepts, Expanding Bulk Mining Material Suitable for Leaching - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Crowflight Provides Update on Underground Drilling at Bucko - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Clifton Star Resources Announces Duquesne Drilling Results - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Nilam Resources Inc. Is Pleased to Announce Gold Production Schedule on Its Llipa Property - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Kloof Gold Mine Achieves a Million Fatality-Free Shifts - "The one million fatality-free shifts at Kloof demonstrates that safe working can be achieved at deep-level gold mines. It has also given a significant boost to our safety efforts throughout all our operations following the very unfortunate accidents we had earlier this year. Safety remains the number one priority within Gold Fields and we are currently conducting a comprehensive audit of our safety practices and safety performance at our mines in South Africa. If we can go for more than 50 days at a deep-level mine such as Kloof without one fatal injury, then I firmly believe that our goal of having zero fatalities on all Gold Fields mines can be realised." More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Rubicon Board Approves Decision to Dewater Underground Workings at Phoenix Project, Red Lake Ontario - "Rubicon Minerals Corp (RMX.TSX:RBY.AMEX) is pleased to announce that its Board of Directors has given approval for the Company to carry out an up to $1.25 million Phase One program part of a two phase underground exploration program at its 100%-controlled Phoenix Gold Project, located in the heart of the prolific Red Lake gold district of Ontario." More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


International PBX Ventures Ltd.: Tabaco Project Update - More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Silver Eagle Reports Pre-Feasibility Results for Miguel Auza Mine - "Silver Eagle Mines Inc. (TSX:SEG - News) is pleased to report on the results of a pre-feasibility study prepared by Silver Eagle and reviewed by Scott Wilson Roscoe Postle Associates Inc., for Silver Eagle's wholly-owned Miguel Auza Mine in Zacatecas, Mexico. The study includes geological, mining, metallurgical, mineral process and economic analyses of the Calvario and Milagro Veins at the Miguel Auza Mine, which has been the focus of underground test mining during the past year." More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Paramount Gold & Silver Corp. Reports Substantial Resource Increase at its San Miguel Project in Mexico - "Paramount Gold and Silver Corp. (Toronto:PZG.TO - News)(AMEX:PZG - News)(Frankfurt:P6G.F - News)(WKN: A0HGKQ) has completed an updated National Instrument 43-101 compliant mineral resource estimate for its San Miguel Project, located in the Guazapares mining district Chihuahua, Mexico, within the Sierra Madre Occidental gold/silver belt." More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Gold Fields' Operational Results for Q4 F2008 Will be Better Than Expected - "South African production for Q4 F2008 is expected to be up by approximately 6.6% against the production achieved for Q3 F2008, which is better than the previous guidance of an improvement of between 2% and 4%, due mainly to improved quality mining at Beatrix." More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Gold Fields Q4 production to beat own forecast - "Gold Fields Ltd (GFIJ.J: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), the world's fourth biggest gold producer, said on Wednesday fourth-quarter production would beat previous forecasts and increase 4.5 percent from the previous quarter.

Like its South African peers, which have seen production plunge owing to a power crisis, Gold Fields' output in the third quarter to end-March fell by 14 percent to 827,000 ounces." More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Anglo American to fund social project in Peru - "Mining group Anglo American (AAL.L: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) will spend $201 million on social projects near its Peruvian copper project in Michiquillay after reaching an agreement to start explorations, the government said Tuesday." More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Northgate Files Preliminary Assessment Report for the Young-Davidson Project - "Northgate Minerals Corporation (TSX: NGX, AMEX: NXG) is pleased to report the completion of a NI 43-101 Preliminary Assessment Report (the "Preliminary Assessment") on the Young-Davidson Project in Matachewan, Ontario. The Preliminary Assessment indicates that the gold resources are sufficient to produce a positive cumulative undiscounted cash flow. AMEC Americas Limited has been commissioned to complete the Feasibility Study." More
- June 25, 2008 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2008

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted 25 June, 2008 | |


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