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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Fall About 3% and 5% before Fed, Soar Over 6% Higher After

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 18 March, 2009 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$889.45

-$26.55

Silver

$12.035

-$0.635

XAU

129.54

+8.75%

HUI

304.23

+9.16%

GDM

966.29

+9.64%

JSE Gold

2792.57

-59.37

USD

84.35

-2.55

Euro

134.95

+4.83

Yen

103.99

+2.62

Oil

$48.14

-$1.02

10-Year

2.533%

-0.470

T-Bond

130.640625

+5.09375

Dow

7486.58

+1.23%

Nasdaq

1491.22

+1.99%

S&P

794.35

+2.09%

 
 

 

The FOMC kept the fed funds rate unchanged as expected in its target range of 0% to 0.25%.  The fed also announced they are expanding the TALF, buying up to $750 billion more in agency mortgage-backed securities, and buying up to $300 billion in long term treasury securities over the next 6 months.  The fed’s direct buying of treasuries is a new program that was rumored recently, but few expected the fed to actually take such a dramatic step and it caught much of the market by surprise.  These new programs bring the fed’s total purchases of securities to $1.25 trillion this year.

 

The Metals:

 

Gold and silver traded just slightly lower in Asia and London, but they then fell throughout most of trade in New York and ended near their lows of $883.50 and $11.90 with losses of 2.98% and 5.01%.  Following the fed’s announcement however, both metals instantly shot higher and at the time of writing they are seeing gains of over 6% in after hours access trade.

 

Euro gold fell to about €678, platinum lost $14 to $1029.5, and copper lost a penny to about $1.71.

 

Gold and silver equities fell roughly 5% by early afternoon, but they then soared higher following the fed’s announcement and the miners with about 9% gains on the day.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

CPI

Feb

0.4%

0.3%

0.3%

Core CPI

Feb

0.2%

0.1%

0.2%

Current Account Balance

Q4

-$132.8B

-$137.1B

-$181.3B

 

Fed to Buy $300 Billion of Treasuries, Increase Other Purchases  Bloomberg
US current account deficit falls sharply in 2008  Yahoo
U.S. mortgage applications spike on refinance demand  Reuters
Consumer Prices in U.S. Increase More Than Forecast  Bloomberg

 

Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings Initial Jobless Claims for 3/14 and at 10AM is the Leading Economic Indicators report for February expected at -0.6% and the Philadelphia Fed survey for March expected at -40.0.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil fell in normal trade as inventories grew more than expected, but it has more than erased those losses in electronic trade after the fed’s announcement.

 

The U.S. dollar index plummeted while treasuries soared higher in reaction to the fed’s announcement to monetize debt.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P erased their early losses and climbed to see substantial gains initially after the fed’s announcement, but all three indices pared their gains heading into close and ended well off their highs as traders digested all of the implications of the fed’s actions.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were AIG, IBM, Coca-Cola, and General Mills.

 

The Commentary:

 

“Mugabe is the Chairman of the Federal Reserve.

 

What a horrible mistake this is! Now you can count on Confetti Money.

 

Now you know how truly horrible the OTC derivative meltdown is. What a mess the main manufacturer and distributor of this toxic paper, the USA, is in

 

There is no practical solution to this problem so ignore the ignoramuses on the Comex. Use the Comex to buy every time the ignoramuses raid and sell the short squeeze if you must trade.”- Jim Sinclair, JSMineset.com

 

Dear CIGAs,

 

It looks to me like gold’s inability to climb back over $1,000, or at the very least get back over $960 to resume an uptrending move, in the face of such an horrific financial meltdown, brought about a wholesale liquidation of stale longs who have bailed out in both disappointment and disgust. I will continue to maintain that only the Almighty knows how much of our own TARP money was used by the bullion dealers at the Comex to overwhelm the bids that came into that paper market. As I have said before, throw a few $billion here and a few $billion there in my direction and I could have all kinds of fun with a few commodity markets. Since all of the idiots who voted in favor of this execrable bailout haven’t the faintest clue as to where the money is going or for that matter, what it is being used for, is it that far-fetched to think that a portion of it is being used by these paragons of virtue, the bullion banks, to destroy the only thing honest that is left in the financial world, namely the yellow metal? These are some of the same people who would package their grandmothers together and sell them off to a hedge fund if they thought they could make a quick buck off of it.

 

No matter – technically gold is looking heavy and will need to hold above today’s session low to prevent a potentially bearish head and shoulders pattern from forming on the daily price chart. Rest assured if I can see it, those same folks mentioned above can see it also. If the chart painters can prevail and force that pattern to form, we are probably going to have to sit through another one of those frequent technical washouts that have marked this bull market in gold for many years. A case could be made from the charts that a move down to near the $800 level is not out of the question although we should see quality buying enter at the 50% retracement level near $853 on down to the 100 day moving average around the $847 level. Gold needs to hold here and hold now!

 

I want to mention that I am seeing a great deal of red in just about all of the various commodity markets this morning with the energies getting hit particularly hard and the grains also swooning. That indicates index fund selling which is one of the reasons gold also dropped so severely. They bail out or move into most commodity markets in sync as their nature requires them to buy or sell a broad basket of commodities when filling orders for clients. Not to mention the fact that these bear raids on gold almost always coincide with either option expiration or rollover periods, the latter which we are now seeing as the twits that run the funds must roll from April to June gold or else take delivery, something which they are apparently allergic to but which would put an end to this endless charade at the Comex. Open interest indicates that the rollover has begun.- Dan Norcini, More at JSMineset.com

 

“April Gold closed down 27.7 at 889.1. This was 4.1 up from the low and 16.9 off the high.

 

May Silver finished down 0.735 at 11.935, 0.455 off the high and 0.015 up from the low.

 

Trading in gold turned extremely volatile on Wednesday with the market initially being pushed sharply lower on what the press called rising investor risk tolerance and that in turn seemingly prompted long liquidation and some chart based selling. Recent economic reports including today's CPI and yesterday's housing data also seemed to be fomenting some economic optimism that in turn diminished gold's safe haven appeal. In fact, reports of rising scrap gold supplies and slack jewelry demand in India may have added to the early selling bias. However, the gold market was obviously inspired by the aggressive action from the FOMC meeting, which in turn seemed to shift the gold market from a flight to quality focused market to an inflation focused market. While the inflation angle might not stick a sharp slide in the Dollar in the wake of the FOMC meeting could have been a totally fresh bullish force for the gold trade on Wednesday afternoon.

 

Like the gold market, the silver market started out weak in the face of what appeared to be more long liquidation by the flight to quality crowd. However, before the end of the day the market seemingly saw a major reversal of sentiment to the FOMC moves which drove down long term US interest rates and lifted equity prices sharply. Silver and a host of physical commodity market clearly saw some lift from the US efforts but silver might also have been lifted because of a sharp and somewhat significant slide in the US Dollar. While it might take more than one session to shift from flight to quality expectations to inflationary expectations, the trade on Wednesday clearly saw the actions by the US Fed as something significant.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

With all that thin-air money, gold alone needs to be sold

China's purchase of Treasuries to fall with trade surplus

Patrick Heller: Gold price manipulation more blatant

Goldman's share of AIG money draws fire

Ecuador lifts mining bans on Kinross, Corriente

Investment firm buys 11% stake in AngloGold Ashanti

Crisis changes central bank reserve management

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 3/18/2009

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

8,774,504

+53,329

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

124,510,704

-106,180

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchage (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx)

SPDR® Gold Shares

1,069.05

34,370,922

US$ 31,461m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

130.30

4,189,278

US$ 3,918m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

12.49

400,396

US$ 375m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

29.11

935,808

US$ 856m

NASDAQ Dubai

Dubai Gold Securities

0.16

5,000

US$ 5m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The LSE added 0.41 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 3/17/2009

 

Total Net Assets

$1,969,588,469

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

2,149,676.053

Shares Outstanding

21,850,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

66.86

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 3/17/2009

 

Total Net Assets

$3,264,870,971

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

253,938,438.700

Shares Outstanding

257,550,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

7,898.37

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Miners:

 

US Gold’s (UXG) drill results, Allied Nevada’s (ANV) financial results, Kirkland’s (KGI.TO) drill results, ECU’s (ECU.TO) shareholder update, and Coeur’s (CDE) director appointment were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Nevsun

NSU +21.77% $1.16

2.  Vista Gold

VGZ+20.12% $1.97

3.  Banro

BAA +18.64% $1.40

 

LOSERS

1.  Solitario

XPL -6.62% $1.242

2.  Mines MGMT

MGN -4.07% $1.65

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Volta undertakes extensive auger drilling program to test potential between the Dienemera and Gongondy deposits at the Gaoua project - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Asian Mineral Resources: Appoints New CEO - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


StrataGold and Victoria extend the Definitive Agreement deadline - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Verena Initiates Scoping Study at Volta Grande - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Radius Acquires Option on Peruvian Gold Project and Signs Agreement with Focus Ventures - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Focus Options the Nueva California Gold Property, Peru - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Mediterranean announces major shareholder - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


ECU Silver Provides Shareholder Update - "The past few months have continued to be challenging for the junior mining industry as the world economy continues to deteriorate. With this backdrop, the management team at ECU have taken steps to ensure that we protect shareholder value as we venture into these turbulent times. Consequently, our recent purchase of a gold and silver recovery oxide plant is designed to generate cash flows to support our ongoing funding and exploration needs." More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Rocmec Attains Optimal Daily Production From its Underground Treatment Plant - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


TVI Pacific Inc. - Correction From Source - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Northrock Summer Drilling Program Results in Multiple Gold Intersections on Trade Winds' Turner Lake Option, Nunavut - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Lydian Reports Its First Million Ounce Resource at the Amulsar Gold Discovery in Armenia - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


International Finance Corporation to Further Invest in Lydian - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Mega Uranium Acquires Securities of Titan Uranium Inc. - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Cardero Grants Nanjinzhao Extension to Pampa de Pongo Purchase Agreement - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Garibaldi Deals Grizzly Claims to Equinox and Adds New Director - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


PolyMet Project Update - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Forsys Further Update on Plan of Arrangement - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Midlands Minerals Confirms South Extentions of Open Pit Mines on Sian/Praso-Ghana - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Southwestern Announces Antay and Alpacocha Drilling Results - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Skygold Reports a 47% Increase in Estimated Gold Resource for Spanish Mountain - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Houston Lake Mining Extends Gold Mineralization To Depth At The Dogpaw No. 2 Vein - More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


US Gold Corporation: El Gallo Returns Deepest High-Grade Intercept 20.8 opt Silver Over 14.3 ft - "US GOLD CORPORATION (Toronto:UXG.TO - News)(AMEX:UXG - News)(Frankfurt:US8.F - News) is pleased to announce that core drilling at the El Gallo project in Sinaloa State, Mexico, has returned the deepest high-grade silver intersection to date. Testing below the previous limits of the mineralization returned: 20.8 ounces of silver per ton (opt) (713.1 grams per tonne (gpt)) over 14.3 feet (ft) (4.4 meters (m))." More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Coeur d'Alene Mines Announces Appointment of New Director L. Michael Bogert, and Promotion of Kelli C. Kast to Senior Vice President, Chief Administrative Off. - "Coeur d’Alene Mines Corporation is pleased to announce the appointment of L. Michael Bogert to the Company’s Board of Directors and the promotion of Kelli C. Kast as Senior Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary for Coeur. The Company also announced the filing of its preliminary proxy statement for its Annual Meeting of Shareholders to be held on May 12, 2009." More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Allied Nevada Reports 2008 Financial Results and 2009 Outlook - "Allied Nevada had a consolidated net loss in 2008 of $79.6 million compared to a consolidated net loss of $11.3 million in 2007. The increase in the consolidated net loss of $68.4 million is largely due to $39.0 million in mineral property impairments, $12.0 million of mine start up costs, an increase of $10.4 million in exploration, property evaluation and holding costs, and an increase of $4.7 million in corporate general and administrative costs." More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Kirkland Lake Gold Inc.: Drilling Continues to Intersect High Grade Mineralization on South Claims JV - "Kirkland Lake Gold Inc. ("KL Gold") (TSX:KGI - News; AIM:KGI) and Queenston Mining Inc. ("Queenston") (TSX:QMI - News; FRANKFURT:QMI - News; STUTTGART:QMI - News) are pleased to announce recently completed drilling on jointly held (50%-50%) South Claims Joint Venture property within the South Mine Complex ("SMC") located south of KL Gold's Macassa Mine in Kirkland Lake, Ontario. Intersections include 1.81 ounces of gold per ton ("opt") over a core length of 16.4 feet (12.9 feet true width), 2.63 opt uncut (1.63 opt cut) over a core length of 13.5 feet (7.9 feet true width) and 1.05 opt over 11.3 feet (7.6 feet true width)." More
- March 18, 2009 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2009

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted 18 March, 2009 | |


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