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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Fall 1% and 8%

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com



-- Posted 11 May, 2011 | |

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$1500.80

-$15.90

Silver

$35.43

-$3.08

XAU

197.12

-4.14%

HUI

524.06

-3.10%

GDM

1524.91

-3.39%

JSE Gold

2560.38

-21.91

USD

75.31

+0.72

Euro

142.03

-2.03

Yen

123.48

-0.23

Oil

$98.21

-$5.67

10-Year

3.157%

-0.038

T-Bond

124.40625

+0.53125

Dow

12630.03

-1.02%

Nasdaq

2845.06

-0.93%

S&P

1342.08

-1.11%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold rose almost $10 to $1526.50 in Asia, but it then fell back off for most of the rest of trade in London and New York and ended near its early afternoon low of $1495.63 with a loss of 1.05%.  Silver surged almost a dollar to as high as $39.493 before it also fell back off and ended near its early afternoon low of $35.132 with a loss of 8%.

 

Euro gold remained at about €1056, platinum lost $19 to $1773.50, and copper dropped 9 cents to about $3.94.

 

Gold and silver equities fell throughout most of trade and ended with about 4% losses.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Trade Balance

Mar

-$48.2B

-$47.7B

-$45.4B

Treasury Budget

Apr

-$40.5B

-$41.0B

-$82.7B

 

Treasury: No fire sale of gold to delay debt ceiling  Yahoo

March job openings highest in 2-1/2 years  Reuters

Fed's Lockhart See Weak U.S. Jobs Progress, Slowdown in Pace of Inflation  Bloomberg

 

Tomorrow at 8:30AM EST brings Initial Jobless Claims for 5/07 expected at 423,000, PPI for April expected at 0.5%, Core PPI expected at 0.2%, and Retail Sales for April expected at 0.6%.  Excluding autos, sales are expected at 0.5%.  At 10AM is the Business Inventories report for March expected at 0.9%.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil extended lower after the Energy Information Administration reported that crude inventories rose 3.8 million barrels, gasoline inventories rose 1.3 million barrels, and distillates fell 800,000 barrels.

 

The U.S. dollar index rose as the euro fell on increased concerns over sovereign debt problems in Greece and Portugal.

 

Treasuries remained higher after today’s $24 billion 10-year note auction sold at a high yield of 3.21% with a bid to cover of 3.00.

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P fell on poor earnings reports and a renewed downturn in commodities.

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were Disney, Toyota, HSBC, AIG, Macy’s, and Intel.

 

Banks Offer $5 Billion to Resolve Foreclosures Probe  Bloomberg

 

The Commentary:

 

The large cap mining stocks continue to get obliterated as evidenced by the XAU which is now perched precariously above a critical support level on the weekly chart. The entirety of the gains of 2011 have now been erased by this continued ratio spread trade which will not let up.

To give you an idea of how obscene this trade has become, when the XAU was trading at today's levels back in January of this year, gold was trading in the low $1300's!

What is astonishing is the silence of far too many mining company CEO's while their stock value is getting systematically destroyed. A bounce in the metals should bring some valued based buying into the mining shares particularly at these levels.

 

Gold made it back above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of its most recent decline from its record price but was unable to maintain its footing over that level. That led some of the longs to bail out and enticed some short selling. Price then fell below $1500 once again which will need to be regained to give the bulls the edge in this market.

Gold is caught in a tug of war between speculative selling related to hedge fund algorithms and safe haven buying on account of sovereign debt fears in Europe. In terms of the Euro, while it is weaker today, it is actually holding fairly well compared to the massacre across the rest of the commodity complex.

I am optimistic that this market is entering a consolidation phase and is carving out a new trading range. Right now we have $1520 on the top and $1460 on the bottom until we get some subsequent levels to form on the chart.

 

Risk-off trades have returned with a vengeance today. I believe a fair amount of the selling is tied to hedge fund panic type selling related to the conviction of a hedge fund manager on insider trading violations. That seems to have terrified the hedgies and has them running out of everything with the exception of the US Dollar. It has also put a mild bid back into the bonds (once again - every time they appear to get ready to rollover, they are resuscitated - more evidence that the US bond market is the largest rigged market on the planet right now - these things have more lives than a cat). It is my firm conviction that the US monetary authorities are doing everything in their power to break the back of the commodity rally and prop up the rotten and utterly worthless paper IOU market (Treasuries). They are fully at war with the speculative community.

Silver, after briefly moving back above $39 in Asian trading, was once again obliterated. Ditto for the energies, gasoline in particular, which dropped so sharply at one point during the trading session, that trading was halted and then reopened under extended trading limits. Consumers will of course welcome this sell off.

One can now make the case that a bearish flag formation has been formed on the daily silver chart but I should note here that it still remains well above the recent low near $33. Additionally, a large number of longs have already liquidated their positions in this market meaning that those who bailed out down near $34 and under are already gone and are no longer around to provide downside fuel from their selling. Open interest readings indicate that a decent number of new shorts were also blown out of the water leading me to believe that this market is very soon going to begin consolidating and working sideways as only the bravest, or perhaps the most foolish, are going to be placing large bets in the silver market any time soon. Trading this market in size is a guaranteed, sure-fire way to become bankrupted. My counsel is to forget about figuring how much money you might be able to make on your trading positions and begin worrying about how much you might lose.

As said in yesterday's post, this market is running on wild swings in emotion bordering on near despair to wild-eyed optimism. Markets like this are to be avoided in size (if you are going to trade them, trade small) until they calm down and begin consolidating which lets them wring out this idiotic emotion. I will welcome a move that drifts down towards $34 if that happens to see how the market reacts to this level once again and to give us a chance to see whether or not the bottom forged near $33 is a good one. For now, we have a bottom at $33 and a top at $39 which is the new trading range until proven otherwise. There is a chance that $35 could hold on the downside depending on how much further the Dollar can rally.

You will note that silver did make it up to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level before it failed so from a technical standpoint it is producing fairly accurate readings on the chart right now.- Dan Norcini, More at http://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/

 

GATA Posts:

A fascinating article about the Yukon's gold boom

J.S. Kim: Metals investors know how to trade around the manipulation

 

The Statistics:

Activity from: 5/10/2011

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

11,185,495

-

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

101,060,829

-325,618

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx)

SPDR® Gold Shares

1201.954

38,644,033

US$58,266m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra)

Gold Bullion Securities

115.35

3,708,632

US$5,567m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra) AND NYSE Euronext Amsterdam

ETFS Physical Gold

115.36

3,708,882

US$5,568m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

14.21

474,291

US$686m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

49.58

1,594,134

US$2,413m

NASDAQ Dubai

Dubai Gold Securities

0.154

4,956

US$7m

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) Total Tonnes in Trust: 135.67 - No change from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV) Total Tonnes in Trust: 10,585.99: +21.24 change from yesterday’s data.

 

The Miners:

 

Vista Gold’s (VGZ)  first quarter results, Northgate’s (NXG) milestone, Richmont’s (RIC) drill results, and AngloGold’s (AU) first quarter results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  Aurizon

AZK +1.95% $5.75

2.  Tanzanian Royalty

TRE +1.22% $6.62

 

LOSERS

1.  Silver Standard

SSRI -11.51% $27.37

2.  Endeavour Silver

EXK -10.17% $9.01

3.  US Gold

UXG -9.78% $7.01

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Error in Press Release Called "Robex Announces A Non-Brokered Private Placement for Up to $2,000,000" Disseminated via Marketwire on May 4, 2011 - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Threegold Announces Closing of Private Placement - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Great Quest Metals Ltd.: Tilemsi Phosphate Drilling Commences - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Gold Mania in the Yukon - "When I first met Shawn Ryan and Cathy Wood, in 2005, they were living with their two young children in a small cabin outside Dawson City, at the northernmost end of the paved road system in Canada’s Yukon Territory. It was a beautiful site in the summertime, with clear water lapping the banks of the Klondike River and the sky still bright at midnight. But the sun hit their roof for the last time each year in early December and didn’t show up again for six weeks. Temperatures in the dead of winter could reach 50 below zero. Wood sometimes feared that their children would freeze. Back then Ryan and Wood already knew they had found gold, but they didn’t have proof." More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Premium Exploration Receives $1,912,500 for Exploration of 30 km Idaho Gold Project - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Imperial Reports Mount Polley Exploration Results - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Canada Fluorspar Announces Positive Preliminary Feasibility Study for its St. Lawrence, Newfoundland Fluorspar Project - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Treasury Metals Announces the Appointment of Martin Walter as President and CEO - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


G4G Resources Ltd. Amends Terms on Warrants - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


DIOS Defines its 2011 Silver and Rare Earth Hotish Program - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


ValGold Reports Further Assay Results From the Tower Mountain Gold Property, NW Ontario - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Creso Drills 5.04 g/t Au Over 24 Meters in Minto Zone at Shining Tree Project - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Augen Gold Continues to Intersect High-Grade Gold Mineralization Along the North Shore Trend With 10.60 g/t Au Over 10.50 Metres - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Hathor Intersects 42.8 m at 3.26 % U3O8 to Solidify the Potential of the Far East Zone at Roughrider - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


White Tiger Gold Commenced 40,000 Metre Drill Program on Nasedkino Project - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Former Diamond Fields President Joins Hard Creek Board - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Dia Bras Provides Third Update on Construction Progress at its Piedras Verdes Mill, Bolivar Property - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Antioquia Gold Retains Contrary Investors Cafe - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Golden Phoenix Joint Venture Partner Scorpio Gold Reports Sampling of Stockpile at the Mineral Ridge Gold Deposit, Nevada - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


High Desert Gold Reports Drilling Results at San Antonio Gold Project, Sonora, Mexico - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Crazy Horse Drills 349.6m of 0.30% Copper, 0.10 g/t Gold and 1.1 g/t Silver, Expanding Mineralization at Depth From Holes CZT019-023 - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Golden Share Hits a 17 m Quartz Bearing Shear Zone in Malartic Lakeshore Drilling - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Southern Silver Hits 6.8 metres of 153g/t Ag, 1.47% Pb and 1.01% Zn at Cerro Las Minitas - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Malbex Reports Best Drill Results to Date: 267 Metres at 2.05 g/t Gold and 29.3 g/t Silver - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Yellowhead Mining Appoints Alastair Tiver, Vice President, Operations - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Aben's $4.5 Million Yukon 2011 Exploration Program Contracted to TerraLogic - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


La Quinta Resources Welcomes Peter Olander to the Board - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Venerable Ventures Announces Entry Into Definitive Option Agreement and Filing of Filing Statement and Technical Report for Proposed Qualifying Transaction - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Platinex Files Technical Reports for Ring of Fire Properties - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Woulfe Mining Corp.: Sangdong Progress Report - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Abzu Gold Expands Mpatasie/Golden Reef Drill Target to 5 Kilometres by 3 Kilometres Asankrangwa Belt, Ghana - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Starcore Adopts Shareholder Rights Plan - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Uranium Resources, Inc. Provides First Quarter 2011 Update - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Colorado Rare Earths, Inc. Reports Analytical Results Delivering High Contents of Heavy Rare Earth Elements - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Astral Announces Initial Resource Estimate at Jumping Josephine - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Marifil Receives NI 43-101 Resource Estimate for Las Aguilas Nickel Platinum Deposit - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Asia Now Provides Exploration Update - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Tara Minerals Secures Right to Mine Iron Ore Property - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Canarc Stakes Large Gold Property Northwest of Richfield's Blackwater-Davidson Gold Discovery in Central British Columbia - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Paladin Energy Ltd-Proposed Changes to Namibian Mineral Policy Will Not Affect Paladin Interests - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Auryx Gold Corp.: Minister of Mines Confirms That Existing Licences Not to Be Affected - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


MDN Seeking a Strategic Partner for the Crevier Project - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Exploration Orbite Files a New Patent Application That Covers the Extraction of Rare Earths - Richard Boudreault, CEO of Orbite, Inducted as New Fellow - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Tyhee Gold Corp Moves Closer to Production With Completion of the Environmental Assessment Report for its Wholly-Owned Yellowknife Gold Project, Nwt Canada - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Santa Fe Gold Reports Increasing Sales of Silver and Gold in March Quarter - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Drilling at Gold Canyon's Springpole Gold Project Produces More Long Gold and Silver Intercepts - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Hathor Intersects 42.8 m at 3.26 % U3o8 to Solidify The Potential of the Far East Zone at Roughrider - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Alderon Intersects 29% Iron Over 227 Meters at North Rose - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Sandspring Provides Update on Receipt of NI 43-101 Technical Report - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Sonora Resources Commences Trading under Symbol “SURE” - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Explor Intersects 8.12 g/tonne Au Over 15.3 Meters on Timmins Porcupine West - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Colombian Mines Samples 104 Gram Gold at El Dovio, Colombia - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Purepoint Develops 3D Model for Turnor Lake - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Sunridge Gold Announces New Analyst Coverage - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


MacDonald Mines Announces Vanadium Assays from Butler Lake Project in the 'Ring of Fire' - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Alto Ventures Ltd.: Drilling Indicates Continuity of Gold Mineralization, East Coldstream Deposit, North-Western Ontario - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Lago Dourado Intercepts 71m of 0.80 g/t Gold, Including 46.5m of 1.10 g/t Gold at Juruena Project in Brazil - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


American Consolidated Enters into Agreement to Acquire 50% Interest in Sierra Rosario Property, Mexico - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


DPM Announces Appointment of Hume Kyle as Chief Financial Officer - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Caribou Options Five Yukon Properties From Alix Resources - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Indigo Reports New Artisanal Site at Lati - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Elissa Resources Prepares to Drill Sage Creek Gold Project, Nevada - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


CB Gold Inc. Intersects High Grade Veins at the Vetas Gold Project - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Foundation Resources Inc.: Drilling Indicates Continuity of Gold Mineralization at the Newly Expanded East Coldstream Deposit, Northwestern Ontario - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Rockgate Intersects 1.24% U3O8 over 4 metres at Falea Uranium-Silver-Copper Project, Mali - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Carpathian Drilling Continues Intersecting Strong Wide Gold-Copper Zones at Its Ciresata Porphyry Deposit, Romania - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Sparton Concludes Sale Agreement for Interest in Sierra Rosario Project, Mexico - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Timmins Gold Sells 65,784 Ounces of Gold During First Year of Commercial Operations at the San Francisco Mine - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


GGG Resources Launches New Branding and Corporate Website - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Astur Gold Adds Josh Crumb to the Board of Directors - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Bannerman Provides Update on Proposed Namibian Minerals Policy Changes - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Candente Gold Reports High Grade Gold Deep in the San Rafael Vein, El Oro Gold Project, Mexico - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Zinco Announces Signing of Drill Contract With Major Drilling for Continuation of Exploration Work on Its San Juan and Jesus Maria Prospects - More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Vista Gold Corp. Announces First Quarter Financial Results and Conference Call with Management - "Our consolidated net loss for the three-month period ended March 31, 2011 was $3,877 or $0.06 per share compared to $3,488 or $0.08 per share for the same period in 2010. For the three-month period ended March 31, 2011, the increase in the consolidated net loss of $389 from the respective prior period is primarily the result of an increase in exploration, property evaluation and holding costs of $531, an increase in corporate administration and investor relations of $107, an increase in the loss on currency translation of $57 and a decrease in interest income of $42; these amounts have been partially offset by a decrease in interest expense of $221 and an increase in the gain on disposal of marketable securities of $153." More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Northgate Minerals' Fosterville Gold Mine Celebrates 500,000 Ounces of Gold Produced - "Northgate Minerals Corporation (TSX:NGX - News)(AMEX:NXG - News) is pleased to announce that our Fosterville Gold Mine produced its half millionth ounce of gold in April 2011. The Fosterville staff marked the occasion with a celebration for this achievement." More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


35,000 Metre Drill Program on Wasamac in 2011 Continues to Yield Positive Results - "Richmont Mines Inc. ((TSX: RIC)(AMEX:RIC - News), ("Richmont" or the "Company") is pleased to announce preliminary results from the Company's extensive 35,000 metre drilling program on its Wasamac property." More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


AngloGold Ashanti Posts $203m Earnings; Cuts Net Debt 15% - "Adjusted headline earnings in the three months to 31 March, 2011 were $203m, or 53 US cents a share compared with $61m, or 17 US cents for the corresponding quarter in 2010, due to improved year-on-year performance from the South African mines and full impact of higher bullion prices. The first three months of the year traditionally have the lowest production, given that South African mines restart operations after the Christmas break." More
- May 11, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2011

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted 11 May, 2011 | |


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