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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Gain Almost 1% and 6% on the Week

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 27 August, 2010 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$1236.00

+$0.20

+0.71%

Silver

$19.04

+$0.07

+5.90%

XAU

184.14

+2.08%

+3.37%

HUI

486.85

+1.63%

+3.95%

GDM

1475.24

+1.46%

+3.85%

JSE Gold

2453.85

-11.42

-0.45%

USD

82.91

+0.07

-0.18%

Euro

127.35

+0.15

+0.21%

Yen

117.16

-1.23

+0.36%

Oil

$75.17

+$1.81

+2.33%

10-Year

2.652%

+0.153

+1.53%

Bond

133.6875

-2.3125

-0.23%

Dow

10150.65

+1.65%

-0.62%

Nasdaq

2153.63

+1.65%

-1.20%

S&P

1064.59

+1.66%

-0.66%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold rallied from a low of $1233.83 in London to as high as $1242.20 by a little before 9AM EST before it swung back down to $1232.30 by midmorning in New York trade and then climbed back near its earlier high by a little after 11AM, but it ultimately fell back off into the close an ended with a gain of just 0.02%.  Silver climbed to as high as $19.323 before it also dropped back off in the last couple hours of trade, but it still ended with a gain of 0.37%.

 

Euro gold fell to about €970, platinum gained $3.75 to $1528.75, and copper climbed another 6 cents to about $3.36.

 

Gold and silver equities fell about 1% in the first hour of trade before they rose to see about 1% gains by late morning and then fell back off a bit in early afternoon trade, but they then rallied to new highs in late trade and ended with roughly 2% gains.

 

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The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

GDP

Q2

1.6%

1.4%

2.4%

GDP Deflator

Q2

1.9%

1.8%

1.8%

Michigan Sentiment

Aug

68.9

70.0

69.6

 

“Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the U.S. central bank “will do all that it can” to ensure a continuation of the economic recovery, and outlined steps it might take if the growth slows.

 

All of this week’s other economic reports:

 

Initial Claims - 8/21

473K v. 504K

New Home Sales - July

276K v. 315K

Durable Goods - July

0.3% v. -0.1%

Durable Goods -ex Trans. - July

-3.8% v. 0.2%

Existing Home Sales - July

3.83M v. 5.26M

 

Next week’s economic highlights include Personal Income and Spending and Core PCE Prices on Monday, the Case-Shiller 20-city Index, Chicago PMI, and Consumer Confidence on Tuesday, ADP Employment, Construction Spending, and the ISM Index on Wednesday, Initial Jobless Claims, Productivity, Unit Labor Costs, Factory Orders, and Pending Home Sales on Thursday, and August’s jobs data and ISM Services on Friday.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil rose on decent economic data and reassuring words from Bernanke that sent the Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P over 1% higher and treasuries markedly lower.

 

The U.S. dollar index ended slightly higher as the yen fell after “Prime Minister Naoto Kan told reporters that he was prepared to take "decisive" action to rein in the soaring yen.”

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Intel, HP, 3Par, Dell, Tiffany, Boeing, Blackstone, and J. Crew.

 

The Commentary:

 

Dear CIGAs,

 

The equity bulls were salivating over the prospect of watching another episode of “let’s take the shorts out and slaughter them all” as the world eagerly awaited the giving of the law from Mt. Jackson Hole. With claps of thunder in the background and with flashes of lightning interrupting his keen observations upon the state of the US economy, (some swear that they saw the angelic host), the prophet of Monetary religion sounded forth his prognostications and then looked upon his handiwork. He then saw that his work was good and sat down and rested on the seventh day.

 

Yessiree folks – Chairman Ben uttered his incantations making all well with the turbulent world and bringing light and order to darkness and chaos. I do not know about you, but I feel so much better today after Ben told us all that he is going to make sure that the recovery is safeguarded from harm. When you combine that with news that instead of the economy slowing from a growth rate of 2.4% down to 1.3% as expected, it only slowed down to a 1.6% growth rate, well, it just doesn’t get any better does it?

 

I mean, the first thing I immediately thought of is, “Why don’t I rush out and buy lots of copper because things are really getting better in a hurry”. Already forgotten are the abysmal housing stats of less than a week and the further rise in foreclosures and delinguencies, not to mention the clogged condition of the bankruptcy courts. Chairman Ben has whisked all of that out of the minds of investors with one mere pronouncement.

 

The fact that it has taken gazillions of conjured-into-existence-out-of-no-where dollars (some call that stimulus) to produce this pitiful growth rate number for the quarter, seems to have escaped the attention of the equity perma bulls who have yet to come to grips with the consequences of all of this. My own view is that it should be a relatively easy matter to get that growth rate up to double the figure given us. All we would need to do to get to 3.2% growth rate is to print twice the number of Dollars and double the rate of government indebtedness. That should be good for another 100 point rally in the Dow. If anyone knows the number that comes after quadrillion, please send that on to Ben and company. They are going to more than likely be needing it.

 

Seriously, it is hard to hide my contempt of this disgusting scene. This band of fools somehow believes that prosperity can be created by printing money without any consequences whatsoever. The US is sinking under a mountain of indebtedness and the Fed chairman tells us that it stands ready to engage in even more QE should the need arise. Flash to Ben – the need shall arise. China is already balking at buying US debt meaning you are going to have to buy it all yourself Ben.

 

What we are witnessing is the death throes of a debt-based monetary system of which those presiding over it apparently have come to believe their own delusions. The US public is learning what our grandfathers learned as a result of the Great Depression – Debt is something to be avoided – not heaped up and accumulated. That the borrower becomes the lender’s slave and that living beyond ones own means is inherently foolish and dangerous. That saddling one’s children and grandchildren with a debt burden that they did not create is immoral and wicked. Yet, all of this is lost upon the monetary lords who have their noses so close to the ground sniffing out the scent that they cannot see the path ahead leads off the edge of an abyss from which there is no escape. Or perhaps they do see and are attempting to secure their own parachutes before leading the rest of the masses over the edge.

 

I repeat – if lasting prosperity could be created by printing money and giving it away, previous generations that were wiser and more frugal than ours would long ago have stumbled upon this axiom.

 

That brings us to the war on gold. I am still amazed that after all these years and notwithstanding all the evidence to the contrary, there are still those obtuse enough to insist that there are no official sector attempts to manage or stem the rise in the price of gold. Gold is the only currency that these debasement thieves cannot pollute by conjuring more of it into existence. It rises when distrust of paper currencies is high and confidence in the ability of those who supposedly manage monetary affairs wanes. Thus it is and always will be in direct competition with unbacked fiat currencies.

 

Our money masters hate the yellow metal because its rise mocks their absurd assertions and debunks their claims of being able to “manage the economy”. It strikes, dagger-like, at the very hubris of these elitists who think that they are wiser than the collective judgment of the entire market, they alone possessing such keen insight into the nature of these matters that we should entrust our financial health to their hands. Imagine the conceit of a few men who think that by pulling on this lever or pushing on this button, that they can assure continuous prosperity and lasting wealth for all. Every generation considers itself wiser than the previous one which is why history does indeed repeat itself. Arrogant men never learn for they lack the one thing essential to make one truly wise – the ability to admit that we do not know all things nor that we mere mortals can always fix what ails us.

 

Back to the charts however – gold is being capped by its enemies near $1,245 in order to prevent an upside breakout and subsequent run to the lifetime high. Short term oriented traders saw that it could not pass through this level and decided to sell out. Dip buyers who have a longer term perspective, came in however and appear to be active today preventing much in the way of downside movement.

 

The weekly close was positive but I would have liked to have seen it close over $1,245 to set up more buying enthusiasm for next week. As noted on today’s chart, this week was the 4th consecutive week in which gold closed higher.

 

From a seasonal perspective, gold has turned higher right on schedule and if history is any guide, the odds favor a move higher into the 4th quarter from here. Keep in mind that even on a seasonal trade, the market never goes straight up. We are talking about the tendency or trend to rise from this point. What gives rise to the seasonal pattern is jewelry buying as the Christmas and other various holidays season approaches. That is an extra source of demand that generally is fairly reliable. It should be noted however that it is not jewelry demand that is driving the price of gold; it is investment demand. The jewelry demand is just an extra kicker.

 

Silver had quite a day today careening quite wildly as it soared to $19.34 and then faded back to unchanged. I suspect some of the longs who had some very nice paper profits decided to ring the cash register and go home for the week feeling pretty good about themselves. Bulls make money; Bears make money but Pigs get slaughtered. Morgan probably showed up above $19.20 anyhow. Even at that, it is very impressive at how shallow yesterday’s dip lower was and how short-lived it was.

 

We’ll see what kind of light this week’s COT reports will shine on the goings on in both pits. If I note anything of significance, I will post something up. The moves in silver in particular over the past three days unfortunately are not going to be detailed internally in this report but we will catch Tuesday’s action and that might provide a clue as to what occurred in there the remainder of this week.

 

The HUI, while not showing quite the gains of the broader S&P 500, is slightly higher today. Bulls are fighting to close the index above 480 which would be quite a technically impressive feat. Should they be able to hold their ground, such a close today would set up a strong possibility of a run towards 500 next week. It all depends on just where this thing closes this afternoon. A drop back down towards 470 would embolden share shorts who would try to take them lower in the early part of next week. A strong push past 480 gives the bull the clear advantage heading into the same time frame. The battle is joined.

 

Bonds got the snot beat out of them today as the steepeners were put back on with flatteners getting forced out. Judging from the ferocity of the downdraft, it looks like too many got caught leaning too heavily on one side of the market and were snared. Someone made one helluva lot of money today in the bonds if they decided to sell when Bernanke decided to start yakking. Even with the strong move lower, the bonds remain in an uptrend. We will see how they fare if and when they approach the 20 day moving average near 131^31.

 

The highest monthly close in the bonds was 138^02 back in December 2008. They spiked about one point shy of this at 136^31 this week but ran out of momentum. This area seems to be offering significant resistance. I shudder to think of the implications for all of us should it have given way. AS it is, bond bulls now have to take this level out in convincing fashion to continue the relentless rise in this market. Next week, and in particular next month, are going to be key to the future direction of this pit.

 

Once again the Dow mystically moved back above the 10,000 level. It seems that level has now become somewhat of a national security matter.- Dan Norcini, More at JSMineset.com

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Gold demand seen soaring in Vietnam amid devaluations, stock slump

Banks back switch to China's renminbi for trade

GATA cited in TheStreet.com's analysis of gold price movement

 

The Statistics:

Activity from: 8/26/2010

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

10,879,933

-1,091

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

111,144,665

+237,199

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx)

SPDR® Gold Shares

1297.948

41,730,332

US$51,519m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra)

Gold Bullion Securities

125.95

4,049,480

US$5,023m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra) AND NYSE Euronext Amsterdam

ETFS Physical Gold

125.78

4,043,957

US$5,017m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

14.21

475,624

US$564m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

49.60

1,594,731

US$1,973m

NASDAQ Dubai

Dubai Gold Securities

0.155

4,970

US$6m

 Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: The LSE subtracted 0.62 tonnes, the LSE ETFS subtracted 1.13 tonnes, and the JSE added 0.24 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) Total Tonnes in Trust: 94.50: +0.52 change from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV) Total Tonnes in Trust: 9196.69: +21.31 change from yesterday’s data

 

The Miners:

 

South Africa’s possible mining strike next Thursday was the only big story in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  New Gold

NGD+7.11% $6.48

2.  NovaGold

NG +7.08% $7.11

3.  Hecla

HL +6.81% $5.49

 

LOSERS

1.  Mines MGMT

MGN -3.53% $1.64

2.  Claude

CGR -2.52% $1.16

3.  Alexco

AXU -1.90% $4.13

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Opawica Explorations Inc. announces private placement - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


International PBX Ventures Completes Non Brokered Private Placement - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


G4G Resources Provides Update on Guatemala Iron Sands - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Nevada drill program underway - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Golden Predator Reports Initial Results from Brewery Creek - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


War Eagle Trading Status Update - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Anglo Pacific Group PLC - Interim Dividend dates - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Crowflight Announces Private Placement Financing - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Novus Gold Corp. Joins OTCQX Platform to Access the US Investor Base - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Crowflight Announces July Production Results - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


AM Gold Inc.: Announces Progress on Red Mountain Exploration Program - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Rodeo Creek Project Update - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Largo Resources Receives Formal Extension of Option to Purchase Additional 10% of Maracas Project, Bahia, Brasil - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


NAMIBIA RARE EARTHS CLOSES $5 MILLION PRIVATE PLACEMENT - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


East Asia Updates Miwah Program-Continues to Encounter Gold - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Western Pacific Oversubscribes Financing - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Intrepid Mines Limited: Tujuh Bukit Update on Preliminary Assessment of Oxide Deposit - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Altius Updates 2010 Iron Ore Exploration Progress in Western Labrador - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


S.Africa miners' union threatens strike on Thursday - "South Africa's largest union threatened on Friday to bring gold and platinum mining and other industries to a halt next week in a strike to support a stoppage by 1.3 million state workers." More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Virgin Metals Inc.: Announces Approval of Share Consolidation - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Ics Announces Appointment of Director - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis


Paladin Energy Ltd: 30 June 2010 APPENDIX 4E Preliminary Financial Report - More
- August 27, 2010 | Item | ShareThis

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2010

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.

 


-- Posted 27 August, 2010 | |


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