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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Fall Over 4% and 5% While Stocks Eventually Rebound

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 16 October, 2008 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$802.15

-$34.25

Silver

$9.565

-$0.545

XAU

88.32

-7.19%

HUI

210.12

-9.16%

GDM

620.12

-8.59%

JSE Gold

1857.97

+15.24

USD

82.31

+0.22

Euro

134.68

-0.45

Yen

98.56

-1.31

Oil

$69.85

-$4.69

10-Year

3.936%

-0.075

T-Bond

114.390625

+0.140625

Dow

8979.26

+4.68%

Nasdaq

1717.71

+5.49%

S&P

946.43

+4.25%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold rose nearly 1% to $843.63 in Asia and traded slightly higher in London before it plummeted in later morning New York trade and dropped to as low as $784.80 by about noon EST.  It then rebounded about 2% from that low in the last hour and a half of trade, but it still ended with a loss of 4.09%.  Silver rose 19 cents to $10.30 at the open in New York before it also plummeted in later morning New York trade and dropped to as low as $9.20 by about noon EST.  It also rebounded into the close, but it still ended with a loss of 5.39%.

 

Euro gold fell to about €99, platinum lost $85.50 to $876.50, and copper fell another 12 cents to a 33 month low at about $2.10.

 

Gold and silver equities fell about 10% by late morning before they rebounded in afternoon trade, but they still ended with about 8% losses.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

CPI

Sep

0.0%

0.1%

-0.1%

Core CPI

Sep

0.1%

0.2%

0.2%

Initial Claims

10/11

461K

470K

477K

Net Foreign Purchases

Aug

$14.0B

$30.0B

$8.6B

Capacity Utilization

Sep

76.4%

78.0%

78.7%

Industrial Production

Sep

-2.8%

-0.8%

-1.0%

Philadelphia Fed

Oct

-37.5

-5.0

3.8

 

Home builder sentiment sinks to record low  Reuters

Paulson regrets mistakes on economy  Yahoo

Weak U.S. output, job market point to recession  Reuters

 

Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings Building Permits for September expected at 840,000 and Housing Starts expected at 870,000.  At 10AM is Michigan Sentiment for October expected at 65.0.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

The U.S. dollar index rose after oil closed below $70 for the first time since August 2007 as crude inventories built 5.6 million barrels, gasoline inventories rose 7 million barrels, and distillates fell 450,000 barrels.  The EIA also reported that product demand declined again and OPEC moved up their emergency meeting to next Friday, October 24th.

 

Treasuries rose after economic data showed that Industrial Production dropped the most since 1974 and manufacturing in the Philadelphia region shrank by the most in almost 20 years.

 

The Dow fell as much as 380 by late morning and the Nasdaq and S&P followed suit on worries over the economy, but all three indices rose markedly in the last couple of hours of trade and ended with about 5% gains as some hoped the worst may now be over.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were Peabody Energy, Southwest Airlines, Bank of New York Mellon, Citigroup, Merrill Lynch, Baxter, Google, Yahoo, and Harley.

 

The Commentary:

 

Dear Friends,

There is one simple but extremely dangerous error being made by the man who is the world's greatest expert on the time period and economics of the Great Depression, Dr. Bernanke, Chairman of the Federal Reserve.

The Chairman is an expert on the history and consequences of that period. He is being guided by this deep knowledge, yet is totally oblivious to the consequences of the alternative actions he is taking to not make the same errors as the 30s. This is all in his attempt to prevent his president from going down in history along with other failed economic leaders.

The unprecedented creation of infinite dollars for the purpose of flooding the world's entire financial system is causing the birth an inflation of types unknown in a modern economy.

The test case for the CONSEQUENCES of present united central bank actions is the history of the Weimar Republic, but this time it is on a planetary basis.

CONSEQUENCES cannot be avoided by any means. They are economic equal and opposing forces. That is simple fact.

In an attempt to avoid what the Chairman see as consequences of incorrect central bank action in the 1929 - 1933 period, he is creating new and infinitely more dangerous, longer lasting, society changing, politically provocative new sets of unexpected economic CONSEQUENCES.

The only number that might compare to the nominal value of all OTC derivatives is a count of all the individual plankton in all the oceans of the world and then only maybe.

The world will never be the same because of the greed of these 29 year olds and the old goat bosses who sat at the long desk of the board of directors while looking the other way.

Upcoming events:

As a result of "This is it and It is NOW":

1.      US exchanges will be closed. There is a chance all world exchanges will close down. Only gold and currencies which are planetary markets will continue to trade.

2.      Retirement programs will not pay off.

3.      Medicare and Medicaid will at best buy you a bandage or pay for 1/4 of a visit to a free clinic.

4.      Social security, due to the massive upcoming inflation, will provide no security for any society.

5.      Money Market Funds will not pay off.

6.      A CD is a gift, but not to you.

7.      Unified central bank action has a short life.

8.      Central banks will soon revert to the strategy of everyone for themselves.

9.      401Ks not self directed are headed for the toilet forever.

10.  Exchange Traded Funds will not return the assets upon which it is based to you.

11.  Sliver will demonstrate the fact that it is more industrial a metal than precious.

12.  Silver is not a currency because it is simply too HEAVY to settle debts or to be universally fungible.

13.  Silver performs best when there is reasonable industrial demand and distrust of currency. When this happens rounding up the gang and their money will have a lot to do with which party is elected.

14.  Credit card companies are going to have to be bailed out.

15.  GE Capital is a nuclear capable entity that has the capacity to take down the good old toaster and refrigerator manufacturer - SIGMA ZERO.

16.  GE Capital is a huge OTC derivative dealer but somehow I do not recall that fact being discussed.

17.  Gold is the only Honest Money because it has no liability attached to it.

18.  Gold coins are the best way to own gold for the average investor.

19.  When you select a junior gold, I would look for the highest quality, most bashed, highest short positioned, with real assets and real people devoid of pussy management. The situation is best if it is based in another country than the country you live in while doing business in a third and trading in multiple areas. The benefit is obvious.

20.  Nobody ever did or will ever trade items as insurance. That is a form of madness.

21.  At $1650 I will take my leave, having been with you to the point I promised.

22.  The only place you will find me then is at my place of business on the ground or the web.

There is no question that gold will trade at or above $1650 by January 14th, 2011.- Jim Sinclair, JSMineset.com

 

“Here’s the deal at the moment the way I see it…

 

*Demand for physical gold is astonishing and yet the price goes nowhere. The dichotomy between the "real" gold market and the Comex is widening.

 

*The US Government is petrified of gold rising to any degree because of its importance, in that a sharply rising price will shed light on "Dracula" … or the hideous inflationary forces set in motion by Comrade Paulson’s bailout.

 

*The gold price suppression scheme is SO childish, yet most on Planet Wall Street fall for it, or eat it up because it is in their interest to do so … See No Evil, Hear No Evil, Speak No Evil

 

*They fall for it because they refuse "to go there" when it comes to understanding just how much the US has meddled with the gold price and in other financial markets.

 

*Gold, a barbaric relic? Hardly … to the contrary it is becoming more relevant than ever.

 

*The Gold Cartel has rendered the most widely watched barometer of US financial market health, gold, dysfunctional. The mainstream gold pundits come up with one silly notion after another why gold is not flying.

 

*The rigging of the price of gold was one of the main contributors to the financial market disasters of the day and GATA warned the world in our WSJ ad on Jan 31, 2008.

 

*The Gold Cartel is all over the price of gold because a few key ones are SHORT. The US Government is implementing another bailout of sorts to protect them and their own Gold Cartel position.

 

*I would much rather be making money with my gold, silver and sizeable share positions; however, each passing day The Gold Cartel proves how right GATA has been for a decade.

 

*For the most part the US financial market press refuses to give GATA the time of day. I guess they realize once we shine the light on Dracula to the general public, he is a goner. Anyone who can add 2 plus 2 can see what is occurring at the moment.

 

*It is only a matter of time before THE LIGHT is directed on The Gold Cartel and they will recoil.

 

*Several months ago we received reports that bullion dealers in the MidEast were making it much more difficult for buyers over there. Unfortunately similar reports are coming my way on a daily basis from all over the world that this trend is picking up speed. It appears governments and bullion banks are not banning gold, just making it very difficult to purchase.”- From yesterday’s Midas report by Bill Murphy of LemetropoleCafe.com

 

“December Gold closed down 34.5 at 804.5. This was 13.5 up from the low and 35 off the high.

 

December Silver finished down 0.545 at 9.635, 0.575 off the high and 0.335 up from the low.

 

The market closed sharply lower and blew through the October lows despite one of the highest volatility days in history in the stock market and continued anxiety in the world's financial markets. Ideas that the worst news in the banking industry is now behind us and a sharp break in raw commodity markets helped drive the market sharply lower. The flight to quality bulls in the gold market were disappointed again today and there was talk that hedge funds were selling off gold and gold stocks in order to raise cash for other issues. December gold moved under $800 and to the lowest level since September 17th.

 

The silver market drove sharply lower on the session and into new lows for the move with nearby futures moving to the lowest level since mid-February of 2006. Weakness in industrial metals helped drive the market lower early and a sharp sell-off in equity markets added to the negative tone. The strong recovery in stocks helped support a strong bounce off of the lows but the market still closed sharply lower. News of the worst industrial production decline in the US since the mid-1970's was seen as a bearish force. Fears of a continued contraction in the global economy and a strong US dollar were also seen as negative forces.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 10/15/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

8,523,979

-38,483

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

134,147,050

-

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchage (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx)

SPDR® Gold Shares

767.58

24,678,476

US$ 20,899m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

123.53

3,971,515

US$ 3,197m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

11.97

384,418

US$ 310m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

26.22

842,891

US$ 713m

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 10/15/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,761,662,447

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

2,108,859.706

Shares Outstanding

21,400,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

65.59

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 10/15/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$2,420,418,187

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

221,698,064.200

Shares Outstanding

224,400,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

6,895.58

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 61.44 tonnes were added to the trust.

 

The Stocks:

 

Gold Fields’ (GFI) restarted operations, Yamana’s (AUY) production outlook, NovaGold’s (NG) third quarter results, Almaden’s (AAU) exploration results, South American Silver’s (SAC.TO) indium extraction, Hecla’s (HL) bridge loan, Sabina’s (SBB.V) study update, and MAG’s (MVG) drill results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Allied Nevada

ANV +14.42% $3.73

2.  Taseko

TGB +7.84% $1.10

3.  DRDGOLD

DROOY +4.17% $4.50

 

LOSERS

1.  Seabridge

SA -26.16% $7.03

2.  NovaGold

NG -23.41% $3.37

3.  Alexco

AXU-19.46% $1.20

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

International Barytex Resources Ltd. Responds to Incorrect Statements Regarding Shituru Project - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


StrataGold increases Mar-Tungsten Deposit indicated resource by 44% and provides metallurgical test results - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Firstgold Schedules Drilling at Fairview-Hunter Exploration Property - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Gold Fields re-opens biggest mine after accident - "South Africa's Gold Fields (GFIJ.J: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), the world's No. 4 gold producer, restarted operations at Africa's biggest mine on Thursday after it was forced to shut it down for a day when two workers died, the company said.

Gold Fields shut its largest operation, the Driefontein mine near Johannesburg, on Wednesday after two workers died following a series of tremors. It got a government green light to restart operations on Thursday evening." More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Mokambo NI 43-101 Mineral Resource Technical Report Received - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Sinivit High Grade Gold Zone Continues to Expand With Intersection of 8m at 36.7g/t Gold - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Duran Ventures and MacMillan Gold Arrangement Approved by Shareholders and by the Court - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Belvedere awarded Environmental Permit for Luikonlahti Mine and Concentration Plant - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Yamana targets cut after trims production outlook - "Analysts cut their targets on Yamana Gold (YRI.TO: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) on Thursday after the Canadian mid-tier gold producer trimmed its gold production targets through 2011.

In a presentation to investors on Wednesday, Yamana said it will produce 1.05 million gold equivalent ounces this year, rising to 1.4 million in 2009, 1.5 million in 2010, and 1.6 million by 2011. The measure of gold equivalent ounces factor in the company's silver production.

The company had been expecting to produce between 1.1 million ounces and 1.2 million ounces this year, 1.6 million ounces in 2009, 1.8 million in 2010, and about 2 million in 2011." More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


South American Silver Corp. Reports Successful Extraction of Indium From Leach Solutions at Malku Khota - "This is an important result for the project as it demonstrates very high recoveries of indium, a metal increasingly in demand. The promise of an indium credit in addition to silver makes the Malku Khota project even more compelling. We have now shown in our early stage metallurgical tests that we can leach silver, indium and gold by acid chloride leaching and can extract these metals into products. These results continue to demonstrate the positive direction of our project." More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Nevoro Inc.: Drilling Begins on the Golden Loon Nickel, Cobalt, PGE, Gold Property - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Helio acquires strategic licence adjacent to the SMP Gold Project, Tanzania - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


First Metals Inc. Awarded Development of the Year Honours and Fabie Mine Life Continues to be Extended - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Gemini Explorations Makes Progress Toward Solidifying Joint Venture for the Development of Its La Tapata Gold Mine - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Solex Resources Corp. announces completion of NI 43-101 report on Pilunani property - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Skyline Gold Announces Receipt of Assignment by Barrick Gold of Snip/Bronson Creek Airstrip Licence of Occupation and Provides Bronson Slope Project Update - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Wescan drilling in Beardmore-Geraldton gold belt - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Goldeye Reviews Its Large High-Grade Gold Projects in Ontario and Chile and Announces New Conductors in Fawcett Twp., On - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Hotagen uranium mineralized district - summer field program update 66 ore grade outcrops discovered, surface drilling ongoing - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Imperial Reports High Grade Intercepts From Three Zones at Mount Polley - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Farallon Trucks First Concentrate Produced at G-9 - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Freewest Resources Amends Stock Option Plan - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Champion Minerals Outlines Massive Sulphide Potential with New Gravity-Magnetic Anomalies at Gullbridge in Buchans Mining Camp - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Paladin Energy Ltd: Clarification Regarding Interpretation of Quarterly Report - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


PC Gold Clarifies Disclosure Regarding Gold Zones in October 7, 2008 News Release - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Thompson Creek announces Pamela L. Saxton has assumed the duties of Chief Financial Officer - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Bayswater Initiates Drilling Program at Brudell Lake Project in Athabasca Basin - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Elray Mining: Asian Demand for Zircon Set for Intense Growth - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


GWR Reviews 2007 - 2008 Lac La Hache Exploration - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Anaconda Mining Inc. Announces Financial Results Ending August 31, 2008 - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


GBS Gold International Inc. Company Update - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Jasper Mining Corporation reports discovery hole from Isintok property - 94.67 m grading 0.086% Cu and 0.015% Mo (0.026% MoS2) - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


African Queen Mines Ltd. Commences Trading - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Campbell provides update - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Macusani Yellowcake Announces Private Placement to Homeland Uranium - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


NWT Uranium Corp. Announces Closing of Private Placement - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Kaska and Hard Creek Nickel Reach Agreement - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Aurora Announces 2008 Exploration Program in Baker Lake Basin, Nunavut - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Homeland Uranium Inc. Announces $2 Million Private Placement in Macusani Yellowcake Inc. - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Etruscan reports third quarter 2008 results - More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Hecla Reduces Bridge Loan to $40 Million, Extends Final Maturity Date - "Hecla Mining Company (NYSE:HL) today announced it has repaid $200 million of the $240 million bridge loan used to acquire the remaining 70.27% of the Greens Creek joint venture. The loan agreement has been amended to extend the maturity date for the remainder of the bridge loan to February 16, 2009, subject to conditions set forth in the agreement." More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


NovaGold Third Quarter Financial Results and Project Update - "For the three-month period ended August 31, 2008, the Company reported earnings of $16.7 million (or $0.16 basic and diluted earnings per share) compared to a loss of $4.2 million (or $0.04 basic and diluted loss per share) for the corresponding period in 2007." More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Sabina Silver Announces Hackett River Study Update - "Hackett River is a major silver-zinc deposit located approximately 75 kilometres from tide water in the Canadian arctic. Not only is it one of the largest undeveloped silver deposits of its type in the world, but it is located in one of the world's most appealing mining jurisdictions. Nunavut Territory, Canada, is a pro-mining jurisdiction subject to a rigorous achievable permitting process. The Territory is eager to create infrastructure and economic sustainability through the responsible development of mineral projects in the region." More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


MAG Silver Reports Drilling Results from the Valdecanas Vein - "MAG Silver Corp. (Toronto:MAG.TO - News)(NYSE-A: MVG) ("MAG") reports on behalf of Minera Juanicipio SA (a joint venture between Fresnillo plc (56%) and MAG (44%)) new assay results from drilling along the Valdecanas Vein. The results confirm the anticipated decrease of high grade silver with depth and add intercepts in areas beyond the published resource limits. Drilling continues with four drills currently operating." More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Almaden Minerals Ltd.: New Copper-Gold Zone Discovered at San Carlos, Mexico - "Almaden Minerals Ltd. ("Almaden", "the Company") (Toronto:AMM.TO - News)(NYSE-A: AAU) is pleased to report on its 2008 exploration results from its wholly owned San Carlos property in Mexico where field crews of Almaden have been working in July, August and September of this year." More
- October 16, 2008 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted 16 October, 2008 | |


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