-- Posted 20 August, 2008 | | Source: SilverSeek.com
| Close | Gain/Loss |
Gold | $810.20 | -$0.65 |
Silver | $13.025 | -$.095 |
XAU | 145.35 | +1.85% |
HUI | 330.47 | +0.31% |
GDM | 994.20 | -0.27% |
JSE Gold | 1726.56 | +29.88 |
USD | 76.94 | +0.20 |
Euro | 147.43 | -0.40 |
Yen | 91.04 | -0.11 |
Oil | $114.98 | +$0.45 |
10-Year | 3.799% | -0.043 |
T-Bond | 118.046875 | +0.46875 |
Dow | 11417.43 | +0.61% |
Nasdaq | 2389.08 | +0.20% |
S&P | 1274.54 | +0.62% |
The Metals:
Gold rose almost 1% to $818.05 and silver climbed over 2% to $13.40 in Asia before both metals fell to see over 1% and 2% losses at $799.80 and $12.79 by late morning in New York, but they then rallied back higher into the close and ended with losses of just 0.1% and 0.72%.
Euro gold rose to over €541, platinum gained $13.50 to $1364, and copper fell a few cents to about $3.40.
Gold and silver equities rose over 1% at the open before they fell to see slight losses by early afternoon, but they then rallied back higher into the close and ended mixed and near unchanged.
CBGA member gold sales may be lowest since '99-WGC
AFX News
The Economy:
There were no major economic reports today, but the Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage application fell another 1.5% last week to the lowest level since December 2000. Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings Initial Jobless Claims for 8/16 expected at 438,000 and at 10AM are Leading Economic Indicators for July expected at -0.3% and the Philadelphia Fed expected at -13.4.
The Markets:
Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/
Oil was up and down and ultimately ended slightly higher as traders digested a widely varied inventory report and a reiterated call from Goldman Sachs still calling for $149 oil by the end of the year despite their recent call for a strengthening dollar. Russia also said that it will respond to the recent missile defense deal between the US and Poland with more than just diplomatic protests as it considers the step as an escalation to an arms race. The market was not quite sure what to make of the statement, but any further developments could certainly increase any geopolitical concern premium in energy prices. Crude inventories built 9.4 million barrels, gasoline inventories fell 6.2 million barrels, distillates built 500,000 barrels, and refinery utilization fell 0.2% to 85.7%.
The U.S. dollar index rose on the view that the outlook for other world economies going forward is relatively worse than where the US is headed.
The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P opened lower on more worries about the financials as Fannie and Freddie were rumored to be meeting with the Treasury despite their public claim of no need for new capital. All three indices rose as oil dropped from its highs, but gains were modest at the close. Treasuries ended higher on economic and geopolitical jitters.
Among the big names making news in the market today were American Airlines, HP, Lehman, Fannie and Freddie, Eaton, EBay, and BJ’s.
The Commentary:
“Gold bounced off strong support strongly today as we come to the close of the quiet season for gold and enter the main annual gold season in the final quarter of the year. Many U.S. players are also soon to wind up their holidays and return to the gold market. Indian physical buying has entered the market as a force taking up bargain pricing of gold as an early entry into their season for gold.
The main driver of gold of late has been U.S. selling primarily from the speculative COMEX quarter, with investment demand showing uncertainty and as net sellers of small amounts. This left the field at the mercy of short-term traders who have pressed the metal down until this vigorous support was shown. Below $800 that support has been visibly resistant to these pressures, as we see in the bounce we are now witnessing.
Separately the $ is now struggling to hold its ground at $1.46 against the Euro. The malaise of the U.S. economy is by no means over as the I.M.F. itself is warning of a really big bank bust before long. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are sending out alarm bells as the cost of financing their bonds is rising, again threatening a failure of equity support and the likely support from the Fed, emphasizing that the credit crunch is getting worse.
The U.S. consumer is not in a position to add to the inflationary pressures we are seeing in the wholesale numbers, so we would expect the Fed to allow inflation to go untended, relying on deflation in many quarters to dampen it. We expect the Fed to nurse already fragile growth instead.
This translates into slower capital investment into the States from Asia and the Middle East and a continuation of the Trade deficit at unacceptable levels, leaving the $ to turn down shortly.
Gold and silver are nearing the end of the savage correction they have endured. With silver the 'long shadow' of gold falling further on the decline we would expect it to outperform gold going forward, particularly as we see investment demand in that metal appearing ahead of that demand in gold.”- Julian D.W. Phillips, www.goldforecaster.com
“December Gold finished down 0.5 at 816.3, 6.1 off the high and 9.5 up from the low.
September Silver closed down 0.065 at 13.04. This was 0.06 up from the low and 0.2 off the high.
The gold market tried to climb back above the prior session's highs but was unable to sustain the rise in prices in the face of minor strength in the US Dollar and a slide in oil prices. The market could have garnered some support from news out of London that Central Bank gold sales might be on a pace to be the slowest in over 8 years. While tracking the Central Bank sales is difficult due to the delayed nature of the statistics from different countries, the pace apparently has some players anticipating less supply flow from that source compared to recent history. While the gold market hasn't paid that much attention to physical supply and demand side stories recently, the fact that gold prices to the August low were almost $220 an ounce below the July highs could mean that the trade will become somewhat more receptive to classic supply side issues. In the near term the gold trade looks to remain focused on the direction of the Euro.
While the silver market was able to recoil from the lows, the trade seemed content to spend a large portion of the session close to the middle of the days trading range. With copper prices sharply lower and platinum prices showing strength the outside quasi industrial metals market spillover into the silver market was mixed, while the outside impact from the energy complex was negative for the second half of the trading session. Like the gold market, the silver market looks like it might have run out of near term technical short covering interest.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting
The Statistics:
As of close of business: 8/19/2008
Gold Warehouse Stocks: | 8,265,988 | -8,617 |
Silver Warehouse Stocks: | 138,061,032 | -176,650 |
Global Gold ETF Holdings
[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]
| Product name | Total Tonnes | Total Ounces | Total Value |
New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchage (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx) | SPDR® Gold Shares | 651.37 | 20,942,246 | US$ 16,513m |
London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse ) | Gold Bullion Securities | 115.69 | 3,719,502 | US$ 3,019m |
Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) | Gold Bullion Securities | 10.87 | 348,999 | US$ 284m |
Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE) | New Gold Debentures | 29.17 | 937,968 | US$ 739m |
Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: SPDR subtracted 7.66 tonnes.
COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)
Profile as of 8/19/2008 | |
Total Net Assets | $1,595,312,448 | Ounces of Gold in Trust | 1,967,280.000 |
Shares Outstanding | 19,950,000 | Tonnes of Gold in Trust | 61.19 |
Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.
Silver Trust (SLV)
Profile as of 8/19/2008 | |
Total Net Assets | $2,636,427,582 | Ounces of Silver in Trust | 202,708,301.600 |
Shares Outstanding | 205,000,000 | Tonnes of Silver in Trust | 6,304.93 |
Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 61.49 tonnes were added to the trust.
The Stocks:
AngloGold’s (AU) worker boycott tomorrow at Mponeng to mourn a worker death last week, Golden Star’s (GSS) appointed CFO, Keegan’s (KGN) appointed Environmental Manager and project updates, and Minefinders’ (MFN) Dolores update and second quarter results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.
WINNERS
1. Taseko | TGB +10.61% $2.92 |
2. ITH | THM +8.21% $1.45 |
3. US Energy | USEG +7.92% $3.27 |
LOSERS
1. Aurizon | AZK-7.19% $3.10 |
2. Vista | VGZ-5.07% $3.18 |
3. Banro | BAA-4.13% $3.95 |
Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.
All of today's gold and silver stock news:
Melkior Resources: Timmins Gold Project Drilling - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Amarillo Drills 88m @ 1.83 g/t Au at Butia, and 162m @ 0.70 g/t Au at Cerrito, Lavras do Sul - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Global Hunter Receives Permit for 3,700 Metre Drill Program at its Rabbit South Project in British Columbia - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Copper Reef Mining-Board Appointments - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Golden Star Appoints John Labate as Chief Financial Officer - "Mr. Labate has held numerous positions in the mining finance and accounting field. Most recently, John was Chief Financial Officer for Constellation Copper Corporation. His previous experience includes Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of GeoBiotics, Inc. and Crown Resources Corporation. Mr. Labate also served at Bond International Gold as Controller and in various accounting positions at Anaconda Minerals Company." More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Constellation Copper announces the appointment of David Mueller as Chief Financial Officer - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
First Narrows Provides Update on Chester Project - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Oriel Resources plc Announces Compulsory Acquisition of Shares and Cancellation From AIM - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Norsemont Mining Advances Constancia Feasibility Study - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Goldcliff Resource Corporation: Multi Ounce Gold Sampled at Expanded Bonanza Trench - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Klondike Silver Corp. -- Connaught Update - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Metanor: Trading of Warrants on the TSX Venture Exchange = MTO.WT - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Puma Exploration: Surface Drilling Intersects High Grades at Shaft Lens With 130 g/t Ag, 4.3% Zn and 3.6% Pb Over 10.2 Meters - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Colossus Minerals Inc. Takes Another Step Ahead With the Completion of Its Phase I Drilling Program on Serra Pelada - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
UBR Initial Drilling and Spectral Gamma Logging Results of Uskawanis Uranium Project Confirm That the Uranium Mineralization is Widespread - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Tamerlane Reports Discovery Of New Mineralized Zone At Pine Point - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Gemini Explorations, Inc. Reports Sampling Results From New Ore Zone at the La Tapata Gold Mine - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Clifton Star Progress Report on Drilling Features 2.91 g/t Over 134.0 Meters Gold Results on the Donchester Mine Property - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Freewest, Spider and KWG Intersect 45.6 Metres of Massive Chromite in Continuing Drilling Program at McFaulds Project, Ontario - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Dorato Completes Non-Brokered Private Placement and Enters Into Royalty Option Agreement With Franco-Nevada Corporation - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Alturas drills 48.5 meters of 2.24% zinc and 0.13% copper at Huajoto, Central Peru - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Uruguay Mineral Exploration Inc: Director's Shareholding - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Mantis Mobilizes Crew to King Dodds Showing - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Shoreham Resources Ltd. Receives Conditional Approval of a $1,100,000 Private Placement Financing - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Fortune Valley Identifies El Penon Structural Trend on the Anillo Project - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Golden Share Starts Drilling on Malartic Lakeshore Property and Advances Development of Its Mining Properties - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
International KRL Resources Corp. and ESO Uranium sign agreement for Cluff Lake area property, in the West Athabasca Basin, Saskatchewan - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Capella Resources Launches New Website, Provides Project Update - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Red Dragon Resources Corp. Announces Property Acquisition in Chile - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Merrex Intersects 5.52 g/t Gold Over 24.5 Metres in Siribaya Drilling - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
SIRIOS: Diamond Drilling on the TILLY Molybdenum Property - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Breakwater and Virginia-Coulon JV Project - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Gentor Announces Inferred Mineral Resource Estimate of 5.7 Million Tons Grading 0.15% Moly at its IMA Project in Idaho - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Centenario Copper Announces China Measured and Indicated Mineral Resource Category More Than Doubles to 29 Million Tonnes at 0.55% CuT - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Virginia Mines Inc./Coulon JV Project: New Drill Intersections Up to 11.54% Zn, 1.2% Cu, 98.92 g/t Ag / 9.5m (Lens 08) and 7.15% Zn, 0.77% Cu, 14.3 g/t Ag - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Castle Gold Reports Enhanced Resources and Reserves and Resulting Increase in Production and Net Present Value at El Castillo Mine, Mexico - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Mourning workers to boycott Anglogold's Mponeng Thurs - "AngloGold Ashanti (ANGJ.J: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) faces a stay-away on Thursday at its South African Mponeng mine after workers said on Wednesday that they planned to mourn a colleague who died at the site last week.
AngloGold, the world's No. 3 gold producer, also said on Wednesday that it had re-opened part of closed sections at its TauTona mine, which was shut following a fatality on Friday." More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Zincore Identifies Promising Gold Target in Chile and Provides Exploration Update - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Jelai Mineralization Expanding for Kalimantan Gold - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Nirek Visits Gold Producing Property in Peru Prior to Completing Joint Venture Agreement - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Endeavor Explorations Inc. Receives Drill Permits - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Acadian Mining intersects 6.00 metres of 11.22% zinc plus lead at its Getty property, Nova Scotia - More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Keegan Announces Appointment of Environmental Manager and Provides Project Updates - "Keegan Resources Inc. ("Keegan") (CDNX:KGN.V - News)(KGN - News) is pleased to announce that it has contracted Graham Johnson to be its Health, Safety, Environment, and Community Manager. Mr. Johnson was formerly a Principal with Coffey Natural Systems in Perth, Australia where he led environmental and community baseline studies for various mining and exploration companies throughout Australia and Africa." More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
RBC analyst bullish on Yamana Gold - "RBC Capital Markets raised its outlook on Yamana Gold Inc. to "Outperform" from "Sector Perform" on Wednesday, citing a positive outlook for gold and the Canadian company's growth plans." More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
Minefinders Provides Dolores Update and Second Quarter 2008 Results - "The Company recorded a net loss of $7.7 million ($0.15 per share) for the second quarter of 2008 compared with a net loss of $0.4 million ($0.01 per share) for the second quarter of 2007. Net losses for the first half of 2008 totalled $13.3 million ($0.27 per share) compared with $4.0 million ($0.08 per share) in the first half of 2007." More
- August 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail
- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report
- Would you like to receive the Free Daily Gold Seeker Report in your e-mail? Click here
Additional Resources for today’s Gold Seeker Report can be found:
© Gold Seeker 2008
Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.
Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions. The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor. Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate. The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change. Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein. Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.
-- Posted 20 August, 2008 | |