-- Posted 15 July, 2008 | | Source: SilverSeek.com
| Close | Gain/Loss |
Gold | $977.15 | +$4.75 |
Silver | $18.965 | -$0.14 |
XAU | 195.86 | -2.62% |
HUI | 455.81 | -2.88% |
GDM | 1364.56 | -2.32% |
JSE Gold | 2452.51 | +125.46 |
USD | 71.79 | -0.17 |
Euro | 159.01 | -0.08 |
Yen | 95.47 | +1.28 |
Oil | $138.74 | -$6.44 |
10-Year | 3.844% | -0.036 |
T-Bond | 116.875 | +0.140625 |
Dow | 10962.54 | -0.84% |
Nasdaq | 2215.71 | +0.13% |
S&P | 1214.91 | -1.09% |
The Metals:
Gold and silver remained near unchanged in Asia, rose roughly 1% in London, and climbed to as high as $988.17 and $19.45 by about 10AM EST in New York, but both metals next collapsed in late morning trade and dropped to $968.35 and $18.522 by a little before noon. Prices then rebounded in the last two hours of trade and gold ended with a gain of 0.49% while silver ended with a loss of 0.73%. Not too shabby considering that the dollar ended well off its lows and oil experienced its biggest one day dollar drop since 1991.
Euro gold rose to over €613, platinum lost $42.50 to $1974.50, and copper fell roughly 5 cents to about $3.72.
Gold and silver equities rose over 2% at the open and fell over 3% by late morning before they traded roughly 2% lower for the rest of the day.
The Economy:
Report | For | Reading | Expected | Previous |
PPI | June | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
Core PPI | June | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Retail Sales | June | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% |
Retail Sales ex-auto | June | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% |
NY Empire State Index | July | -4.9 | -8.0 | -8.7 |
Business Inventories | May | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
Bernanke spoke before the Senate Banking Committee today about returning stability to the financial markets while also expressing worries over growth and inflation. Paulson and Cox joined the panel in early afternoon trade and revealed limits on short sales of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The emergency order is aimed at preventing naked short sales in the primary dealers by implementing new rules (or actually enforcing current rules) covering the practice.
The fed, treasury, and SEC are essentially asking for unlimited funding and power from congress to do whatever they want to save their banking buddies no matter what the consequence for the average American taxpayer. Other than some pointed questions from Senator Jim Bunning, the banking committee gave little real opposition to the wishes of Bernanke, Paulson, and Cox and will likely give them the blank check or “bazooka” they say they need to save Freddie and Fannie rather than just a squirt gun as Paulson put it at one point. Paulson argued that if only given a squirt gun (small check) then they may need to use it, but if given a bazooka (blank check) then perhaps the threat of having a bazooka in your pocket may be force enough to not need to use it. Senator Jim Bunning pointed out that seldom if ever has there been power granted and not later used no matter how much it was argued at the time that it hopefully would not need to be used in the future. WSJ Blog today with some of Bunning’s other comments - Bunning: The Fed, GSEs and Socialism
Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings CPI for June expected at 0.7% and Core CPI expected at 0.2%. At 9AM is the Net Foreign Purchases report for May expected at $65.0 billion and at 9:15 is Capacity Utilization expected at 79.4% and Industrial production expected at 0.0%. Finally at 2PM is the release of FOMC minutes from the fed’s June 25th meeting.
The Markets:
Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/
Oil fell as much as $9.26 in late morning trade and ended over 4% lower on an acceleration of liquidation of positions on margin calls and worries that a severe economic downturn will cut into demand. Bernanke was given the chance by several senators to blame speculators for the recent price run-up and instead pointed to market fundamentals in his testimony today.
The U.S. dollar index fell on economic worries and the euro rose to a new record high versus the USD in early trade, but the dollar ended well off its lows with only a minor loss as lower oil and speculation Paulson may get a bazooka to blast the Forex market encouraged some short covering.
Treasuries rose on the short end after Bernanke said there are “significant downside risks” to economic growth, but gains were limited as PPI came in higher than expected at the highest year over year rate since 1981 and at least pushed rates on the long bond higher.
The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P dropped markedly at the open on more worries about the economy and health of the financial system overall. All three indices rebounded to find marginal gains as oil dropped over $9 at one point and traders digested congressional testimony, but stocks fell back off by the close and only the Nasdaq was able to end with a gain ahead of Intel’s earnings after the bell. The Dow closed under 11,000 for the first time in over two years.
Among the big names making news in the market today were Volkswagen, GM, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, U.S. Bancorp, and J&J.
The Commentary:
“August Gold finished up 5 at 978.7, 9.9 off the high and 9.4 up from the low.
September Silver closed down 0.237 at 19.013. This was 0.333 up from the low and 0.527 off the high.
The gold market started out firm but the market was clearly undermined in the face of a sharp reversal in oil prices just ahead of mid session. While the reversal in oil prices provided the stock market with some temporary respite and that action also seemed to take some of the pressure off the US Dollar, it would not seem like the flight to quality condition was completely erased. In fact, in the wake of concerning dialogue from the US President and similar unnerving concerns from the US Fed Chairman, one might suggest that flight to quality issues remained front and center despite the rather violent two sided trade in the gold market on Tuesday. On the other hand, seeing hotter than expected US inflation readings and weaker than expected US retail sales readings fomented concerns of stagflation and the impact of stagflation on the price of gold is a complicated subject.
The silver market forged a very expansive trading range on Tuesday after an early rally was reversed in the wake of a sharp mid morning decline in oil prices. While a sharp slide in oil prices could reduce flight to quality conditions, it is also possible that disconcerting macro economic psychology was responsible for the failure in silver prices from the early highs. Clearly US inflation remains a problem in the wake of the US PPI readings, but with US retail sales coming much weaker than expected it is possible that some silver longs decided to bank profits off the fear of too much slowing ahead in the US economy.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting
GATA Posts:
Bailout of Fannie and Freddie fails to calm nerves
GATA's Murphy, Steer interviewed by Korelin Economics Report
Peter Brimelow: What if gold gave a party and everyone came?
Fed to lend to Freddie, Fannie; Treasury may buy their shares
U.S. govt. may buy Freddie debt if banks won't
James Turk: America's second-biggest bank failure
The Statistics:
As of close of business: 7/14/2008
Gold Warehouse Stocks: | 7,691,099 | - |
Silver Warehouse Stocks: | 135,299,131 | -651,997 |
Global Gold ETF Holdings
[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]
| Product name | Total Tonnes | Total Ounces | Total Value |
New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) | SPDR® Gold Shares | 701.91 | 22,567,174 | US$ 21,840m |
London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse ) | Gold Bullion Securities | 117.92 | 3,791,125 | US$ 3,704m |
Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) | Gold Bullion Securities | 10.87 | 349,139 | US$ 341m |
Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE) | New Gold Debentures | 29.80 | 958,044 | US$ 927m |
Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: SPDR subtracted 3.99 tonnes from yesterday’s record high holding and the JSE added 0.61 tonnes.
COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)
Profile as of 7/14/2008 | |
Total Net Assets | $1,913,963,110 | Ounces of Gold in Trust | 1,967,972.052 |
Shares Outstanding | 19,950,000 | Tonnes of Gold in Trust | 61.21 |
Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.
Silver Trust (SLV)
Profile as of 7/14/2008 | |
Total Net Assets | $3,604,728,322 | Ounces of Silver in Trust | 192,905,122.800 |
Shares Outstanding | 19,500,000 | Tonnes of Silver in Trust | 6,000.02 |
Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.
The Stocks:
Gold Field’s (GFI) worker death, Harmony’s (HMY) worker stoppage, Orezone’s (OZN) mining convention signing, First Majestic’s (FR.TO) second quarter production, and Minco’s (MSV.TO) Bankable Feasibility Study update were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.
WINNERS
1. Apex | SIL +8.86% $5.04 |
2. Ivanhoe | IVN+4.31% $12.34 |
3. Gold Fields | GFI+4.13% $13.11 |
LOSERS
1. Banro | BAA-11.85% $5.73 |
2. Orezone | OZN-10.17% $1.06 |
3. Vista | VGZ -8.80% $4.25 |
Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.
All of today's gold and silver stock news:
Capstone Announces Normal Course Issuer Bid - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Update on Amerigo Q2 Power Costs - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Amerigo Announces Q2 2008 Production Results - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
UNOR Announces Efforts to Increase Visibility to Global Investment Community - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Bancroft Uranium Hires the Investor Relations Group - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Globex Agrees to a $4 Million Financing at a Premium to Market - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Cogitore Resources Inc. Initiates 2008 Diamond Drilling Program at its Lemoine Project Near Chibougamau, Quebec - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Opawica Explorations Inc. Announces New CFO - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
TEAL finalizes funding of additional US$35 million - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Harmony says miners stop work in S.Africa, output hit - "South Africa's Harmony Gold (HARJ.J: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) said on Tuesday that work at its Virginia operations stopped after workers downed tools following the death of a mineworker last Friday, reducing output.
Amelia Soares, a spokeswoman for Harmony, told Reuters the group expected to lose between 30-35 kg (1,059-1,236 ounces) of gold per day at its Virginia operations, which comprise a number of mines in South Africa's Free State province." More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
2008 Gold Exploration Program Initiated at Rare Element's Sundance Project - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
UC Resources Ltd., Spider Resources Inc. and KWG Resources Inc. Receive Initial Resource Estimates for McFaulds Project - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
New Jersey Mining Company Stakes New Gold Property - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
United Uranium Corp. Announces Land Acquisition - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Stellar Pacific Ventures Inc: Additionnal Resources on Heva With 209,000 Ounces of Gold - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Queensland Minerals Update on Exploration Program Encouraging Results From the Dingo Peak Copper-Gold Discovery in North Queensland, Australia - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Amarillo Drills 120m @ 3.52 g/t Au at Butia, Lavras do Sul, on 2nd Step-Out Section - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
GBS Reports Record Second Quarter Gold Production - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Almo Capital Corp. - Drilling starts on Moore Property, Kamloops Mining Div., B.C. - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Mr. Colin K. Benner Appointed to Creston's Advisory Board - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Tombstone Exploration Drill Program's First Hole at 730' - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
FNX Completes Gold Wheaton Transaction - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
High Grade Nickel Mineralization Intersected at Langmuir Nickel Discovery and Deep Drilling Confirms the Potential for Additional Nickel Discoveries at Depth - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Golden Hope Mines Engages Auburn Partners for Investor Relation Services - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Manicouagan Provides Exploration Update - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Lund Acquires Gold Property in Schreiber-Hemlo Greenstone Belt, Ontario - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Fortune Minerals awards contract for Hemlo Mill dismantling, equipment salvage & demolition - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Campbell Resources updates second quarter 2008 operations - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Gold Wheaton completes FNX transaction - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
First Majestic Silver Corp.: 2nd Quarter Production Shows Continued Ramp-Up - "First Majestic Silver Corp. (Toronto:FR.TO - News) (Other OTC:FRMSF.PK - News) (Frankfurt:FMV.F - News) (WKN: A0LHKJ) ("First Majestic" or the "Company") is pleased to announce that production in the second quarter ending June 30th 2008 increased again to a record 1,271,141 equivalent ounces of silver representing a 20% increase over the prior quarter production and an increase of 49% over the same quarter in the prior year." More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Miners vs multinationals: Ghana on front-line - "The illegal miners had left their mark. Tools, explosives, sacks and ropes lay beside chopped power cables some 2,300 ft below ground in AngloGold Ashanti's Obuasi mine in Ghana.
They had chiseled off anything they suspected might conceal gold ore, including support structures like shaft pillars." More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Tumipampa: three types of gold mineralization uncovered - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Firstgold Opens up Commercial Assay Laboratory as It Continues to Develop Relief Canyon Exploration Project - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Uruguay Mineral Exploration: Notice of Exploration Report - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
East West Resource Corporation: Drilling Confirms Continuity of Copper Mineralization at Marshall-Thunder Bay, Ontario - More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Gold Fields-worker killed at Kloof mine, shaft shut - "Gold Fields (GFIJ.J: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) said a worker had been killed at the group's underground operations at its Kloof mine early on Tuesday, and the mine's main shaft had been shut for risk assessment and an investigation." More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Minco Silver Provides Update on Bankable Feasibility Study and Permitting at Fuwan - "Minco Silver Corporation (the "Company" or "Minco Silver") (Toronto:MSV.TO - News) is pleased to announce that the 43-101 compliant Bankable Feasibility Study ("BFS") and the permitting process are progressing well at its Fuwan Silver Project located in Guangdong Province, China." More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Orezone Signs Essakane Mining Convention - "Orezone Resources Inc. (Toronto:OZN.TO - News)(AMEX:OZN - News) is pleased to announce that the mining convention for the Essakane gold project has been signed by His Excellence Abdoulaye Abdoulkader Cissï¿1/2, Minister of Mines and Energy for Burkina Faso. The signing of the convention was the last stage required in the Burkina Faso mining approval process." More
- July 15, 2008 | Item | E-mail
- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report
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-- Posted 15 July, 2008 | |