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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Fall Nearly 8% and 11% on the Week

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 17 October, 2008 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$785.95

-$16.20

-7.75%

Silver

$9.345

-$0.22

-10.92%

XAU

85.85

-2.80%

-14.63%

HUI

203.24

-3.25%

-18.09%

GDM

602.61

-2.80%

-15.62%

JSE Gold

1738.50

-119.47

-8.43%

USD

82.40

+0.09

-0.28%

Euro

134.23

-0.22

+0.22%

Yen

98.53

+0.15

-0.97%

Oil

$71.85

+$2.00

-7.53%

10-Year

3.938%

+0.002

+1.99%

Bond

Error

Error

Error

Dow

8852.22

-1.41%

+4.75%

Nasdaq

1711.29

-0.37%

+3.75%

S&P

940.55

-0.62%

+4.59%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold rose 1.6% to $815 in Asia before it fell back off in London and dropped to as low as $772 by late morning in New York, but it then rallied back higher in the last couple of hours of trade and ended almost $14 off its low with a loss of 2.02%.  Silver rose 3.7% to $9.92 in Asia before it fell to as low as $9.075 in New York, but it ended nearly 3% off that low with a loss of just 2.3%.

 

Euro gold fell to about €583, platinum lost $17 to $859.50, and copper gained roughly 8 cents to about $2.18.

 

Gold and silver equities fell over 7% at the open before they rallied back higher and saw modest gains by mid-afternoon, but they then fell back off into the close and ended with about 3% losses.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Building Permits

Sep

786K

840K

857K

Housing Starts

Sep

817K

870K

872K

Michigan Sentiment

Oct

57.5

65.0

70.3

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Michigan Sentiment - October

57.5 v. 70.3

 

Housing Starts - September

817K v. 872K

 

Building Permits - September

786K v. 857K

 

Philadelphia Fed - October

-37.5 v. 3.8

 

Industrial Production - September

-2.8% v. -1.0%

 

Capacity Utilization - September

76.4% v. 78.7%

 

Net Foreign Purchases - August

$14.0B v. $8.6B

 

CPI - September

0.0% v. -0.1%

 

Core CPI - September

0.1% v. 0.2%

 

Initial Claims - 10/11

461K v. 477K

 

Business Inventories - August

0.3% v. 1.1%

 

NY Empire State Index - October

-24.6 v. -7.4

 

Retail Sales - September

-1.2% v. -0.4%

 

Retail Sales ex-auto - September

-0.6% v. -0.9%

 

PPI - September

-0.4% v. -0.9%

 

Core PPI - September

0.4% v. 0.2%

 

Next week’s economic highlights include Leading Economic Indicators on Monday, Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday, and Existing Home Sales on Friday.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil rose on hopes for signs of recovering worldwide demand next week while OPEC may also announce a production cut at its emergency meeting next Friday.

 

The U.S. dollar index ended higher in mixed trade as the euro fell on the view that Europe may have more problems going forward than the US.

 

Treasuries fell on more worries over the need to issue additional debt and whether or not there will continue to be buyers for it.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P fell markedly at the open before reversing to see impressive gains midday, but all three indices then fell back off into the close and ended modestly lower on uncertainty over the health of the economy and financial system overall.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were ING, Honeywell, IBM, Pfizer, Schlumberger, and Warren Buffet.

 

The Commentary:

 

Dear Friends,

 

1. As we approach elections everything possible is being done to keep equities from total implosion.

 

2. As we approach elections everything possible is being done to keep the hollow US dollar firm

 

3. As we approach elections everything possible is being done to keep gold under control to assist in keeping the dollar firm.

 

4. Gold is NOT a commodity. It is a currency.

 

5. There is an appearance of involuntary liquidation in gold as hedge and gold funds are pressed by redemptions and needs for capital to pay off investors.

 

6. Gold never changes. Things change in price comparison to gold, so therefore you can jump up and down on the barometer but that will not change the circumstances it is reading.

 

7. The means of keeping all things in check is to demoralize those whose positions oppose the goal while showing some sunshine to those who wish to keep their positions.

 

8. Nobody on earth can prevent the CONSEQUENCES of Chairman Bernanke and Secretary of the Treasury Paulson's attempt to offset the unavoidable CONSEQUENCES of the same actions taken by the central bank and treasury of the 1930s.

 

9. The different monetary action now in the degree applied will have their own and different CONSEQUENCES in the degree of economic impact.

 

10. The dichotomy between the bullion supply/demand picture and the easy to manipulate paper gold market continues. Pedro says: "A "friend" of mine was in Zurich yesterday. Aside from the fact that there were no gold coins available in one of the major centers of the world gold trade, it was also noted that there are no longer any large safe deposit boxes available at Credit Suisse Banhofstrasse."

 

11. Here is where we are headed to some degree, regardless of the manipulation of markets to paint charts at an unprecedented level.

 

A Tale from Weimar Germany
by Roland Watson

 

Most readers will be familiar with the great hyperinflation of Weimar Germany. Indeed, it is often held up as the icon of what can go drastically wrong when government throws off all restraint in regards to the production of fiat money. I do not need to labour the point much as to how billions and then trillions of marks were literally not worth the paper they were printed on and how workers had to be paid by the hour lest their wages rapidly lost purchasing power in the brief time between being paid and spending that same money.

 

As ever, gold and silver proved to be safe havens from the ravages of inflation. Indeed, anything other than the mark seemed to a good place to park one's wealth. In those days, that could be anything from bedpans to US dollars to precious metals. However, depending on one's accumulated wealth, gold and silver were amongst the top assets in terms of holding and transporting wealth. Despite this, one set of figures and one notable week in the life of Weimar Germany demonstrated that one particular form of wealth proved to be in particularly heavy demand

Comments are invited by emailing the author at newerainvestor@yahoo.co.uk.

 

12. Don’t let the unprecedented bullying of all markets to meet political expediency draw your attention off the ball.

 

There are defined CONSEQUENCES to the new approach taken by the top expert of the 1929 to 1940 depression. The error is that these actions will have CONSEQUENCES different from 1930 and they will be more devastating than one can ever imagine.

 

Monetary inflation, "the unlimited creation of fiat money," will cause massive price inflation regards of the level of business activity
 

PROTECT YOURSELF!- Jim Sinclair, JSMineset.com

 

“December Gold closed down 16.8 at 787.7. This was 12.7 up from the low and 4.3 off the high.

 

December Silver finished down 0.3 at 9.335, 0.145 off the high and 0.175 up from the low.

 

The gold market started out on a weak footing and then came under more intense pressure in the wake of softer than expected US housing starts and permits data. However, the gold market seemed to bounce slightly in the face of the mid day equity market recovery and that would further the argument that gold is seeing the threat of too much slowing as a more important element than the potential for aggressive flight to quality buying. While some might suggest that the Dollar action was responsible for the weakness in gold, it should be noted that gold was down early in the trading session when the Dollar was lower. The fact that gold didn't seem to get any lift from stronger energy prices suggests that even the physical commodity market angle wasn't capable of boosting gold prices.

 

The silver market was weaker throughout the trading session Friday. In fact, silver was down in conjunction with the gold market and even though equity prices bounced and at times before the silver close were moderately higher that didn't seem to benefit the silver bulls. With the Dollar eventually regaining some positive traction after a slump in the wake of the scheduled US numbers one could suggest that current market action contributed to the weakness in silver prices. The fact that copper and energy prices were higher during the session didn't seem to spark much bargain hunting buying interest in silver despite the fact that silver on the week was down roughly $1.30 an ounce from the prior week's close.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

More on the strange disparities in gold, silver markets

Daily bank borrowing from Fed rises to $438 billion

Fears of Lehman's CDS derivatives haunt markets

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 10//2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

8,561,477

+37,498

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

133,582,226

-564,824

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchage (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx)

SPDR® Gold Shares

756.86

24,333,868

US$ 19,524m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

123.53

3,971,471

US$ 3,123m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

11.97

384,414

US$ 303m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

26.22

842,882

US$ 676m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: SPDR subtracted 10.74 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 10/16/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,689,941,912

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

2,108,859.706

Shares Outstanding

21,400,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

65.59

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 10/16/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$2,214,205,830

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

221,698,064.200

Shares Outstanding

224,400,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

6,895.58

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Harmony’s (HMY) output, IAMGOLD’s (IAG) appointment of Elaine Ellingham as the Senior Vice President of Investor Relations & Communications, Ivanhoe’s (IVN) negotiations with the Mongolian Government, AngloGold’s (AU) non-recommendation of a mini-tender offer, and ECU’s (ECU.TO) assay results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Apex Silver

SIL +7.56% $1.85

2.  ITH

THM +7.21% $1.19

3.  Fronteer

FRG +7.01% $1.68

 

LOSERS

1.  Allied Nevada

ANV -17.43% $3.08

2.  Banro

BAA -10.34% $1.30

3.  Endeavour

EXK -9.57% $1.04

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Sage Closes First Tranche of Private Placement - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Aurora Gold Corporation Announces That a Ground Geophysics Program on the São João Joint Venture Project in the Tapajos Gold Province Is Nearing Completion - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Cartier Acquires Two New Gold Properties - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Manicouagan Minerals Reports Transfer of Shares by Insider - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Miranda Reports Termination of Red Hill Agreement - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Amerigo Announces Q3 2008 Production Results - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Strait Gold Amends Warrants - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Freewest Continues to Generate Encouraging Drill Results on its 100%-Owned McFaulds Property, Northern Ontario - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Global Gold Registers Significant Discovery in Armenia at Toukhmanuk - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Nunavik Nickel Project Exploration Update: New Zone of High-Grade Massive Sulphides Intersected at Giraffe - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Western Troy Stakes Claims on Molybdenum Anomaly Southwest of the Troilus Mine in Quebec - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Colorado Goldfields Inc. Pays 30% Stock Dividend - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Reverse circulation drill results from Bansié Project, Burkina Faso - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Farallon Raises $7.75 Million Through Notes - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Radisson Mining Completes Acquisition of Mining Claim in Dryden Area of Ontario and Updates Two Drill Programs - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Osisko Launches Normal Course Issuer Bid - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Probe Mines Exploration Update - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Solex Resources Corp. Announces Fiscal 2008 Year End Results - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Golden Phoenix Implements Corporate Cost-Cutting Measures - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Alexis Discovers Copper-Rich Massive Sulphide Zone With 54.0 Metre Copper-Rich Stringer Zone Adjacent to the Louvicourt Mine in Val d'Or, Quebec - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Blue Note to put Caribou and Restigouche on temporary care and maintenance - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


S.Africa's Harmony output, costs to rise in Q3 - "Africa's third largest gold producer, Harmony Gold (HARJ.J: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), said on Friday output and unit cash costs in the September quarter had risen, and it was confident of a higher gold price." More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Vena Resources Discovers High-Grade Coarse Gold at Pucara-Gold/Copper Project in Peru and Expands Development Program - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Kalimantan Gold Plans Private Placement - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Globex: Update on Exploration and Prospects - More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


IAMGOLD Announces Appointment of Senior Vice President, Investor Relations & Communications - "IAMGOLD Corporation ("IAMGOLD" or "the Company") (Toronto:IMG.TO - News)(NYSE:IAG - News)(BOTSWANA: IAMGOLD) is pleased to announce the appointment of Elaine Ellingham as the Senior Vice President of Investor Relations & Communications effective October 14, 2008." More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


ECU Silver and Golden Tag Cut Additional Massive Sulphides at San Diego - "Initial assay results received from drill hole SD-08-34 are very encouraging.. In particular, this hole cut additional massive sulphides with significant grades in silver, lead and zinc (see Table 1 below) and confirms the ongoing continuity of La Rata Vein. The results from the La Rata Vein continue to demonstrate sulphide grades that are among the richest within the San Diego Project area." More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Ivanhoe Mines and Rio Tinto Reaffirm Readiness To Engage in Investment Agreement Negotiations With Mongolia for Development of Oyu Tolgoi Project - "John Macken, President and CEO of Ivanhoe Mines, and Bret Clayton, Rio Tinto's Chief Executive, Copper & Diamonds, said today that they were looking forward to engaging in negotiations with the Mongolian Government to conclude an Investment Agreement for the development of the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold project in Mongolia's South Gobi Region." More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


AngloGold Ashanti Does Not Recommend or Endorse Below-Market Mini-Tender Offer From TRC Capital - "AngloGold Ashanti announced today that it has been notified of an unsolicited below-market "mini-tender offer" by TRC Capital Corporation of Toronto, Canada to purchase up to 4,000,000 American depositary shares ("ADSs") of AngloGold Ashanti Limited (each of which represents one ordinary share), representing approximately 1.14% of AngloGold Ashanti's outstanding share capital, at a price of US$18.00 per ADS. AngloGold Ashanti cautions shareholders that this offer represented a 2.65% discount to the US$18.49 closing price of ADSs on the New York Stock Exchange on October 15, 2008, the day prior to the date of the offer and a 2.39% discount to the US$18.44 closing price of ADSs on October 16, 2008." More
- October 17, 2008 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2008

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.

 


-- Posted 17 October, 2008 | |


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