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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Silver Outpaces Gold While Dollar Drops to 2009 Low

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 3 August, 2009 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$956.95

+$3.15

Silver

$14.27

+$0.32

XAU

153.51

+3.29%

HUI

369.71

+2.58%

GDM

1121.21

+2.33%

JSE Gold

2405.33

+101.04

USD

77.73

-0.56

Euro

144.17

+1.60

Yen

104.97

-0.67

Oil

$71.58

+$2.13

10-Year

3.639%

+0.138

T-Bond

117.59375

-1.40625

Dow

9286.56

+1.25%

Nasdaq

2008.61

+1.52%

S&P

1002.63

+1.53%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold traded mixed in Asia and rose in London and morning New York trade to as high as $962.15 by a little after noon EST before it fell back off in the last hour of trade, but it still ended with a gain of 0.33%.  Silver traded roughly 1% higher in Asia and rose in London to as high as $14.462 by about 9AM EST in New York before it fell back off a bit heading into the close, but it still ended with a gain of 2.29%.

 

Euro gold fell to about €664 on euro strength, platinum gained $28.50 to $1231.50, and copper gained over 11 cents more to about $2.73.

 

Gold and silver equities rose almost 4% in the first hour of trade before they fell back off a bit in later trade, but they still ended with about 3% gains on the day.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Construction Spending

June

0.3%

-0.5%

-0.8%

ISM Index

July

48.9

46.5

44.8

 

Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings Personal Income for June expected at -1.0% and Personal Spending expected at 0.3%, and at 10AM is the Pending Home Sales report for June expected at 0.3%.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil gained over $2, the U.S. dollar index and treasuries fell rather markedly, and the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P gained over 1% on better than expected economic data that raised hopes for future growth.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were Ford, Honda, Bank of America, Humana, MGM, Tyson Foods, Google and Apple, and Marathon Oil.

 

The Commentary:

 

Dear CIGAs,

 

The big news for today was the ISM manufacturing index which came in at 48.9 for the month of July, up from 44.8 in June. That had risk takers out in full force, the idea being that manufacturing is coming out of its prolonged slump. With that, the Dollar was promptly taken out to the woodshed once again with last week’s low made on Friday being obliterated as this last line of technical support above 76 was taken out. We now wait to see how low the Dollar will drift and how close it might fall before that next level comes into play.

 

The collapse lower in the Dollar was enough to once again spur a ferocious round of short covering in gold. However, once those stops were run, bullion bank price capping appeared near $965 and that was the end of the day’s move higher. Nothing new with that kind of predictable price action at the Comex.

 

It is encouraging to the bullish cause to see gold building on last Friday’s stunning move higher as it shows that there was more at work there than end of the month positioning. Commodities were higher across the board today with only a few exceptions. Most notable was the strong move higher in both crude oil and natural gas. Nat gas has been the laggard due to oversupply issues and to see it moving sharply higher had to make even the most avid deflationist begin to struggle with self doubt. Even bonds acted “normal” today dropping hard as equities rallied and commodities soared. I am still at a loss to figure out what the heck happened in that pit last Friday as it made no sense whatsoever to this observer.

 

The point in all this is that with copper continuing to defy gravity (a lot of funds are still trapped on the short side in the red metal pit), silver, platinum, palladium, crude, nat gas, corn, beans, etc, all moving higher, even bullion bank price capping efforts in gold are being strained. Nonetheless, it is evident that they are present by the rather paltry move higher in gold especially when one considers the very strong move higher in the CCI and the breakdown in the greenback. Upward progress in the yellow metal is still being fiercely contested by the same old players.

 

Technically, gold was able to break through the resistance band in place near the $955 level that had served to contain in over the last few sessions. A close above $965 now sets up a challenge of key resistance at $980. There is very little in the way of overhead chart resistance on the way to $1000 above that level. Support lies first near $955 and then near $942- $940.

 

Short term gold is reaching overbought levels on the RSI but that will only matter if the Dollar stops dropping.

 

The HUI managed to finally punch its way through the tough 360 level. If it can maintain a close above this level it has a very good chance of making a run to near 390 and then the very significant chart level of 400 – 402.- Dan Norcini, More at JSMineset.com

 

“August Gold closed up 2.9 at 956.6. This was 0.8 up from the low and 6 off the high.

 

September Silver finished up 0.312 at 14.252, 0.213 off the high and 0.022 up from the low.

 

The gold market started out higher and saw a slight setback into the regularly scheduled data before making a modest recovery bounce into mid session. Relatively speaking the price gains forged in the October gold contract were somewhat unimpressive especially when compared to the gains seen at times in crude oil and copper. In recent sessions the Dollar started out lower but then recoiled off the lows, but in the action today, the Dollar remained extremely weak and even that action failed to lever up the bulls success.

 

The silver market started out on a very positive note and tried to add to that strength but the market seemed to be unable to sustain the bullishness seen in the lead up to the scheduled US data flow. In fact, even in the face of ongoing weakness in the Dollar and mostly positive equity market action, the silver market just after mid session had fallen by roughly 23 cents from the morning highs before the market managed to find some form of chart support around the $14.25 level.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Peter Brimelow: Is gold gearing up (again) to break $1,000?

Gary North: Why Bernanke is in panic mode

Wall Street benefits from Fed and Treasury

Wall Street makes 'luxurious' profits from trades with Fed

Jay Taylor interviews James Turk on why you should save in gold

Artist Alain Despert's video upated with more reference to GATA

Fed's bailout loans are properly secret, judge rules

A Hong Kong gold merchant seeks fortune in China

Mint must prove rare seized coins were stolen

Mark Lundeen: U.S. dollar production vs. commodity production

Liberty Dollar suspends operations pending counterfeiting trial

Will China keep buying U.S. bonds?

Billions in Lehman claims could bury an elusive insurer

King World News interviews GATA Chairman Murphy

 

The Statistics:

Activity from: 7/31/2009

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

9,142,800

+2,154

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

117,711,202

+940

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchage (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx)

SPDR® Gold Shares

1,072.87

34,493,747

US$ 32,377m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

131.02

4,212,426

US$ 4,033m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

13.73

440,192

US$ 423m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

42.86

1,377,890

US$ 1,294m

NASDAQ Dubai

Dubai Gold Securities

0.16

5,000

US$ 5m

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The LSE added 0.299 tonnes and the JSE added 2.32 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 7/31/2009

 

Total Net Assets

$2,215,360,708

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

2,323,676.559

Shares Outstanding

23,650,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

72.27

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 7/31/2009

 

Total Net Assets

$3,867,028,011

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

283,831,312.300

Shares Outstanding

288,350,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

8,828.14

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 61.21 tonnes were added to the trust.

 

The Miners:

 

Mining news was pretty slow today with Canadian markets closed in observance of a Civic Holiday, but Kinross (KGC) announced over the weekend that unionized employees voted to end a strike at their La Coipa mine.

 

WINNERS

1.  Banro

BAA +9.27% $2.24

2.  Silver Wheaton

SLW +8.17% $9.93

3.  Freeport

FCX +8.03% $65.14

 

LOSERS

1.  Nevsun

NSU -1.81% $1.63

2.  Gammon

GRS -1.72% $6.86

3.  Tanzanian Royalty

TRE -1.64% $3.00

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Aurelio Signs Binding Letter of Intent Concerning the Sale of Four Nevada Gold/Silver Projects - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


European Goldfields Limited - Q2 2009 results conference call & webcast - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Material Fact: LLX Obtains the Construction License for the Sudeste Port - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


General Metals Announces Annual and Special Meeting September 12, 2009, Reno, NV - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Lake Victoria Mining Company's Gold Tailing Assays Average 2.75 Grams Per Metric Ton, Singida, Tanzania - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Bonanza Goldfields updates shareholders - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Orvana Extends Offer to Acquire Kinbauri to August 17, 2009 - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Ventura Gold Reports Financial Results and Highlights for the Year Ended March 31, 2009 - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Kinross Gold Corporation: Strike Ends at Mantos de Oro-La Coipa Mine - "Unionized employees at Compania Minera Mantos de Oro in Chile, a subsidiary of Kinross Gold Corporation (TSX:K - News)(NYSE:KGC - News), have voted in favour of a new collective agreement, ending a strike at the La Coipa mine that began on July 8, 2008. Kinross will update the market on the production impact of the strike in the Company's second quarter earnings announcement on August 12, 2009." More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Blackrock Resources Commissions Consulting Geologist for Its Gold Hill Mining Project, Colorado - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Minera Andes files preliminary short form prospectus for previously announced Cdn$20 million equity financing - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


MBMI Reports on Annual General Meeting - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Opawica and Washmax Enter Into Option Agreement for Dingman Gold Property, Ontario and Opawica Announces Intention to Apply to List on the TSX Venture Exchange - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail


Wallbridge Mining Announces Further Closings of Private Placements - More
- August 03, 2009 | Item | E-mail

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2009

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted 3 August, 2009 | |


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