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Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Fall Slightly

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com



-- Posted 27 June, 2011 | |

 

Close

Gain/Loss

Gold

$1495.80

-$4.90

Silver

$33.52

-$1.21

XAU

192.17

+0.15%

HUI

500.77

-0.04%

GDM

1455.85

-0.07%

JSE Gold

2305.71

+6.97

USD

75.34

-0.31

Euro

142.81

+0.93

Yen

123.66

-0.70

Oil

$90.61

-$0.55

10-Year

2.927%

+0.056

T-Bond

125.50

-1.09375

Dow

12043.56

+0.91%

Nasdaq

2688.28

+1.33%

S&P

1280.10

+0.92%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold waffled between modest gains and losses in Asia and London before it ultimately fell to as low as $1491.11 in New York and ended with a loss of 0.33%.  Silver fell to as low as $33.368 and ended with a loss of 3.48%.

 

Euro gold fell to under €1049, platinum lost $8.50 to $1668.00, and copper dropped 5 cents to about $4.05.

 

Gold and silver equities traded mostly slightly lower and ended near unchanged.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Personal Income

May

0.3%

0.4%

0.3%

Personal Spending

May

0.0%

0.1%

0.3%

PCE Prices - Core

May

0.3%

0.2%

0.2%

 

Budget and debt talks move to the White House  Yahoo

 

Tomorrow at 9AM EST brings the Case-Shiller 20-city Index for April expected at -3.9% and at 10AM is Consumer Confidence for June expected at 60.7.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil ended modestly lower on expectations for slowing energy demand.

 

The U.S. dollar index and treasuries fell as the Dow and S&P rose about 1% on easing worries over Greece after “French banks agreed to accept slower repayment of Greece's debt.”

 

Among the big names making news in the market today were Facebook, Smithfield, and LDK Solar.

 

The Commentary:

 

In some private emails I have received some of the writers have expressed fears of a 2008 type meltdown in the precious metals whenever they see me use the word, "deflation". Let me try to address this somewhat here on the website so as to avoid having to make an individual response repeatedly.

First of all, when I use the word, "deflation", I am talking more about the symptoms rather than the causes. My understanding of the actual word is a reduction in the money supply evidenced by falling prices. It is the latter part of that sentence I am particularly interested in. For comparison's sake, when I use the word, "inflation", I am also more interested in the symptoms, i.e. rising prices, rather than the causes behind it which is an increase in the money supply not matched by an increase in productivity.

Regardless, the point I am making when talking about the forces of deflation battling it out against the forces of inflation, is one which means a period of falling prices versus a period of rising prices.

As you aware of by now, the Fed has been at war with the forces of deflation ever since the credit crisis erupted with the failure of Lehman Brothers back in the summer of 2008. Lehman was not the cause; it was merely the first victim. The result was a massive unwinding of highly leveraged speculative positions which drove asset prices lower across the board. Whether it was equities or commodities, it did not matter. They were all taken down hard as the Yen carry trade was unwound and money flowed back into the carry currency (the Yen) and into the Dollar as those short positions were lifted.

Enter the Fed into the fray. They began round one of QE which consisted of buying up the Mortgage Backed Securities and other alphabet-named securities which were plummeting in value and threatening to wipe out the balance sheets of the big banks who were greedy enough to buy and sell those things. That combined with the TARP program provided an enormous surge of liquidity into the markets which lifted both equities and commodities across the board. You had a classic example of the Fed ramping up the money supply in order to stave off deflationary forces. The policy was deliberately inflationary and had its intended affect. It also drove the Dollar sharply lower.

When QE1 began winding down, both the commodity markets and the equity markets began fading off their peak levels. With the economy showing that it lacked sufficient traction on its own to be able to grow at a sufficient pace to generate new hiring or one that made policy makers feel comfortable, QE2 was announced and then implemented. That had the immediate effect of unleashing inflationary forces into the economy in the sense that the liquidity it produced through the increase in the money supply shoved equity and commodity prices higher once again. Once again the forces of deflation (falling asset prices) were beaten back and once again the Dollar moved lower.

Now that QE2 is ending and the economy still shows no signs that it is growing at a pace strong enough to turn the labor markets around, prices of assets are dropping once again. Both commodity and equity markets are moving lower. In other words, this is a deflationary environment although it must be pointed out that the move lower in prices is starting from a very high level in the commodity sector as a whole. Gold is near $1500, crude oil is closer to $90, and corn is close to $7.00. None of these price levels can be considered cheap. So please keep this in mind when I use the word, "deflation", that I am not saying corn is headed back to $3.50, crude oil to $35-$40 or gold to $680 - $700. I am merely saying without the Fed created liquidity to goose up the money supply, prices are responding to the decreasing liquidity and are moving lower, albeit from a higher level. Eventually this will show up at the retail or consumer level but there will be at least a 3-4 month lag, if not a bit more. Prices will come down but will still remain high by historical standards.

This is one the reasons that I believe we will see another round of QE if Bernanke and the Fed feel it is warranted, even though they will face criticism should they do so. You will recall that throughout the rise in commodity prices, the Chairman repeatedly stressed in his testimonies before Congress and in his speeches that the rise in commodity prices was moderate and was temporary. I disagreed then and still do now that the rise was moderate (a move from below 400 in the CCI to near 680 in the CCI is not "moderate") but we all must admit that the index has come down lately and so have the prices of most commodities at the various commodity futures markets.

Having set a benchmark with these extremely high prices, any move lower in commodity prices will be measured against that new benchmark. Should the stock market take out a major downside support level and the economic data turn from bad to worse, Bernanke could rightfully argue that he has "upside room" for another round of QE in terms of commodity prices seeing that they are off recent highs. In other words, the public has now been conditioned with a spike to high prices and any move down from those levels will be seen as relief even if the price stabilizes at a new, permanently higher price level. When corn moves from $3.50 to nearly $8.00, a drop down towards $6.50 will be seen as a bargain even though the price is now $3.00/bushel higher than it was a mere 3 years ago. Same goes for crude oil. A drop from $120 towards $90, or even $80 or $70 will make the stuff look dirt cheap even though it will be trading at twice the price it was back in 2008. The list could go on and on.

What we are seeing then is a sort of three steps forward, two steps back in the commodity markets in terms of prices. The public, whether it realizes it or not, has now been conditioned to accepting the new and permanently higher price levels some of which are tied directly to the loss of purchasing power of the US Dollar. The new NORMAL is higher prices. When another round of QE comes our way, the drive to the former peak will be seen as inflationary but the impact will not be as psychologically devastating as was the first surge to these record highs. The next time it will be met with more of a yawn unless prices surge past these old peaks. Then the cries of inflation will arise once again, the Fed will face another round of criticism and the cycle will be repeated as they back off from stimulus yet again.

In such a fashion will the battle between the forces of deflation and inflation play out with the loser being the middle class and those who do not realize what is happening to their way of life.”- Dan Norcini, More at http://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/

 

GATA Posts:

Resource Clips interviews GATA Chairman Bill Murphy

Ron Paul's anti-Fed message gains respect

Alasdair Macleod: The limitations of technical analysis

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 6/24/2011

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

11,392,315

-323

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

98,927,592

+1,067,960

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX) AND Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) AND Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx)

SPDR® Gold Shares

1209.142

38,875,115

US$58,215m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra)

Gold Bullion Securities

115.35

3,708,632

US$5,551m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND NYSE Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse - Xetra) AND NYSE Euronext Amsterdam

ETFS Physical Gold

126.23

4,058,350

US$6,071m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

14.21

474,040

US$684m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

48.10

1,546,608

US$2,343m

NASDAQ Dubai

Dubai Gold Securities

0.154

4,954

US$7m

 Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) Total Tonnes in Trust: 142.79: No change from yesterday’s data.

 

Silver Trust (SLV) Total Tonnes in Trust: 9,621.54: +33.35 change from yesterday’s data.

 

The Miners:

 

Banro’s (BAA) drill results, New Gold’s (NGD) drill results, Midway’s (MDW) addition to the Russell 3000 Index, Aurizon’s (AZK) CEO appointment, Rubicon’s (RBY) agreement with West Kirkland, and Excellon’s (EXN.TO) assay results were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines today.

 

WINNERS

1.  NovaGold

NG +3.25% $8.90

2.  Tanzanian Royalty

TRX +2.06% $6.44

3.  Vista Gold

VGZ +1.81% $2.82

 

LOSERS

1.  Great Panther

GPL -9.20% $3.06

2.  Solitario

XPL -6.93% $2.55

3.  Minco Gold

MGH -6.21% $1.51

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Dynacor Gold Mines Announces Best Month of Production in the Company's History - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Breakwater Announces Commencement of Nyrstar Offer and Declares Special Dividend in Connection With Nyrstar Offer - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Rencore Resources Announces Appointment of Vice President-Aboriginal Affairs, Grant of Stock Options and First Quarter Filings under IFRS - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Update: Aurora Gold Corp Sells Its Interest in AGC Resources LLC to Devtec Management Limited - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Archean Star Resources Increases Size of Gnaweeda Claims - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


SIRIOS Resources Inc.: Private Placement Totals $1,833,600 - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Strateco Closes a CA$3.5 Million Financing - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Lincoln Mining-Corporate Update Conference Call June 28th - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Augen Hires Pinnacle Capital Markets - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Laurion Increases Size of Private Placement to a Maximum of $1,250,000 - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


CORONADO RESOURCES LTD. - Progress update at the Madison Mine in Montana, USA - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


RX Exploration Announces Glass Lewis Recommendation That Shareholders Vote for the RXE Nominees on the BLUE Proxy - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Lago Dourado Engages Dr. David Groves as a Technical Advisor to the Company - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Dia Bras Announces Appointment of Guillermo Kaelin to the Board of Directors - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Castle Resources Appoints Mike Sylvestre as Chief Executive Officer - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Romios Gold Announces Completion of Airborne Geophysical Survey Over the Dirk and Andrei Properties and Provides an Update on Drilling on Its Trek Property - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Malaga Appoints Three New Board Members - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


TNR Gold Notes Minera Andes Inc.-US Gold Corp. Merger Litigation Update - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Large Multi-Element Geochemical Anomaly Encourages Nitinat to Advance Work Program at Jasper - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Constantine-Carlin JV Commences Work Program on Sixteen Yukon Gold Properties - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Explor Intersects 4.07 g/tonne Au Over 20.0 Meters on Timmins Porcupine West - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Uranium North Reports Drill Mobilization Underway on the Mallery Gold-Silver Project - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Western Troy Drills 3.3 Metres of 2.4% Copper at Lake Chibougamau - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Glass Lewis Recommends Klondex Shareholders Vote for Klondex Director Slate - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Goldex Resources Appoints New Director - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


SearchGold Provides Update on Swala and Burkina Faso - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Cadillac Obtains 0.611% Cu and 0.373% Ni Over 52 Feet at K1-1 - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Two Additional Hanging Wall Intercepts at Nivloc Project - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Edgewater Recieves Additional $2,200,000 From Warrant Exercise Kinross Gold Exercises All Warrants - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Gabriel Resources Ltd.: Annual & Special Meeting Voting Results and Update on Cash Resources - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Viking Minerals Cancels 240 Million Common Shares and Significantly Enhances Shareholder Value - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


West Kirkland Drilling Update: Continued Gold Intercepts in Kirkland Lake - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


THEMAC Resources Group Limited Begins Follow Up Drilling at Copper Flat - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Argentex Continues To Expand Tranquilo Zone at Pinguino Project - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Silver Spruce Reports Discovery of New Mineralized Alteration Zone 3.5 km to South of Big Easy Gold/Silver Zone, Eastern Newfoundland - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Netco Announces Acquisition of Option to Acquire Toruel Property, Closing of Private Placement and Name Change - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Sanatana Announces Passing of Director Harley Hotchkiss - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


New Discovery Returns 1.8 Metres Averaging 1400g/t Ag, 19.7% Pb and 14.5% Zn at Southern Silver's Cerro Las Minitas Project - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Marifil Partner Receives Approval to Move Forward at Toruel - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Midlands Alerts Shareholders to Dissidents' Circular: Zero-Premium Take Over is Opportunistic, Self-Serving and Not in Shareholders Best Interest - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


BCGold Corp. Commences Work Program at Engineer Gold Mine - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Northgate Minerals Initiates Drill Program at Nevada Exploration Inc.'s Awakening Gold Project - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Mazorro Announces Option Agreement With Adventure Gold for a 100% Interest in the Dalquier Property, Abitibi, Qc - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Adventure Gold Announces Option Agreement With Mazorro Resources for its Dalquier Property in Abitibi, Qc - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Angus Announces Non-Brokered Private Placement of Up to $2 Million - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Pan American Lithium Corp. Appoints New York IR Firm - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Winter 2011 Uracan Drilling Outlines Significant Uranium Mineralization on Costebelle Claims - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Sunridge Gold Starts Drilling at the Besakoa Copper-Zinc-Gold Project, Madagascar - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Thundermin Obtains the Right to Earn a 100% Interest in a Large Portion of the Stirling Zinc-Lead-Copper-Silver-Gold Massive Sulphide Belt, Cape Breton Island - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Matamec to Present New Kipawa Mineral Resource Estimate at its AGM on June 30th - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Drilling Underway on Stroud's Hislop Gold Project - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Northern Gold Increases Garrcon Deposit Indicated Resource Five-Fold to 720,000 ozs and Releases Preliminary Economic Assessment - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Reservoir Reports Exploration Progress with Freeport-McMoRan Exploration Corporation on the Timok Project in Serbia - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


KGHM Ajax Participates in Open House for Ajax Project Community Relations Office Opening in Kamloops, B.C. - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Alto Ventures Ltd.: Summer Program Started at Miner Lake, Beardmore-Geraldton Gold Belt, Ontario - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Forum to Explore Nutaaq Rare Earth Property in Nunavut - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Canalaska Uranium Completes First Phase Fond Du Lac Drill Program - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Geophysical Survey on Focus Claims in Mexico Further Highlights Possible Copper Gold Porphyry System - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Highpointe To Drill Tasco Property - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Kalimantan Gold Extends Jelai Gold Mining Exploration Licence - More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Great Panther Silver Set to Join the Russell Global Index - "Membership in the Russell Global Index, which remains in place for one year, means automatic inclusion in the appropriate large-cap, small-cap, all-cap indexes as well as the applicable style, sector and country indexes. Russell determines membership for its equity indexes primarily by objective, market-capitalization rankings and style attributes." More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Northgate Minerals Initiates Drill Program at the Awakening Gold Project, Nevada - "The Awakening Gold Project consists of 432 claims (approximately 35.9 square kilometres ("km2") or 13.9 square miles) and is located 50 km northwest of Winnemucca, Nevada, on the northwest flank of the Slumbering Hills. The property covers the northwest portion of the historic Awakening mining district and adjoins the north end of the former producing Sleeper Gold Mine, which has produced 1.7 million ounces of gold and 2.3 million ounces of silver." More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


NovaGold Reports Progress on Galore Creek Prefeasibility Study - "NovaGold Resources Inc. (TSX:NG - News)(AMEX:NG - News) announces significant advancement towards completion of the prefeasibility study on its Galore Creek copper-gold-silver project ("Project") located in northwestern British Columbia. The study is being prepared by Galore Creek Mining Corporation ("GCMC"), owned equally by subsidiaries of NovaGold Resources Inc. ("NovaGold") and Teck Resources Limited ("Teck")." More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


Brigus Gold Initiates Black Fox Mill Expansion - "Brigus Gold Corp. (“Brigus” or the “Company”) (NYSE Amex: BRD) (TSX:BRD.to - News) announces that it will proceed with an initial expansion of the Black Fox Mill, which is expected to be completed, and in service, during the first quarter of 2012. This initial expansion will increase processing capacity at the Mill to 2,200 tonnes per day (tpd) through optimization of existing mill equipment and elimination of production losses. The Company has commissioned a Phase 2 mill expansion plan, that if implemented in the future, would increase processing capacity to 3,500 tonnes per day and would include replacement of the existing crushing plant with a semi-autogenous grinding (SAG) mill." More
- June 23, 2011 | Item | ShareThis


- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2011

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.


-- Posted 27 June, 2011 | |


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