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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Fall In Early Trade But Rally After Hours

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 13 November, 2008 | Digg This ArticleDigg It! |

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$707.30

-$11.15

Silver

$8.86

-$0.625

XAU

84.71

+12.72%

HUI

198.61

+13.18%

GDM

599.07

+12.17%

JSE Gold

1487.01

-121.23

USD

86.69

-0.85

Euro

128.13

+3.60

Yen

102.46

-3.04

Oil

$58.24

+$2.08

10-Year

3.818%

+0.153

T-Bond

116.984375

-1.109375

Dow

8835.25

+6.67%

Nasdaq

1596.70

+6.50%

S&P

911.29

+6.92%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold fell $10.05 to $708.40 in after hours access trade late yesterday before it climbed back higher in Asia and London and rose to as high as $721 by about 10:30AM EST in New York, but it then fell back off into the close and ended near its low of $699.55 with a loss of 1.55%.  At the time of writing in after hours access trade gold has more than erased today’s loss and has even climbed past its earlier high by setting a new high of $739.67.

 

Silver fell to $0.245 to $9.24 in after hours access trade late yesterday before it climbed back higher in Asia and London and rose to as high as $9.46 by about 8:30AM EST in New York, but it also fell back off into the close and ended near its low of $8.78 with a loss of 6.59%.  Silver has also erased more than today’s loss in after hours access trade and has climbed to as high as $9.515 at the time of writing.

 

Euro gold fell to about €566, platinum lost $12.50 to $807, and copper fell a few cents to about $1.62.

 

Gold and silver equities rose over 3% about an hour into trade and fell over 3% by early afternoon, but they then rallied back higher into the close and ended with over 12% gains.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Initial Claims

11/08

516K

479K

484K

Trade Balance

Sep

-$56.5B

-$57.0B

-$59.1B

Treasury Budget

Oct

-$237.2B

-$134.0B

-$56.8B

 

Jobless Claims climbed to the highest in 7 years and the budget deficit was the largest on record.

 

The House Oversight Committee hosted a hearing today on hedge funds and the financial markets in which several hedge fund managers who made over $1 billion last year testified about their role in and thoughts about recent events in the markets.

 

“President George W. Bush asserted Thursday that the global financial crisis is "not a failure of the free market" and urged world leaders to adopt modest financial reforms that stop short of the tighter regulations Europeans favor.”

 

Soros, Falcone Defend Hedge-Fund Industry as House Panel Weighs Regulation   Bloomberg

Soros says deep recession inevitable, depression possible  Yahoo

Obama Pushing for $50 Billion Automaker Rescue, Czar to Oversee Companies  Bloomberg

Bernanke Must Reveal Who Got $2 Trillion Loans, Investors, Congressmen Say   Bloomberg

Foreclosure Filings Surged 25% in October as Prices Slid, Economy Weakened   Bloomberg

 

Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings Import and Export Prices for October and Retail Sales for October expected at -2.1%.  At 10AM is The Business Inventories report for September expected at -0.1% and Michigan Sentiment for November expected at 57.0.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell as inventory reports showed a larger than expected build in gasoline supplies and confirmed the continued drop off in demand, but it then rallied back higher in late trade and ended with a decent gain on optimism over rebounding conditions heading forward.

 

The U.S. dollar index fell as worries eased over the health of the financial markets and urged traders to put money to work.

 

Treasuries fell as stocks reversed early losses and ended markedly higher.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P traded lower for most of the day on further economic worries and more disappointing company reports and the Dow was down over 300 points at one point, but all three indices soared higher in the last couple of hours of trade and ended with over 6% gains after President Bush delivered a passionate speech about free markets as he prepares for the G20 meeting that starts tomorrow.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were Las Vegas Sands, JPMorgan, GM, Intel, and Wal-Mart.

 

The Commentary:

 

“December Gold closed down 13.3 at 705. This was 6 up from the low and 20 off the high.

 

December Silver finished down 0.68 at 8.8, 0.51 off the high and 0.01 up from the low.

 

The gold market continued to see a tight positive correlation with the US equity market. With the stock market under pressure again it was clear that deflationary selling interest surfaced in the gold market again. In fact, while the Dollar was periodically lower early in the trading session the direction of the stock market seemed to be more important to the gold trade. As mentioned in the mid day coverage more evidence of slowing in the regularly scheduled US economic data seemed to turn up the selling pressure on gold and that isn't that surprising considering the ever lengthening expected duration of recessionary conditions.

 

With the outlook for the US economy apparently deteriorating further in the wake of ongoing gains in initial and ongoing claims it wasn't that surprising to see the December silver contract fall to the lowest level since October 28th. In fact, as long as the equity markets are pointing to significant financial and economic uncertainty ahead it would seem like a host of physical commodity markets are going to be viewed as vulnerable to more price declines.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Gold mining mergers on hold until share prices stabilize

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Abandon all hope once you enter deflation

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 11/12/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

8,372,037

-398

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

130,204,084

+1,146,367

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchage (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx)

SPDR® Gold Shares

748.94

24,079,044

US$ 17,449m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

117.66

3,782,821

US$ 2,740m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

11.59

372,311

US$ 270m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

26.58

854,440

US$ 619m

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: SPDR subtracted 0.27 tonnes and the JSE added 0.37 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 11/12/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$1,473,881,194

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

2,053,895.409

Shares Outstanding

20,850,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

63.88

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 0.62 tonnes were removed from the trust.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 11/12/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$2,093,295,196

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

216,958,480.900

Shares Outstanding

219,700,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

6,748.16

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

A free, new stock report by Peter Zihlmann on Seabridge Gold, Agnico-Eagle’s (AEM) spending cut on exploration, Allied Nevada’s (ANV) third quarter results, AngloGold’s (AU) cash costs, Pan American’s (PAAS) third quarter results, and Avino’s (ASM.V) optioned property were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Allied Nevada

ANV +58.5% $3.17

2.  Hecla

HL +25.71% $1.32

3.  Buenaventura

BVN+18.44% $14.58

 

LOSERS

1.  Exeter

XRA -3.19% $1.21

2.  Gammon Gold

GRS -3.17% $3.36

3.  Richmont

RIC -2.29% $1.1432

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

La Mancha Announces its Third Quarter Results - More
- November 13, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Tanqueray Resources Ltd. - Appointment of new Director - More
- November 13, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Shutdown looms at Cameco's Port Hope plant - union - More
- November 13, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Zaruma Resources reports on Third Quarter 2008 - More
- November 13, 2008 | Item | E-mail


SIRIOS RESOURCES INC.: $550,000 Debenture and Loan Financing from SIDEX, Limited Partnership - More
- November 13, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Latin American Minerals Inc. Acquires Lithium Project in Argentina Following Positive Initial Sampling Program - More
- November 13, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Inter-Citic Minerals Inc. Approves Increase to Authorized Capital - More
- November 13, 2008 | Item | E-mail