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Gold Seeker Weekly Wrap-Up: Gold and Silver Fall Nearly 8% and 18% on the Week

By: Chris Mullen, Gold-Seeker.com


-- Posted 20 March, 2008 | | Source: SilverSeek.com

Please Note: US Markets are closed tomorrow in observance of Good Friday.

 

 

Close

Gain/Loss

On Week

Gold

$919.05

-$26.10

-7.96%

Silver

$16.93

-$1.46

-17.86%

XAU

172.01

-3.45%

-16.65%

HUI

439.05

-1.95%

-14.73%

GDM

1310.37

-3.02%

-15.64%

JSE Gold

2492.93

-116.39

-9.84%

USD

72.75

+0.56

+1.51%

Euro

154.53

-1.91

-1.18%

Yen

101.06

+0.07

+0.28%

Oil

$101.84

-$0.70

-7.59%

10-Year

3.328%

-0.034

-2.46%

Bond

121.1875

+0.546875

+0.40%

Dow

12361.32

+2.16%

+3.43%

Nasdaq

2258.11

+2.18%

+2.06%

S&P

1329.51

+2.39%

+3.21%

 
 

 

The Metals:

 

Gold fell all the way to $904.45 by early trade in London, but it then rallied back higher for most of the rest of trade and ended nearly $15 off its low with a loss of 2.76%.  This week’s drop of 7.96% marks the largest one week drop since 1983.  Silver, however, was not able to find a rebound in New York and it ended near its low of $16.752 with a loss of 7.94%. 

 

PHYSICAL SILVER SHORTAGE?  Today’s losses of 2.76% and 7.94% follow yesterday’s losses of 5.8% and 7.5% in gold and silver.  The remarkable drops in the paper contract markets appear to be spurring plenty of demand in the physical markets, especially in the silver market with reports of shortages by Jason Hommel and many more individual reports in the forums today at SilverSeek.com. While physical metal in your possession is an important part of any diversified metals portfolio, a service I also use and have been happy with is holding metal in an online account at GoldMoney.com.  Founder & Chairman James Turk reports today that they have no problems acquiring metal through LBMA:

 

“I've heard about the shortages of coin (particularly silver coin) and believe them to be accurate. We of course deal only in LBMA bars, so we haven't seen any shortage. There will always be LBMA bars available -- at a price.”

 

Euro gold dropped to about €594, platinum fell $45 to $1860, and copper lost roughly 5 cents to about $3.61.

 

Gold and silver equities fell over 5% at the open, but they then rallied back higher into the close and ended with only about 3% losses.

 

The Economy:

 

Report

For

Reading

Expected

Previous

Initial Claims

3/15

378K

360K

356K

Leading Indicators

Feb

-0.3%

-0.3%

-0.4%

Philadelphia Fed

Mar

-17.4

-18.0

-24.0

 

All of this week’s economic reports:

 

Philadelphia Fed - March

-17.4 v. -24.0

 

Leading Indicators - February

-0.3% v. -0.4%

 

Initial Claims - 3/15

378K v. 356K

 

FOMC - 3/18

2.25% v. 3.0%

 

Housing Starts - February

1065K v. 1071K

 

Building Permits - February

978K v. 1061K

 

PPI - February

0.3% v. 1.0%

 

Core PPI - February

0.5% v. 0.4%

 

Industrial Production - February

-0.5% v. 0.1%

 

Capacity Utilization - February

80.9% v. 81.5%

 

Net Foreign Purchases - January

$62.0B v. $56.5B

 

NY Empire State Index - March

-22.2 v. -11.7

 

Next week’s economic highlights include Existing Home Sales on Monday, Consumer Confidence on Tuesday, Durable Goods Orders and New Home Sales on Wednesday, GDP and Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday, and Personal Income and Spending, Core PCE Inflation, and Michigan Sentiment on Friday.

 

The Markets:

 

Charts Courtesy of http://finance.yahoo.com/

 

Oil extended its losses as the U.S. dollar index continued its rebound on the Philadelphia Fed survey that was not as horrible as expected.

 

Treasuries rose as strong recent demand due to worries over the credit market has caused “failures to deliver or receive government debt in the $6.3 trillion a day market for borrowing and lending to climb to the highest level in almost four years.”

 

The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P rose over 2% after the Philadelphia Fed reported manufacturing activity declined in March less than it did in February.  The report barely beat consensus expectations, but there were rumors that a significantly worse report was coming and when those rumors proved unfounded buyers stepped in.

 

Among the big names making news in the market Friday were Allianz, Citigroup, JPMorgan and Bear Stearns, FedEx, and Barnes & Noble.

 

The Commentary:

 

“April Gold finished down 25.3 at 920, 9 off the high and 5.5 up from the low.

 

May Silver closed down 1.595 at 16.85. This was 0.03 up from the low and 0.69 off the high.

 

The gold market forged a major range down extension and barely managed to recover from the selling ahead of the long holiday weekend. However, seeing such significant gains in the Dollar and also seeing continued deflationary price action in a host of physical commodities seems to leave gold under pressure from a number of fronts. In fact, seeing a sharp run up in US equity prices was taken by some traders as a sign that the US crisis was moderating and that in turn might have prompted another layer of spec longs to exit from gold positions. The stock market was embracing the idea that recent declines in long term interest rates could help to lessen the pain in the US real estate market and that type of view could have pushed another layer of gold bugs to the sidelines.

 

Like gold, the silver market remained under intense pressure for most of the trading session. Also like gold the silver market seemed to be under a broad based liquidation wave that might have been mostly technical in nature but it could also have been fundamental in nature. In fact, seeing massive gains in US stock prices and the US Dollar suggests that a portion of the fundamental bull case was coming apart. In fact, given the magnitude of the declines in a number of physical commodity markets this week, it wouldn't be surprising to see that some silver longs were exiting because they see the risk of inflation to be on the decline.”- The Hightower Report, Futures Analysis and Forecasting

 

GATA Posts:

 

 

Jason Hommel: Silver shortage -- 19 dealers reported sold out

 

The Statistics:

As of close of business: 3/19/2008

Gold Warehouse Stocks:

7,507,789

+4,460

Silver Warehouse Stocks:

135,168,384

-596,508

 

Global Gold ETF Holdings

[WGC Sponsored ETF’s]

 

 

Product name

Total Tonnes

Total Ounces

Total Value

New York Stock Exchange Arca (NYSE Arca) AND Singapore Exchange (SGX)

StreetTRACKS Gold Shares

648.79

20,859,337

US$ 19,988m

London Stock Exchange (LSE) AND Euronext Paris AND Borsa Italiana AND Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (Deutsche Börse )

Gold Bullion Securities

113.93

3,662,922

US$ 3,337m

Australian Stock Exchange (ASX)

Gold Bullion Securities

19.97

641,751

US$ 585m

Johannesburg Securities Exchange (JSE)

New Gold Debentures

28.61

919,814

US$ 881m

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: StreetTRACKS subtracted 15.04 tonnes from its record high holding and the LSE added 1.09 tonnes.

 

COMEX Gold Trust (IAU)

Profile as of 3/19/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$2,038,562,971

Ounces of Gold
in Trust

2,158,326.840

Shares Outstanding

21,850,000

Tonnes of Gold
in Trust

67.13

Note: Change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data: 1.84 tonnes were added to the trust.

 

Silver Trust (SLV)

Profile as of 3/19/2008

 

Total Net Assets

$3,564,911,685

Ounces of Silver
in Trust

179,367,461.900

Shares Outstanding

18,100,000

Tonnes of Silver
in Trust

5,578.95

Note: No change in Total Tonnes from yesterday’s data.

 

The Stocks:

 

Lihir’s (LIHR) plans to merge with Equigold (EQI.AX), Almaden’s (AAU) optioned project, AngloGold’s (AU) joint venture in Congo, NovaGold’s (NG) priced offering, Imperial’s (III.TO) exploration results, Great Panther’s (GPR.TO) appointments, and Silvercorp’s (SVM.TO) normal course issuer bid were among the big stories in the gold and silver mining industry making headlines Friday.

 

WINNERS

1.  Golden Star

GSS+24.21% $4.31

2.  Northgate

NXG+11.11% $3.30

3.  Crystallex

KRY +9.62% $2.28

 

LOSERS

1.  Orezone

OZN -18.83% $1.25

2.  Gold Reserve

GRZ -12.77% $4.10

3.  Metallica

MRB -11.18% $4.37

Winners & Losers tracks NYSE and AMEX listed gold and silver mining stocks that trade over $1.

       

All of today's gold and silver stock news:

Almaden Options Tropico Project, Mexico - "Almaden Minerals Ltd. (Toronto:AMM.TO - News)(AMEX:AAU - News) ("Almaden") is pleased to announced that, along with its 60% joint venture partner Santoy Resources Ltd. (CDNX:SAN.V - News) ("Santoy"), Almaden (which holds a 40% interest in the project) has optioned the Tropico copper-palladium-platinum-gold project to Skeena Resources Ltd. (CDNX:SKE.V - News) ("Skeena") under terms whereby Skeena can acquire a 60% interest from the Almaden-Santoy joint venture ("the JV") by making $3 million in work expenditures ($100,000 in year one) on the project and issuing to the JV 1,250,000 shares of Skeena (250,000 upon regulatory approval) over 5 years." More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Bourkes Diamond Drill Program and Bulk Assay Check Results - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Coro Reports 2007 Year End Results - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Tara Gold Reports 10.4 m of 4.5 g/t Gold and Extends Northern Limit of Clavo 99 Within the High Grade San Miguel Vein - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Paramount Gold and Silver Corp. Reports 10.4m of 4.5 g/t Gold and Extends Northern Limit of Clavo 99 within the High Grade San Miguel Vein - "Paramount Gold and Silver Corp. (Toronto:PZG.TO - News)(AMEX:PZG - News)(Frankfurt:P6G.F - News)(WKN: A0HGKQ) is pleased to announce assay results from four additional drill holes in the San Miguel Zone of its San Miguel project in the Guazapares Mining District, Mexico. Drill holes SM-21, 22, and 23 were drilled 50 meters below the upper row of holes in the southern portion of the vein to test the depth extent of that mineralization." More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Kalimantan Gold Makes Key Appointments - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


AuEx Ventures, Inc.: Trinity Silver Returns 110 Feet at 2.24 Ounce Per Ton Silver - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Lund Arranges Private Placements to Raise $2.5 Million - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Pele Mountain Shareholders Approve All Matters Presented at the Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Golden Harp Resources intersects gold mineralization in preliminary drill program - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Great Panther Appoints Financial & Metallurgical Professionals to Advisory Board - "As the regulatory and compliance environment in which public companies work today continues to become more demanding, management needs the expertise on hand to enable it to best deal with its various financial and production issues," said Robert Archer, the Company's President & CEO. "Martin and Ken will add another layer of depth to the Company's financial reporting and engineering capabilities and we welcome their input." More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Robex locates on surface the Wili-Wili minéralized zone - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Eastmain Resources Inc.: Drilling Underway at Eleonore South - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Verena Minerals Announces Closing of Private Placement With Sprott Asset Management - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Congo seeks to raise stake in Anglogold venture - "The Democratic Republic of Congo's mines contract review commission on Thursday recommended state mining company OKIMO sign a new deal with Anglogold Ashanti (ANGJ.J: Quote, Profile, Research) and increase its stake in their Kilo joint venture." More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Silver Shield Resources Commences Drilling at the Welsh Silver Mine - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Marathon Drilling Extends Strike Length of High-Grade W Horizon by 175 meters - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Murgor discovers two new massive sulphide zones at the Hudvam copper-gold-zinc deposit in Manitoba - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Frontera Copper Reports Annual and Fourth Quarter 2007 Results - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


International Minerals Reports Drill Results From Gaby Project, Ecuador, Including Intercepts of 205m at 1.3g/t and 202m at 0.8 g/t Gold - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Ireland Inc. Reports Drilling Results at Columbus Project - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Mine Development Associates Data Review Supports Upside Potential at Miranda Gold Corp. Redlich Project - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Trigon provides update on Henry Mountains Project in Southern Utah - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


S.Africa backs big electricity price increase - "South Africa's government on Thursday backed a plan to raise electricity prices more than 50 percent to tackle a power crisis hitting vital mines, despite fears it could fan inflation in Africa's biggest economy." More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


VMS Ventures Inc.: Hole RD-08-26 Assays 21.15m of 2.57% Cu and 3.13% Zn; RD-08-22 Assays 25.67m of 0.96% Cu and 4.37% Zn and Hole 08-34 has 35.73m of NSS - More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


NovaGold Prices Public Offering for Gross Proceeds of US$95 Million - "NovaGold Resources Inc. (Toronto:NG.TO - News)(AMEX:NG - News) today announced the pricing of its public offering of US$95.0 million aggregate principal amount of its convertible senior notes due May 1, 2015 ("Notes") in Canada and the United States. Net proceeds before deducting estimated offering expenses are expected to be US$92.15 million." More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Silvercorp Metals Inc.: Normal Course Issuer Bid - "Silvercorp Metals Inc. ("Silvercorp") (Toronto:SVM.TO - News) is of the opinion that prevailing market conditions have resulted in Silvercorp's shares being undervalued relative to the immediate and long term value of Silvercorp's Ying, HLP, TLP and LM Mines in Henan Province, and its Na Bao Project in Qinghai Province, China." More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Imperial Update on Mount Polley Exploration - "Imperial Metals Corporation (Toronto:III.TO - News) reports results from the ongoing exploration at Mount Polley. In 2007 a total of 121 exploration drill holes totalling 39,503 metres were completed at eight different zones. Diamond drilling involved exploration and delineation of mineralization at the Northeast, Boundary, Skid, Southeast, Pond, C2, Area 9 and Springer zones." More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


Barrick Gold: Notice to Holders of Placer Dome 2.75% Convertible Senior Debentures - "Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:ABX - News)(Toronto:ABX.TO - News) announced today that, pursuant to the terms of Placer Dome 2.75% Convertible Senior Debentures due 2023 (the "Debentures"), upon compliance with the terms and conditions of the Debentures, the Debentures may be surrendered for conversion until and including June 30, 2008 at a conversion rate of 39.9859 Common Shares per US$1,000.00 principal amount of Debentures." More
- March 20, 2008 | Item | E-mail


 

- Chris Mullen, Gold Seeker Report

 

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© Gold Seeker 2008

Note: This article may be reproduced provided the article, in full, is used and mention to Gold-Seeker.com is given.

 

 

Disclosure: The owner, editor, writer and publisher and their associates are not responsible for errors or omissions.  The author of this report is not a registered financial advisor.  Readers should not view this material as offering investment related advice. Gold-Seeker.com has taken precautions to ensure accuracy of information provided. Information collected and presented are from what is perceived as reliable sources, but since the information source(s) are beyond Gold-Seeker.com’s control, no representation or guarantee is made that it is complete or accurate.  The reader accepts information on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action.  Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.  Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change.  Nothing contained herein constitutes a representation by the publisher, nor a solicitation for the purchase or sale of securities & therefore information, nor opinions expressed, shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any stock, futures or options contract mentioned herein.  Investors are advised to obtain the advice of a qualified financial & investment advisor before entering any financial transaction.

 


-- Posted 20 March, 2008 | |


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